Wesker1982
Member
- Joined
- Feb 23, 2010
- Messages
- 1,807
I joined the Ron Paul bandwagon towards the end of the 2008 campaign, voted for him in MT. Didn't know about RPF, got all my Ron Paul news/info from 2+2 politics forum.
Not at all. This poll is for this particular website only. And as the poll indicates there are plenty of "lurkers". Think of the people that will see this poll but not vote because they lurk. The only thing this poll really indicates is that plenty of people have stuck around and not given up.
This poll is a negative - so far.
78% of Ron Paul support already existed in 2008. Only 22% is new support. Which equates to a 28% gain in support.
That's not going to get it done.
Take Iowa. Ron Paul got 10% of the vote. Factoring in his new supporters (based on this poll) only takes him to 13%. New Hampshire - 7.65% (actual) to 10%.
To win - Ron Paul needs to double or triple his support. Which would mean the #s for new support (in this poll) would need to be 50% - 67%.
Just sayin'.
There's also other forums, and this is at the beginning, instead of what he had at the end.
But the last poll like this had two thirds new since the campaign. So it just varies who does the poll. Go down to the bottom of the home page and see how many members have been here since yesterday, then look at the number who voted in the poll.
Well, I'm starting to regret even posting that in this thread - but I still think my point is valid. (Even though everyone disagrees with me.)
There is not enough "new" support since 2008. This poll shows it. You can say it's unscientific or whatever, and yes, there is a huge margin for error - but still I think this poll (even with margin of error) is more telling than many will care to admit.
Original 2008 support for Ron Paul is great and clearly necessary - but if the "new" support option does not reach 50%-67% come next January - then I don't think Ron Paul will come close to winning Iowa or NH.
Basically this forum and this poll, are a billion times removed from whats actually happening out in the real world, especially Iowa. That's my main point. If you wanted to do some real polling, hold several focus groups with likely GOP voters in Iowa right now.Well, I'm starting to regret even posting that in this thread - but I still think my point is valid. (Even though everyone disagrees with me.)
There is not enough "new" support since 2008. This poll shows it. You can say it's unscientific or whatever, and yes, there is a huge margin for error - but still I think this poll (even with margin of error) is more telling than many will care to admit.
Original 2008 support for Ron Paul is great and clearly necessary - but if the "new" support option does not reach 50%-67% come next January - then I don't think Ron Paul will come close to winning Iowa or NH.
I came here less than a month ago. I went from being completely apathetic to wanting to learn as much about Ron Paul, the Fed, Liberty, etc. as I possibly can. Like I said, all within a few weeks. Just finished reading The Revolution, now trying to decide which book I should pick up next. I voted McCain last time because I am white and I live in the south; I was trying to make sure I was fitting the stereotype. That's about as honest as I can be. I feel like I have suddenly woken up from a long hibernation. I know there are probably millions more that are like I was, just taking what I was being fed from TV. I'm upset that I've been ignorant for so long, but thankful that I finally see what's in front of my eyes.
I came here less than a month ago.
Been here since May 2007. One of theoldguys.