New Useless Bloomberg Poll (MoE: +/-5%), Rand at 3%

[Crashland]

Never did understand the "Margin of Error" thing. If you call 100 people & ask who their choice is for president and they all give an answer, shouldn't the margin of error be zero?

If the margin of error is 4%, it means that there is a statistical 95% confidence that the poll result from the sample is within 4% of the actual result if you were to poll 100% of the entire target population. The MoE is inversely related to the sample size. Also, the MoE starts with the assumption that the poll sample is a representative demographic crossection of the overall target population. So, criticism about the polling methodology or demographic assumptions is a separate thing entirely from criticizing the MoE which again is mostly just dependent on the sample size.

 

[ds21089]

So Rand didnt go up after that amazing debate performance? Seems a bit strange.

 

[mit26chell]

Watch RCP use this and PPP's new poll and completely disregard the previous two polls from this week that had him at 4% and 6%.

 

[LatinsforPaul]

Polls had Bevin losing by 5% two days before the election. He won by 8%. The polls were off by 13%. Rand will not truly start to rise in the polls until January. By the end of January the pollsters will have no choice but to show his true poll numbers. If not, the pollsters will be discredited. very similar to what happen to Ron in 2012. After the Iowa Caucus, I predict Rand will get at least 5% more than what the pollsters predict before the caucus.

 

[AngryCanadian]

So Rand didnt go up after that amazing debate performance? Seems a bit strange.

Thats due to Trump bullshiting, and if you go to Yahoo articles idiots are loving Trump.

 

[LawnWake]

LOL some are calling Trump a Bacon of Hope.

Woah, if they think he's as good as bacon than America is essentially screwed.

 

[r3volution 3.0]

So,

economy = 45%
terrorism = 35%
immigration = 7%
global warming = 5%
other/none/confused = 9%