Suffolk/7News Daily Tracking New Hampshire Poll: Mittens 41%, RP 18%, Santorum 8%; Paul +4

[jersdream]

Caution remember this is the same pollster just a week ago put us at 8% behind Huntsman :|, so they may be our weakest New Hampshire poll...well they are now doing their daily tracking

Todays numbers were polled from the 3rd and 4th....(this notes the change from yesterday's poll)

Romney 41 (-2)
Ron Paul 18 (+4)
Santorum 8 (+2)
Gingrich 7 (-2)
Huntsman 7 (E)

Don't see Perry or Bachmann's numbers (if they did them...they were at 1% and 2% respectively yesterday)
The poll is based on phone interviews conducted on January 3 and 4 of 500 likely voters in the Republican primary and has a margin of error of 4.4 percentage points.

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/01/05/us-usa-campaign-newhampshire-poll-idUSTRE8030WR20120105

 

[bluesc]

This is a rolling average? Holy shit, we're surging in NH. Get Ron there asap!

Btw, we're always going to be higher than this tracker shows us, and this pollster always shows us unusually low for some reason.

 

[SenseForMiles]

Caution remember this is the same pollster just a week ago put us at 8% behind Huntsman :|, so they may be our weakest New Hampshire poll...well they are now doing their daily tracking

Todays numbers were polled from the 3rd and 4th....(this notes the change from yesterday's poll)

Romney 41 (-2)
Ron Paul 18 (+4)
Santorum 8 (+2)
Gingrich 7 (-2)
Huntsman 7 (E)

Don't see Perry or Bachmann's numbers (if they did them...they were at 1% and 2% respectively yesterday)
The poll is based on phone interviews conducted on January 3 and 4 of 500 likely voters in the Republican primary and has a margin of error of 4.4 percentage points.

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/01/05/us-usa-campaign-newhampshire-poll-idUSTRE8030WR20120105

This is good news, but I have to ask, who are the other 19% of voters leaning toward? That's a big question, because I have no doubt in my mind those 7-9% undecided voters in Iowa pretty much all went to Santorum.

 

[pauladin]

If Romney takes some serious bombardment at these two upcoming debates it might demoralize his support going in. We need him to fall into the 30's and us into the 20's. It would be wonderful if no one else cracks double digits and would help the perception of a Romney-Paul race.

 

[bluesc]

This is good news, but I have to ask, who are the other 19% of voters leaning toward? That's a big question, because I have no doubt in my mind those 7-9% undecided voters in Iowa pretty much all went to Santorum.

All the more reason for Ron to be heading to NH to grab the undecideds.

 

[jersdream]

Yeah, two day rolling average I believe, I am waiting on the pdf....here was YESTERDAY'S pdf: http://www.suffolk.edu/images/content/FINAL.NH.Marginals.Jan.4.pdf

Paul went down two points yesterday...so Jan. 3rds polling drug him from 16 to 14. Yesterday's rose him to 18....we got to remember the margin of error increases for an individual day, but yesterday was the first post-caucus polling day in the poll. January's 3rd was really as the Iowa caucuses were going on...before results came in. But hopefully this is more than statistical noise in a poll that has been previously very unfriendly towards us.

 

[Aratus]

zogby had mitt at 39%
and doctor ron at 24%

 

[Diurdi]

Only two unreliable pollsters with polls tonight

Looks like Paul is pretty strong in second though, and Mitt looks untouchable.

 

[JohnGalt23g]

This is good news, but I have to ask, who are the other 19% of voters leaning toward? That's a big question, because I have no doubt in my mind those 7-9% undecided voters in Iowa pretty much all went to Santorum.

NH definitely ain't Frothy country. He spent the last year in Iowa, neglecting NH in the process.

And those New Hampsherites don't appreciate being neglected. (Which, BTW, is why Ron should be there everyday this week, not chillaxing in Texas.)

 

[tremendoustie]

This is good news, but I have to ask, who are the other 19% of voters leaning toward? That's a big question, because I have no doubt in my mind those 7-9% undecided voters in Iowa pretty much all went to Santorum.

My opinion? The undecideds won't show.

 

[sailingaway]

All the more reason for Ron to be heading to NH to grab the undecideds.

He might be doing debate prep and getting over his cold. He got one just before New Years, and while he took a day off, he was still pretty hoarse in Iowa. With Santorum now in focus and likely to attack Ron and Gingrich attacking at every media stop, perhaps the campaign wanted to give him time to get up to speed on Santorum's record, do debate prep, and let Ron get over his cold prior to two debates back to back.

Dunno, but I agree if they aren't doing something like that, it would be nice to have him in New Hampshire. The others are getting tons of media and the Monitor seems to think it is their job to get Huntsman votes by raising questions about Ron (like, why isn't he here?)

 

[sailingaway]

My opinion? The undecideds won't show.

A lot will, but they won't go to Santorum, in New Hampshire, I don't think. Ron should get some, but we'll see.

 

[gyrmnix]

Only two unreliable pollsters with polls tonight

Looks like Paul is pretty strong in second though, and Mitt looks untouchable.

The reputable pollsters aren't that interested in polling NH right now. https://twitter.com/#!/ppppolls/status/154676198222471168

 

[Liberty74]

Isn't 21% in this poll undecided? I saw the screen shot on TV at work.

 

[SilentBull]

Don't undecideds just go mostly with whoever is at the top if they decide at the last minute?

 

[sailingaway]

Don't undecideds just go mostly with whoever is at the top if they decide at the last minute?

whoever has momentum, in bulk, but a bunch just pick between who they've been deciding between. Some pollsters distribute the undecided according to the share of the decided vote, but it misses momentum.

 

[jax]

So ron got a bigger iowa bump than santorim? Lulz, nh people are smart

 

[wgadget]

I've heard that NH people generally don't want to have the same winner(s) as Iowa. Let's hope it works this time around.

RON PAUL OR BUST

 

[sailingaway]

I've heard that NH people generally don't want to have the same winner(s) as Iowa. Let's hope it works this time around.

RON PAUL OR BUST

I think they are just very different people.

 

[angrydragon]

Where's Perry?