NH PPP Poll 12/29: Romney 36%, Paul 21%, Gingrich 13%, Huntsman 12%

New Hampshire
12/27 - 12/28
830 likely Republican primary voters
+/-3.4%


[TABLE="width: 1"]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR][TD]Romney[/TD][TD]
36​
[/TD][TD]
35​
[/TD][TD]
28​
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Paul[/TD][TD]
21
[/TD][TD]
19
[/TD][TD]
9
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Gingrich[/TD][TD]
13​
[/TD][TD]
17​
[/TD][TD]
4​
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Huntsman[/TD][TD]
12​
[/TD][TD]
13​
[/TD][TD]
7​
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Bachmann[/TD][TD]
7​
[/TD][TD]
5​
[/TD][TD]
21​
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Perry[/TD][TD]
3​
[/TD][TD]
2​
[/TD][TD]
9​
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Roemer[/TD][TD]
3​
[/TD][TD]
[/TD][TD]
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Santorum[/TD][TD]
3​
[/TD][TD]
3​
[/TD][TD]
[/TD][/TR]
[/TABLE]


Ron Paul Crosstabs:

[TABLE="width: 100"]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]
12/27
12/28
[/TD]
[TD]
12/16
12/18
[/TD]
[TD]
6/30
7/5
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR][TD]18-29[/TD][TD]
27​
[/TD][TD]
29​
[/TD][TD]
17​
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]30-45[/TD][TD]
28​
[/TD][TD]
24​
[/TD][TD]
10​
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]46-65[/TD][TD]
20​
[/TD][TD]
16​
[/TD][TD]
7​
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]>65[/TD][TD]
11​
[/TD][TD]
11​
[/TD][TD]
10​
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Man[/TD][TD]
23​
[/TD][TD]
22​
[/TD][TD]
12​
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Woman[/TD][TD]
18​
[/TD][TD]
14​
[/TD][TD]
5​
[/TD][/TR]
[/TABLE]


Second Choice:

[TABLE="width: 1"]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]
12/27
12/28
[/TD]
[TD]
12/16
12/18
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR][TD]Romney[/TD][TD]
18​
[/TD][TD]
16​
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Gingrich[/TD][TD]
15​
[/TD][TD]
17​
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Huntsman[/TD][TD]
13​
[/TD][TD]
10​
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Paul[/TD][TD]
8
[/TD][TD]
13
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Santorum[/TD][TD]
8​
[/TD][TD]
5​
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Bachmann[/TD][TD]
7​
[/TD][TD]
9​
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Perry[/TD][TD]
4​
[/TD][TD]
4​
[/TD][/TR]
[TR][TD]Roemer[/TD][TD]
2​
[/TD][TD]
[/TD][/TR]
[/TABLE]
 
good or bad ? i dont remeber their last poll.

Good. Highest number ever in New Hampshire, in a much more clear second place, going from two points ahead of Gingrich to eight points ahead. When Obama upset Clinton in Iowa, New Hampshire polling swung 15%. When Kerry beat Dean in Iowa, New Hampshire polling swung 20%. So Paul is a little further back than we'd like him to be, but such big swings can happen in the week between the Iowa caucus and the New Hampshire primary.
 
Get another 1-2% before Iowa, then ride the surge and blast the airwaves for a week in NH. I think with a bit of luck and elbow grease we can win.
 
The best part of this whole thing is that somewhere right at this moment.. Gingrich and Bachmann are cursing up a storm and flipping furniture
 
Please reddit: reddit.com/r/politics/comments/nva6g/paul_gaining_momentum_in_nh_latest_nh_ppp_poll/
 
Oh man, how on Earth are we going to stop Santorum from surging!

Srsly you guys, the best thing about the campaign isn't how liberty minded our guy is and that he might actually win, but it's the bragging rights.

Seriously, though. I think that when the actual voting occurs, we'll be within 10% of Romney.
 
6% of Bach supporters have RP 2nd.... Romney bests that....

Huntsman and Newt supporters both have Romney 2nd choice way more than Paul...

Paul would benefit from Huntsman and Newt increasing vote share....
 
Ads in Hillsborough and Rockingham county are critical. Target seniors and women. Its the only two Romney can win.
 
Romney and Paul supporters are the most firmly committed...

Paul wins < 45 yrs old.
Romney dominates above that
 
lol I do like to see the most repugnant candidates -Newt, Bachmann, and Cain- on their way out of this thing.

Say what you will about Romney's Clinton-esque ability to pander, he isn't nearly the ghoul that those three are. And Huntsman, in spite of his recent silly attacks against Paul, isn't that bad, as far as establishment candidates are concerned. If he were the worst politician the GOP were throwing at the electorate, the party would be great.
 
I'm not sure what has been the historical bump after winning Iowa, but if Paul won Iowa by at least 5% and say - got a 10% bump from that in NH, then he would only need to make up 6% within a week to best Romney. With targeted advertisement going after Romney combined with a solid debate performance - it's very doable.
 
So where's our negative Romney ad at?

Should make a mashup ad of Romney supporting water boarding torture and invading Iraq.

(Our ad guy had a wife in the Romney campaign)
 
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With some Ronmentum out of Iowa , & Frothy placing 3rd in Iowa , Ron can most likely pick up a lot of Huntsmans support & Frothy might pick up some Mittens supporters ..... could make NH very competitive
 
I'm on the phone with NH at the moment -- lots of RP supporters still on this list -- need help -- Campaign asks you to "call from home"
 
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