CPUd
Member
- Joined
- May 12, 2012
- Messages
- 22,978
Some of you need to take a step back and stop caring about this polling data. If not for the polls, would you have any reason to doubt Rand's ability to do well in Iowa and New Hampshire? The caucus is in two days, the results will speak for themselves.
Sure, polling is usually somewhat accurate. This election cycle is an abnormal one in all regards. Celebrity has taken over. Do you really believe Trump will get 30% of the vote? I'll believe it when I see it. My guess is that it is more likely than not that his voters do not show up.
The poll showing that only 5% of those included voted for Ron Paul in 2012 proves that our polling is being under-reported. By how much, we won't know until Monday/Tuesday. In that poll it was by 20%.
You need to realize this is a caucus. 40% of people are still not firm in their choice of candidate. The vast majority of those caucusing are not like you and I. They do not have their mind set and do not know everything there is to know about every candidate. What matters is getting our people out and making sure they have compelling speeches to give in Rand's favor. The people in Iowa will be listening to their neighbors and then deciding their vote. It is still very fluid.
In my opinion, turning out thousands of young people with over 1,000 precinct captains with finely tuned speeches has the potential to sway many voters. Those showing up will respect that the younger generation is participating and it will have an effect.
We can only hope for the best. This poll changes nothing. We have 48 hours. Make some calls if you are worried.
QFT
Last edited: