Ron down to 11% in latest Rasmussen Poll

[Jay778x]

I hope you're right. I just didn't get the impression that ron made much of a dent last night. I was fast forwarding between 20 min of McCain/Romney/Guilani before I got to 30sec of Ron. I was hoping to see a little more agressive Ron especially due to the exclusion of him tonight where he'll be further marginalized.

 

[jamesmadison]

I hope you're right. I just didn't get the impression that ron made much of a dent last night. I was fast forwarding between 20 min of McCain/Romney/Guilani before I got to 30sec of Ron. I was hoping to see a little more agressive Ron especially due to the exclusion of him tonight where he'll be further marginalized.

This campaign has yet to go backwards, and for a reason. We don't and won't.

 

[AgentPaul001]

I agree Foreign Policy could have been a breaking point for most of the candidates (which I think it was for some), but Ron failed to hammer McCain hard enough and I'm basically sure now that the Democrats are going to dominate the independent vote in New Hampshire now.

Any Polls that have Paul within 7-11% seem to be fairly standard, sure 14% was great, but it was an outlier.

 

[Mental Dribble]

Two polls showing him in 3rd or tied for 3rd is AWESOME

 

[Badger Paul]

Notice though, McCain has gone down. That "100 years war" quote could hurt him big time.

 

[Ball]

The debates were a loser for Ron mainly because the crazy war rhetoric scared off the independents.

 

[Ball]

Notice though, McCain has gone down. That "100 years war" quote could hurt him big time.

Only if it gets in the press, or if we buy an ad.

 

[RickLovesRon]

These numbers reflect results from a prediction market, not a poll. RasmussenMarkets.com is a “futures market” that harnesses competitive passions to becomes a reliable leading indicator of upcoming events. Using a trading format where traders "buy and sell" candidates, issues, and news features, the markets correctly projected both Obama and Huckabee as the winners in Iowa. We invite you to participate in the Rasmussen Markets. It costs nothing to join and add your voice to the collective wisdom of the market.


this is what it says on their website. i dunno just letting ya know

 

[BreakYourChains]

If these polls are accurate (and that the drop is a result of the debate) then unfortunately it just shows how ignorant these viewers are. Sure, we can sit here and say that he is the most intellegent candidate that was on the stage last night - the only one who makes sense - but when someone who doesn't know about Ron Paul watches that debate, they see the 4 other candidates laughing at him, and that's what they'll take from it.

Somehow we have to get them to watch the youtubes ( I like someone's suggestion to carry your laptop door to door ) AND know this is not a wasted vote. Keep talking about the money raised, the 'no' income tax, the disrespect from the MSM.

Edit: I do think that the others looked like idiots up there fighting against each other with their eyerolls and smirks. And we do have to beat Huckabee for sure.

Again, this poll was taken before last night's debate. Make sure to tune into CNN tonight at 7pm est (or the same time the Fox Forum is being shown) and watch a re-airing of last night's debate. Ron Paul did great in last night's debate.

http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/01/06/debates.videos/index.html

 

[Liberty Star]

We went from 14 to 11% in one day. I think the debate last night hurt more than helped. I think we'll drop below double digits tomorrow.

This poll was taken before the debate. Ron Paul did great in table talk, surrounded by Giuliani and Romney who looked like idiots sitting next to a wise man.

Polls are very rough indicators and fluctuate.

 

[Mortikhi]

14% to 11%....was 3% the margin of error for both these polls?

 

[Liberty Star]

I know, that is what I said. "We will drop to single digits tomorrow because of debate performance".

Did we watch the same table talk?

He was convincing and succinct and did very well.

Courtesy of researchris:

Here are ALL of Ron Paul's replies at the ABC/N.H. Republican debate. Due to great conversation between Ron Paul and others, this video is split into 2 parts....

Pt 1 ALL of RON PAUL's replies @ ABC/N.H. debate on 1-05-08
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jZ7CRYsoB6E

Pt 2 ALL of RON PAUL's replies @ ABC/N.H. debate on 1-05-08
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z7paYyU0WrE

He was super here and came across as a man of substance with views grounded in facts. It was like a wise man surrounded between couple of idiots on Foreign Policy issue.

Giulaini actually knows better but is pandering to Israel lobby. Romney just can't even say the terms right he is citing and was coached by his briefers, he is very ignorant on this issue. God save America from these two idiots, they will be no better than Bush/Cheney and team neocon of Perle/Wolfowitz/Bolton types they had surrounded themselves with who pushed America into preemptive blunder of Iraq.

