Tracking candidate facebook likes

Likes are pretty cheap, I wouldn't suggest having the campaign buy them because it would be bad press from the media (but I guess they could do it secretly?). On fiverr you can pay $5 for 300 likes, so you can get 900 likes for just $15. But who cares? No one's going to vote for Ron because of his fan count.
 
Romney runs facebook ads all the time, and he's been promoting himself on Twitter regularly as well.


If we bought ads for Ron on FB or paid to have him featured on Twitter, his following would increase on both sites at a faster rate as well. It's all about visibility. Most casual supporters won't seek out a candidate's social networking pages, but if you put it right in front of them, they'll like/follow him. It's the same way any brand promotes itself online. Would you go out of your way to look up and like your favorite laundry detergent brand? Most people wouldn't. But put the brand's like button right on every user's homepage, and most who use the brand will "like" the page.
 
I'm so sick of this thread being bumped, I keep thinking the OP is actually updating the info
 
How do you (anyone) explain the huge disparity between relative number of facebook likes to relative number of supporters (according to polling)?

If we go by facebook likes, Romney would be a 2:1 shoe-in for the nomination but lose the general 24:1.

Why the differences?

BTW, It will be interesting to see how quickly Cain's likes fall.....would suggest continuing to follow until some time after he endorses someone.

Tracking the likes is useful for tracking trends, total likes is not a good indicator at all.

I have been tracking this thread for several months and it is VERY accurate at representing media and polling trends
 
███ ████:
9/14/11 - 10/31/11 (+59,832)​
11/1/11 - 11/30/11 (+34,734)​
12/1/11 = 605,500 (+1230)​
12/2/11 = 606,632 (+1132)​
12/3/11 = 607,757 (+1125)​
12/4/11 = 609,224 (+1467)​
12/5/11 = 610,957 (+1733)​



Rick Perry:
9/14/11 - 10/31/11 (+10,055)​
11/1/11 - 11/30/11 (+2098)​
12/1/11 = 171,409 (-48)​
12/2/11 = 171,393 (-16)​
12/3/11 = 171,433 (+40)​
12/4/11 = 171,456 (+23)​
12/5/11 = 171,494 (+38)​



Bachmann:
9/15/11 - 10/31/11 (-2699)​
11/1/11 - 11/30/11 (-481)​
12/1/11 = 459,050 (-25)​
12/2/11 = 459,024 (-26)​
12/3/11 = 458,973 (-51)​
12/4/11 = 458,946 (-27)​
12/5/11 = 458,909 (-37)​



Romney:
9/15/11 - 10/31/11 (+46,307)​
11/1/11 - 11/30/11 (+42,419)​
12/1/11 = 1,201,863 (+1231)​
12/2/11 = 1,203,063 (+1200)​
12/3/11 = 1,204,401 (+1338)​
12/4/11 = 1,205,646 (+1245)​
12/5/11 = 1,206,859 (+1213)​




Cain :
9/26/11 - 10/31/11 (+114,409)​
11/1/11 - 11/30/11 (+83,417)​
12/1/11 = 398,760 (-218)​
12/2/11 = 398,282 (-478)​
12/3/11 = 397,686 (-596)​
12/4/11 = 397,237 (-449)​
12/5/11 = 396,728 (-509)​



Gingrich : 10/25/11 - 11/30/11 (+38,600)
12/1/11 = 197,448 (+2145)​
12/2/11 = 199,269 (+1821)​
12/3/11 = 201,046 (+1777)​
12/4/11 = 202,675 (+1629)​
12/5/11 = 204,338 (+1663)​
 
What is great about this, is that it matches up with poll perfectly, and shows us the trends quick nicely. Romney holding steady, Gingrich beginning to slow down a bit, and Paul on the rise!
 
ohyeah_answer_1_xlarge.jpeg
 
Romney runs facebook ads all the time, and he's been promoting himself on Twitter regularly as well.


If we bought ads for Ron on FB or paid to have him featured on Twitter, his following would increase on both sites at a faster rate as well. It's all about visibility. Most casual supporters won't seek out a candidate's social networking pages, but if you put it right in front of them, they'll like/follow him. It's the same way any brand promotes itself online. Would you go out of your way to look up and like your favorite laundry detergent brand? Most people wouldn't. But put the brand's like button right on every user's homepage, and most who use the brand will "like" the page.

We plan on giving Ron Paul some free advertising on Dec 12th throught the Facebook like bomb http://www.facebook.com/events/203786723029474/
 
Is this because of Cain's exit or increased media coverage from the Iowa polls?
 
Is this because of Cain's exit or increased media coverage from the Iowa polls?

I would lean media coverage. The past few days are the first times that the media acknowledges that Paul is running and he is in the top tier. Once people start to hear more from him and more of him, they'll jump aboard.
 
facebooktrendA-2011-12-05.jpg

facebooktrendB-2011-12-05.jpg

Getting kind of busy, think I will perhaps restrict to last 30 days next time I post graphs so it's easier to see current activity.
 
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