PPP Poll (1/1/12): Paul 20%, Romney 19%, Santorum 18%

[Adrock]

Ron and Rand had a good set of National TV appearances today. Hopefully that helped close the deal. Also, I have a good feeling about the RP organization in Iowa. They are the envy of all the other campaigns. They are taking all the conventional and it sounds like some unconventional methods of GOTV and voter outreach. Sounds like the speeches at caucus will be crucial.

 

[seawolf]

It is obvious this Iowa Caucus on Tuesday will be close.....The key as we all know is going to be GOTV and the Precinct Ron Paul Speakers who will have the opportunity to sway those 30% who state that their minds are not made up to vote for Ron.

I sure hope all the preparation by the RP Iowa Campaign Staff pays off. They will have to have the best ground came Tuesday night to Win.....

One thing that really stands out in the PPP Poll....The Newsletter story and the unrelenting media bashing of it has caused Ron Paul's favorability numbers in the Poll to drop BIG TIME in the last seven days from 53/40 to 43/51 or 21 points. That is not good news!!

 

[qh4dotcom]

I doubt this poll is accurate. Its basically implying Ron Paul lost some votes to Santorum, which is physically impossible. Besides Perry, Santorum is the dumbest candidate. I doubt that excites many people.

If the 20% reported in this poll consisted only of hardcore supporters, yes that would be impossible. But Ron Paul does have soft support. Those are the people that need to be worked on.

 

[JTforRP]

Great, now I can't sleep and I'm up for work in 5 hours..

 

[Rincewind]

Hey, if half of a DMR poll can be considered legitimate, then I'll go with this.

And by numbers, half of this poll was a larger sample size than all of the DMR poll anyway.

 

[Hospitaller]

Nothing to apologize for, as a man I can tell you were no smarter than you guys

We arnt necessarily smarter but our priorities are surely different

 

[unknown]

Besides Perry, Santorum is the dumbest candidate.

No hes not.

 

[european]

PPP just tweeted day by day results:
Sat:
Romney 21,
Paul 19,
Santorum 18,
Newt 14,
Perry 10.

Sun:
Paul 21 (+2),
Romney (-2)/Santorum 18,
Newt 14,
Perry 10

This is a good sign

 

[Tinnuhana]

Wonder if Santorum is feeling good or bnad about stalling out at 18%. Heard him bragging about his ground game. Is his game anything besides stopping and talking to people in each county?

 

[ronpaulitician]

Interesting tidbit from cross tabs:

On the issues, Paul support goes from a low of 17% (social issues) to a high of 23% (taxes).
Romney has 10% or less for taxes, social issues, immigration, and foreign policy, but 29% for jobs/economy.
Santorum has 12% or less for taxes, immigration, and jobs/economy, but 33% for social issues.

Romney is the "I'll give you a job" guy, Santorum the "no gay marriage" guy, while Paul is equally strong on all issues.

 

[WD-NY]

Rick Santorum ad popping up on Facebook page:

can someone with a twitter account tweet this to @daveweigel, @tpcarney (tim carney) & @fivethirtyeight (nate silver) - maybe they'll pick it up and help it go viral.

 

[DRV45N05]

Hey guys, I'm chatting with a friend of mine on Facebook who works at PPP. I'm asking him about the numbers on each of the two days.

He said that it was about a 50/50 split on each of Saturday and Sunday- so more than 600 voters each day.

He's giving me the MOE for each day in a few minutes.

 

[Rincewind]

Hey guys, I'm chatting with a friend of mine on Facebook who works at PPP. I'm asking him about the numbers on each of the two days.

He said that it was about a 50/50 split on each of Saturday and Sunday- so more than 600 voters each day.

He's giving me the MOE for each day in a few minutes.

Probably about 4. Should be anyway.

 

[wgadget]

Why hasn't Drudge reported this poll yet?

 

[Jingles]

Who are these poor souls that are supporting Rick Santorum???

 

[unknown]

Whats MOE?

 

[tttppp]

If the 20% reported in this poll consisted only of hardcore supporters, yes that would be impossible. But Ron Paul does have soft support. Those are the people that need to be worked on.

That poll is not accurate. Polls are designed by the media to get people to vote for who the media wants. The only reason they give Ron Paul any credit is because of all the attention he gets online. If they simply gave Paul 1%, nobody would believe the poll.

 

[tttppp]

No hes not.

Then who is the dumbest candidate?

 

[doronster195]

Whats MOE?

Margin Of Error

 

[Karsten]

If Ron Paul wins the Caucus by 152 votes, I'm expecting RON PAUL to be the ONLY story that matters. It's only fair based on past events!