'Best Pollster in Politics' releases final Iowa poll tonight at 5:30.

[RandFTW]

well we are fucked

And our whole country!

 

[01000110]

I'm not sure what people were expecting?

True.

But reality is fucking depressing... no?

 

[supermario21]

I don't think any of us should be surprised. If anything he put distance between him and 6th. Carson just stuns the hell out of me. I like him a lot, but he offers nothing at all.

 

[fcreature]

well we are fucked

Caucus is in two days. This poll changes nothing.

 

[simon1911]

So 5% would that be like 7500 votes?

 

[CPUd]

True.

But reality is fucking depressing... no?

If it's anything like the last DMR poll, these are numbers for mostly 50+ voters where he usually gets 1-3%

 

[01000110]

If it's anything like the last DMR poll, these are numbers for mostly 50+ voters where he usually gets 1-3%

Yeah, maybe.

I was personally hoping for 6% and for him to be above Carson. Carson at 10 baffles me.

 

[CPUd]

Full poll here:
http://media.bloomberg.com/bb/avfile/r1OvZ1NeDjnY

 

[TheGoldenFamily]

~600 were polled. How is this a good statistic whatsoever?

 

[supermario21]

Just heard on Fox by Jenna Lee: "It's interesting that Rand Paul is ahead of Christie and Bush."

 

[Dianne]

Donald Trump 28%
Ted Cruz 23%
Marco Rubio 15%
Ben Carson 10%
Paul 5%
Christie 3%
All others at 2%

Paul beating all the establishment candidates; other than Rubio. I think this is pretty damn fine !!!

 

[CPUd]

 

[cornell]

Nothing in the full poll or cross-tabs about 2012 choice, too bad, was curious if the 5% Ron Paul phenomenon would repeat itself.

 

[simon1911]

And Trump would win Iowa?

 

[Alldayallie]

2012 DMR Poll (Actual):
Romney 24 (24.5)
Paul 22 (21.5)
Santorum 15 (24.6)
Gingrich 12 (13.3)
Perry 11 (10.3)
Bachmann 5 (5.0)
Huntsman 2 (0.6)

Besides Santorum, they had everyone within MoE, actually within 1.5%. Santorum's last second push poll surge obviously was the wild card.

 

[Alldayallie]

~600 were polled. How is this a good statistic whatsoever?

Sigh. People still make this idiotic argument against polling.

 

[fcreature]

4% MOE. 45% still able to be persuaded overall. 38% of Cruz supporters able to be persuaded. 53% of Rubio supporters able to be persuaded.

Saw nothing about age in there. Probably 95% polled over the age of 60.

 

[TheGoldenFamily]

Sigh. People still make this idiotic argument against polling.

You don't need to be passive aggressive. I'm genuinely curious..

 

[rich34]

~600 were polled. How is this a good statistic whatsoever?

I would agree but Collins said it would be within the margin of error. I am completely baffled at this point as well and if these numbers are true and the campaign knew this then WHY the hell wasn't Ron Paul out on the campaign trail firing people up??

 

[Dianne]

I don't think any of us should be surprised. If anything he put distance between him and 6th. Carson just stuns the hell out of me. I like him a lot, but he offers nothing at all.

My prediction is caucus results will have Rand on top of Carson.