New Useless Bloomberg Poll (MoE: +/-5%), Rand at 3%

[Aquinas]

379 respondents:

Trump 24
Carson 20
Rubio 12
Cruz 9
Bush 6
Christie 4
Paul 3
Huck 3
Fiorina 3
Kasich 3
Graham 1
Santorum 1

Uncommitted 5
Not sure 7

http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/a...ty-trump-on-action-in-bloomberg-poll-ih645axj

EDIT: Probably shouldn't have had "useless" in the title, as the MoE isn't that far off from the usual...

 

[brandon]

Why is this poll useless? Because it doesn't have the results you want it to have?

 

[Aquinas]

Why is this poll useless? Because it doesn't have the results you want it to have?

Because the margin of error renders the results practically meaningless. We have 8 candidates within the MoE.

 

[brandon]

MoE of 5% is pretty standard on these polls. I don't know if I've ever seen one with less.

 

[dusman]

That's unfortunate. This will likely get picked up on RCP average.

At least it's 1% higher than the last Bloomberg poll.

 

[Aquinas]

MoE of 5% is pretty standard on these polls. I don't know if I've ever seen one with less.

I glanced at some of the other RCP national results and saw polls with many more respondents, but looking closer now I see the Republican portions contain comparable (albeit slightly higher) numbers. I guess 4.5-5.0 is pretty common on that level, so the thread title is harsher than necessary.

 

[Liberty74]

Why is this poll useless? Because it doesn't have the results you want it to have?

A legit poll will have around 1000 respondents with the correct demographics.

 

[dusman]

 

[dusman]

A legit poll will have around 1000 respondents with the correct demographics.

If it gets picked up by RCP, then it's a "legit" poll in regards to what voters will be reviewing.

 

[CPUd]

Because the margin of error renders the results practically meaningless. We have 8 candidates within the MoE.

It has been like that since summer when there were 15 or 16 candidates in the race.

 

[AngryCanadian]

Trump nor Carson aren't going to win the general election.
Seems White Guilt is quite strong on the idiotic Republican birthers lol.

 

[AngryCanadian]

LOL some are calling Trump a Bacon of Hope.

 

[SilentBull]

PPP has Rand at 2. It was just added to RCP this morning.

 

[TomtheTinker]

Ouchhhhhh

 

[Crashland]

It's not useless if viewed in the context of other polls. Multiple polls with larger margins of error aggregate to a lower MoE.

 

[jbauer]

Sweet, MOE, we can be at negative 2. Kinda like European interest rates!!

 

[mello]

Never did understand the "Margin of Error" thing. If you call 100 people & ask who their choice is for president and they all give an answer, shouldn't the margin of error be zero?

 

[RabbitMan]

So it looks like we are in the 3%-6% range polling wise? Let's keep trudging. Come on Rand Csmpaign, give us something to chew on.

 

[RabbitMan]

Never did understand the "Margin of Error" thing. If you call 100 people & ask who their choice is for president and they all give an answer, shouldn't the margin of error be zero?

That's not how statistics work. They are trying to guess at what a population thinks from a smaller sample size.

Margin of Error takes into account a variety of things, but in general you can just think of it being based on how large their sample size was and how 'swingy' they think it has the chance of being.

 

[Warlord]

Trump or Carson wont win the nomination. I remember Cain and Guiliani leading all through November and December