 

[mconder]

I think the debate last night hurt more than helped.

The debate was a horrible moment for us. It's hard for a humble man of integrity to go into a den of vipers like that and expect not to get beat up a bit.

 

[RPatTheBeach]

11 and 14% are within the statistical margin of error of each other. It's more likely that our real support is in between 11 and 14 and didn't change at all in the past two days.

Everyone needs to read this. Only important thing is that our rolling average is on the way up.

 

[Liberty Star]

It's hard for a humble man of integrity to go into a den of vipers like that and expect not to get beat up a bit.

Judging by the substance of what was said, I think perceptive people will see who is right. He who talks the loudest in a table talk is not right necessarily. He could have offered more rebuttals but not a big issue imo.
RP has done that very effectively in actual debates with debate format, much of this table talk was revisiting of same issues. Hopefully NH voters pay attention to record of candidates and have watched all debates. $20 Million RP has raised is to a large degree due to his bold and articulate talk in formal debates.

 

[Paul4Prez]

Polls, schmolls.

Voter turnout trumps everything.

 

[justatrey]

Do we keep talking about Rasmussen because it shows Paul higher than all of the other polls?

From what I see, reality is that we are polling between 6% - 9% in all other polls:

Rasmussen: 11%
Suffolk: 9%
CNN/WMUR/UNH: 9%
McClatchy-MSNBC: 8%
Research 2000: 7%
Reuters/CSPAN/Zogby: 6%
ARG: 6%

Source: http://www.pollster.com/08-NH-Rep-Pres-Primary.php

 

[ronpaulfollower999]

New Hampshire GOP Primary

John McCain
32%

Mitt Romney
30%

Ron Paul
11%

Mike Huckabee
11%

Rudy Giuliani
9%

Fred Thompson
4%

Some other candidate
2%



Sunday, January 06, 2008
AdvertismentThe latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in New Hampshire shows John McCain earning 32% of the vote while Mitt Romney attracts 30%.

The survey was conducted on Friday night and Saturday afternoon. All interviews were conducted after the Iowa caucuses and before last night’s debate.

Rasmussen Reports will continue to poll in New Hampshire each day until the Primary and report results on a two-day rolling average basis.

The current poll shows Mike Huckabee and Ron Paul each earning 11% of the vote with Rudy Giuliani close behind at 9%. Fred Thompson earns 4%, some other candidate attracts 2%, and 3% are not sure.

Romney has a slight edge over McCain among conservative voters, 34% to 28%. McCain holds more than a two-to-one advantage over Romney among moderates.

Nationally, in both the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll and the Rasmussen Markets data, there is no clear frontrunner for the Republican nomination. In New Hampshire’s Democratic race, Barack Obama has a solid lead over Hillary Clinton.

McCain appeals to more Primary Voters as a general election candidate than any other candidate in the field. Eighty-four percent (84%) of Likely Primary Voters say they’d be at least somewhat likely to vote for McCain in November. Seventy-five percent (75%) say the same about Romney, and 74% would consider voting for Giuliani. Just 65% say they would be at least somewhat likely to vote for Huckabee if he is nominated while 62% say the same about Thompson. Just 52% would consider voting for Ron Paul if he is nominated.

Among just Republicans likely to participate in the Primary, 87% say they would be at least somewhat likely to vote for McCain. That too is the highest total for any candidate.

As noted yesterday, McCain is also seen as the most electable Republican. Seventy-six percent (76%) of GOP voters say the Arizona Senator is at least somewhat likely to win the White House if nominated. Sixty-eight percent (68%) have that confidence in Romney and 60% say the same of Rudy Giuliani. Yesterday’s report also noted that just three Republican candidates are currently viewed favorably by even a plurality of Likely Primary Voters.

F U Frank!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=If9EWDB_zK4

 

[Peace&Freedom]

Due to the debate (where the other candidate came off as childish or time-hogging bullies), AND the town hall, infomercial and other appearances of Paul tonight, AND Leno on Monday, expect Paul to RISE by the final polls on Tuesday ABOVE 14%, to take at least a third place finish.

 

[pacelli]

11 and 14% are within the statistical margin of error of each other. It's more likely that our real support is in between 11 and 14 and didn't change at all in the past two days.

Great point about the margin of error !