'Best Pollster in Politics' releases final Iowa poll tonight at 5:30.

[TheNewYorker]

I am hearing talk about poll analyst that say something is NOT being talked about regarding the Des Moines Register Poll. It polled potential caucus goers from January 26th to the 29th. Well the 29th was the day after the debate. Apparently, Rand was at 9% on that day alone! His best day of polling yet in Iowa! But it averaged out to 5% overall! Umm....that means that debate made a difference!

Anyone else see people talking about this?

Where were the other candidates on the day after the debate? Was rand still 5th with that 9%, or did he move up to 4th?

 

[Crashland]

I am hearing talk about poll analyst that say something is NOT being talked about regarding the Des Moines Register Poll. It polled potential caucus goers from January 26th to the 29th. Well the 29th was the day after the debate. Apparently, Rand was at 9% on that day alone! His best day of polling yet in Iowa! But it averaged out to 5% overall! Umm....that means that debate made a difference!

Anyone else see people talking about this?

No, where did you hear that?

 

[RDM]

Where were the other candidates on the day after the debate? Was rand still 5th with that 9%, or did he move up to 4th?

I don't know. The couple of FaceBook posts that mentioned this did not go into detail. This info has to coming from someone with inside knowledge. But who?

 

[rich34]

And note that the DMR poll did NOT do a "last two days of the poll" breakdown to report a surge for Rand, the way it did in 2012 to invent the "Santorum surge." The media did not want to talk up a surge by Rand, so the pollsters didn't give them that news byte this time.

I could actually believe this because you know how bad the media would love to use that kind of info to push Rubio to already go along with the media narrative. However if that same info is also showing Rand surging just as much or even more I'd think they'd rather choose to keep that info quiet and keep the current narrative rather than having to acknowledge Rand is also surging as well. Is there no where online to find this info? If not then there could be some truth to this because you know they'd use this to push Rubio in a heart beat.

 

[ALibertarianInNewYork]

Being devil's advocate, we didn't see a rise in the polls after any other debate, so to expect otherwise this time is betting against historical performance.

 

[nikcers]

Being devil's advocate, we didn't see a rise in the polls after any other debate, so to expect otherwise this time is betting against historical performance.

The only poll following the debate is the Iowa Caucus. Are you a time traveler?

 

[ALibertarianInNewYork]

The only poll following the debate is the Iowa Caucus. Are you a time traveler?

I meant after the other GOP debates this primary cycle.

 

[RDM]

Being devil's advocate, we didn't see a rise in the polls after any other debate, so to expect otherwise this time is betting against historical performance.

That's because the other debates had a TV Reality Star turn the debates into a 3 ring circus...blocking out any substantial debate on Policy.

 

[Patrick Henry]

Rand could very well be beginning a surge. I mean he has been campaigning like crazy these last 2 weeks.

 

[CPUd]

I am hearing talk about poll analyst that say something is NOT being talked about regarding the Des Moines Register Poll. It polled potential caucus goers from January 26th to the 29th. Well the 29th was the day after the debate. Apparently, Rand was at 9% on that day alone! His best day of polling yet in Iowa! But it averaged out to 5% overall! Umm....that means that debate made a difference!

Anyone else see people talking about this?

I know Rubio was down the last day, so if Carson didn't move, or went down a few points, that poll would show a statistical tie for 3rd. Only issue with that is if you are taking just 1 day, that's around 150 polled, way too small a sample to be "significant".