Ron down to 11% in latest Rasmussen Poll

[Jay778x]

New Hampshire GOP Primary

John McCain
32%

Mitt Romney
30%

Ron Paul
11%

Mike Huckabee
11%

Rudy Giuliani
9%

Fred Thompson
4%

Some other candidate
2%



Sunday, January 06, 2008
AdvertismentThe latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in New Hampshire shows John McCain earning 32% of the vote while Mitt Romney attracts 30%.

The survey was conducted on Friday night and Saturday afternoon. All interviews were conducted after the Iowa caucuses and before last night’s debate.

Rasmussen Reports will continue to poll in New Hampshire each day until the Primary and report results on a two-day rolling average basis.

The current poll shows Mike Huckabee and Ron Paul each earning 11% of the vote with Rudy Giuliani close behind at 9%. Fred Thompson earns 4%, some other candidate attracts 2%, and 3% are not sure.

Romney has a slight edge over McCain among conservative voters, 34% to 28%. McCain holds more than a two-to-one advantage over Romney among moderates.

Nationally, in both the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll and the Rasmussen Markets data, there is no clear frontrunner for the Republican nomination. In New Hampshire’s Democratic race, Barack Obama has a solid lead over Hillary Clinton.

McCain appeals to more Primary Voters as a general election candidate than any other candidate in the field. Eighty-four percent (84%) of Likely Primary Voters say they’d be at least somewhat likely to vote for McCain in November. Seventy-five percent (75%) say the same about Romney, and 74% would consider voting for Giuliani. Just 65% say they would be at least somewhat likely to vote for Huckabee if he is nominated while 62% say the same about Thompson. Just 52% would consider voting for Ron Paul if he is nominated.

Among just Republicans likely to participate in the Primary, 87% say they would be at least somewhat likely to vote for McCain. That too is the highest total for any candidate.

As noted yesterday, McCain is also seen as the most electable Republican. Seventy-six percent (76%) of GOP voters say the Arizona Senator is at least somewhat likely to win the White House if nominated. Sixty-eight percent (68%) have that confidence in Romney and 60% say the same of Rudy Giuliani. Yesterday’s report also noted that just three Republican candidates are currently viewed favorably by even a plurality of Likely Primary Voters.

 

[TXcarlosTX]

ehh

 

[Jay778x]

We went from 14 to 11% in one day. I think the debate last night hurt more than helped. I think we'll drop below double digits tomorrow.

 

[liberty_Forever]

Fuck You Frank

 

[Sean]

We went from 14 to 11% in one day. I think the debate last night hurt more than helped. I think we'll drop below double digits tomorrow.

This was before the debate.

 

[Jay778x]

This was before the debate.

I know, that is what I said. "We will drop to single digits tomorrow because of debate performance".

 

[acroso]

That 14% really was an outlier among polls.

We'll see hot this thing breaks in the next 48 hours *sigh*

 

[warmth of the sun]

Tied for third in the phone polls isn't a bad place to be.

 

[justatrey]

This is still better than what every other poll I've seen, so I'm still encouraged. Everyone else has us 7 - 9%.

http://www.pollster.com/08-NH-Rep-Pres-Primary.php

 

[Paulbot_9876]

I know, that is what I said. "We will drop to single digits tomorrow because of debate performance".

what debate was you watching????i seen children fighting other than rp....

 

[thegr8drronpaul]

If these polls are accurate (and that the drop is a result of the debate) then unfortunately it just shows how ignorant these viewers are. Sure, we can sit here and say that he is the most intellegent candidate that was on the stage last night - the only one who makes sense - but when someone who doesn't know about Ron Paul watches that debate, they see the 4 other candidates laughing at him, and that's what they'll take from it.

Somehow we have to get them to watch the youtubes ( I like someone's suggestion to carry your laptop door to door ) AND know this is not a wasted vote. Keep talking about the money raised, the 'no' income tax, the disrespect from the MSM.

Edit: I do think that the others looked like idiots up there fighting against each other with their eyerolls and smirks. And we do have to beat Huckabee for sure.

 

[Jay778x]

what debate was you watching????i seen children fighting other than rp....

I agree with that assessment it just seems like Ron didn't do enough to "wow" voters and bring them into his camp. He really needed to show some fighting spirit specifically against Thompson and Huckabee because those will be our main competitors for 3rd place. Ron seemed tired and complacent compared to his appearance today on Late Edition... he was energetic, talkative, and assertive.... none of which he displayed last night.

 

[Leslie Webb]

If the accounts of the sabotage of the 17,000 Iowa voters' data base are correct, then it is possible Ron would been near third place or better in Iowa at 13-15%. This would mean that the Iowa polls that had us at 8-10% underestimated our strength by about 5%. From Iowa we can say the polls have shown that they are accurate to a degree, that is, we are not getting double or triple the numbers that the polls show for us; however, the polls may be underestimating our strength by 3-5%. It would be fantastic if we could finish in third in New Hampshire, ahead of Huckabee, Giuliiani, and Thompson.

 

[aspiringconstitutionalist]

11 and 14% are within the statistical margin of error of each other. It's more likely that our real support is in between 11 and 14 and didn't change at all in the past two days.

 

[thoughtbombing]

Tied for third in the phone polls isn't a bad place to be.

Shit, I can't believe they even mentioned his name in a Phone poll...

if you've ever been to New Hampshire during this last year, you know that people probably think Ron Paul is the name of a Real Estate Agent, because he has more signs than Century 21 and Remax combined!

 

[stevedasbach]

We went from 14 to 11% in one day. I think the debate last night hurt more than helped. I think we'll drop below double digits tomorrow.

"The survey was conducted on Friday night and Saturday afternoon. All interviews were conducted after the Iowa caucuses and before last night’s debate. "

The debate wasn't a factor in this poll.

The 14% number yesterday is substantially higher than what the other polls are showing. 11% is more in line with the rest.

Two days from now we'll know for sure.

 

[Jay778x]

I know the debate wasnt a factor in this poll. My fear is that he will drop further after the debate last night is factored into new polls tomorrow

 

[jamesmadison]

We went from 14 to 11% in one day. I think the debate last night hurt more than helped. I think we'll drop below double digits tomorrow.

What the fuck are you talking about?

None of this had anything to do with the debate - it took place prior to.

 

[Jay778x]

I Think We'll Drop Tomorrow Because Of The Debate. I Was Speaking About Future Polls

 

[jamesmadison]

I Think We'll Drop Tomorrow Because Of The Debate. I Was Speaking About Future Polls

No one who supports ron paul stopped supporting him because of the debate. 14% and 11% are within the margin of error. We can only gain support when RP is on tv talking about non-interventionism which this country desperately desires.