NH PPP Poll 12/29: Romney 36%, Paul 21%, Gingrich 13%, Huntsman 12%

[TexMac]

IMO, Nothing is going to bring Romney down with 44% of seniors backing him...best to take second and focus on other caucus states prior to March 6th...SC and FL are lost, Ron may get a small bump in SC and FL but not enough to get second unless Newt drops out...

Phone From Home is working with seniors. That's our best route to winning them over.

 

[ronpaulitician]

We might be at 25% in two weeks. With some luck and some good effort, a close second place would be very good.

 

[Cigaboo]

But Romney is destroying Paul with seniors 44%-11%..."

Yeah, and seniors are destroying this country...they are stubborn more than anything else. But as I said, since day 1, Ron will not win the nomination without seniors, if Paul is losing that badly to Romney with seniors, well, unfortunately...we lose primary states like NH. And that is your major problem. You'll have to bring in a hell of a lot of 45 and under voters to counter that type of imbalance. I don't think that winning Iowa is going to change seniors minds about Ron...Ron and his campaign is going to have to reach out somehow to clarify his message to seniors that the media has distorted.

This is very true. I know a few seniors that I've tried persuading about Ron Paul, but they do tend to have a stubborn loyalty to the MSM's espoused views. Winning the seniors over is going to be a challenge. I hope the official campaign, who have been very shrewd so far, have something in mind for this.

 

[robert9712000]

wow 50 percent of Romney supporters support him cause they think he can beat Obama compared to 17 percent Ron Paul.39percent see issues as more important compared to 75 percent of paul.shows you how shallow his support is

 

[Epic]

Need commercials touting polls that show RP is electable.

 

[ItsTime]

PUSSSSSSSSSSSHHHHHHHHHHHHH Phone from home every second you get. We need these lists compiled! PUSHHHHHHHHHHHH

 

[hazek]

But Romney is destroying Paul 46-11 with seniors, accounting for most of his overall advantage.

Why NH still isn't bombarded with ads specifically targeted at getting senior's votes is beyond me.

 

[kylejack]

Romney's supporters, 78% of them are sure they're going to vote for him. I don't think we gain much by going after them. I don't think the campaign should run a hit ad on him, especially since people like him so much. But I see another possibility.

With people who aren't Republicans, we are only trailing 24-27. We need to seek out these people who are less likely to vote in the primary and get them into the ballot box. How? PHONEBANK like crazy!

 

[MaxPower]

Outstanding! The news outlets have been in full-on attack mode for over a week, and it doesn't seem to be having any effect on Dr. Paul's rise.

 

[Michigan11]

I don't know, a win in Iowa, while RP is already rising in the polls steadily... you never know, especially the way voters are moving around...

A NH win is not out of the question.

 

[kylejack]

I think it's pretty much hands-off Romney. Our best strats are going to be cannibalize other non-Romney campaigns or bring in people who wouldn't have otherwise voted in the Republican primary.

 

[Brett85]

Should make a mashup ad of Romney supporting water boarding torture and invading Iraq.

Do you still realize that Ron is running in the REPUBLICAN primary? To me, it just seems like some of you don't think things through very well.

 

[Brett85]

According to PPP. Huckabee only got 11% in NH after racing to an easy first place in Iowa. So unlikely to get enough of a bounce to catch Romney. What you shoot for is a solid second and not getting embarrassed in SC.

Yeah, but Huckabee wasn't polling at 20% before the Iowa caucus.

 

[Warrior_of_Freedom]

if we can't even win NH how are we going to win other states?

 

[kylejack]

if we can't even win NH how are we going to win other states?

I worry about this too. Our message takes a while for the average voter to digest because of all the propaganda they've been fed. How the heck are we going to educate voters nationwide when we can't devote as much time and resources as we've devoted to Iowa and New Hampshire?

Don't worry too much about Mittens winning NH, though. A lot of people live in southern NH and commute to Boston for work, so they have close ties to him. I think a lot of people in NH regret turning on him in favor of McCain, who bombed against Obama, and want to give him a chance this time.

My hope is that we minimize damage and come in a respectable second drawing in people who wouldn't normally vote in a Republican primary.

 

[ItsTime]

if we can't even win NH how are we going to win other states?

You realize that Romney has a house in NH right? He basically lives here every summer.

 

[Number19]

Why NH still isn't bombarded with ads specifically targeted at getting senior's votes is beyond me.

You have to first identify the issue seniors are most concerned about. Is it entitlements; or electability; or what?

 

[QE Is Theft]

How can New Hampshire claim to be rogue state if they're voting for statist Mitt used-car-salesman Romney???

 

[kylejack]

How can New Hampshire claim to be rogue state if they're voting for statist Mitt used-car-salesman Romney???

They're the Live Free Or Die state. They're choosing the latter.

 

[Student Of Paulism]

Eh, just cant seem to get within 10%, its always 15% or more Eh, well 2nd place there was always the goal, but it would have been nice to make it a closer fight. Agree with Kyle about the time factor, it sucks it has to play out like this. People vote for Mitt or others because of their image and base it on pure visuals, whereas Ron's message takes time (sometimes A LOT of time) to digest, and well, sadly, there isnt much time left at this point. I am sure the actual primary totals will have Ron closer, but Romney will still have more than enough to win there.