Captain Bryan
Member
- Joined
- Sep 4, 2008
- Messages
- 720
So....
Having fun is not allowed.
Only liberty.
Quite ironic, if you think about it.
Having fun is not allowed.
Only liberty.
Quite ironic, if you think about it.
What the hell is so wrong with enjoying a sporting event that has huge public inflated point spreads and using that to your advantage to cashing in a ticket ?
So....
Having fun is not allowed.
Only liberty.
Quite ironic, if you think about it.
Who are you betting on?
Right now The line is only -4 for the Colts with some books so for sure There worth the SU win or even on the spread. But by gameday if the colts become -8 point favs (which Id be surprised to see) then I will indeed sprinkle on the saints to cover the spread. The Real play I like in this game is for the total to hit 57.5 atleast by game time in some books or even a flat 58 and then I will have no prob pulling the trigger on the under if I can get that number even 57.5 is a good enough number for me to grab the under play.
So my official play for the Superbowl is bet the Under 58 or 57.5 on the total.
and if you like the Colts to win SU you may get some decent value right now at them being -4.5 favs. From what it looks like alot of Sharps have Steamed the line for the Saints predicting that the public will fall in love with the "saints story" again and may move the line even more leading up to gametime who knows. But I really dont care as My big play will be to try and grab a total of 58 and bet the under.
I've honestly been socially ostracized because someone asked me about a game the previous night and I respond with "Uh, I don't watch sports". They give me a weird look and then suddenly I'm not a "man" and no one speaks to me at work, ah well doesn't bother me I prefer working without distractions.
It's crazy how obsessed some people are obsessed with sports. They memorize stat after stat after stat. They watch these moronic pre-game and post-game shows with these ex-muscle heads pulling shit out of their asses.
The games have so many rules and regulations that they are so stale and boring, I find rugby and hockey usually the only sports I enjoy watching somewhat. Basketball is stale too and soccer as well, but football is the worst of them all IMO.
Just my 2 cents. Awesome videos, and sports really are the opiate of the people.
They draw in and appease mens tribal instincts so that they think they are going somewhere, yet they slowly loose more and more rights and dont give a shit as long as their team is playing. Prolefeed at its best. It's social manipulation.
I tell ya, if it weren't for sports, I would have gone crazy a long while ago. I need something to keep me sane.
Sports are my anti-crazy.
Interesting. I really want to get into this stuff but haven't figured out the smart play yet. I've lost thousands of fake money. Everytime I think I have a formula it works for a short while and then doesn't - luckily I haven't bet real money yet.
What do you think of "Peyton Manning will score a touchdown in the second quarter" at -125. Bill Simmons was touting that bet on his podcast.
Anyway just keep trying to learn to manipulate the odds and you will do okay. A sports handicapper's best friend is the avg joe who make up the "public" as its these types of people us sharps ride to the bank when they inflate a point spread/line![]()
Thanks Archie. Don't plan on quitting my day job but I love experimenting with this stuff. Best of luck come Sunday.
This is what I've always heard. The public always loses over time - so as long as I go against general consensus (if it's moving a line) I should win in the long run.
I hope others were able to Cash in on my Big super bowl play being the under 58 or 57.5 on the total. The game ended well below the total and the under was indeed a great play just as I predicted.Right now The line is only -4 for the Colts with some books so for sure There worth the SU win or even on the spread. But by gameday if the colts become -8 point favs (which Id be surprised to see) then I will indeed sprinkle on the saints to cover the spread. The Real play I like in this game is for the total to hit 57.5 atleast by game time in some books or even a flat 58 and then I will have no prob pulling the trigger on the under if I can get that number even 57.5 is a good enough number for me to grab the under play.
So my official play for the Superbowl is bet the Under 58 or 57.5 on the total.
and if you like the Colts to win SU you may get some decent value right now at them being -4.5 favs. From what it looks like alot of Sharps have Steamed the line for the Saints predicting that the public will fall in love with the "saints story" again and may move the line even more leading up to gametime who knows. But I really dont care as My big play will be to try and grab a total of 58 and bet the under.