NEW PPP RESULTS: Paul 55%, Conway 40%

[malkusm]

http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/

 

[low preference guy]

nice!

 

[MRoCkEd]

PPP releases last poll: Rand Paul 55%, Jack Conway 40%

http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/10/paul-headed-for-easy-victory.html

Rand Paul has expanded his lead in the Kentucky Senate race even further over the last week and is headed for a blowout win. His margin over Jack Conway is 55-40.

Kentucky is obviously a conservative state. Conway's ability to win was always going to depend on getting a lot of folks who supported John McCain in 2008 to vote Democratic for the Senate this time around. The most amazing finding on this final poll is that Rand Paul is actually picking up more Obama voters (15%) than Conway is McCain voters (9%). That's the formula for a landslide.

Over the last month of the campaign this went from being a relatively competitive race to a not so competitive one. That didn't have a ton to do with Rand Paul- his favorability in early September was 45/40 and now it's 48/43, basically unchanged. The shift is more a reflection of Jack Conway's image with Kentucky voters being shattered in the closing days. Seven weeks ago his favorability split evenly with 36% of voters rating him positively and negatively alike. Now he's very unpopular with only 34% of voters saying they like him and 52% expressing unfavorable opinions toward him.

In the end Rand Paul did not have any trouble reunifying his party after the Republican primary- GOP voters are going for him by an 88-8 margin. Conway meanwhile is bleeding Democratic support. He's getting only 61% of the vote from his own party while a full 34% say they plan to vote for Paul. Paul also has a 48-40 advantage with independents.

Barack Obama's approval rating in Kentucky is 31% with 62% of voters disapproving of him. This race may have been a stretch for Dems even with a perfect campaign and candidate. And in the end they had neither.

Full results here

 

[Inkblots]

ALL RIGHT! Let's do it on Tuesday. If we really push, we CAN win by 20%!

 

[Jordan]

Stomped!

 

[jrskblx125]

stick that in your pipe and smoke it... literally.

 

[Inkblots]

Hahahaha:

The most amazing finding on this final poll is that Rand Paul is actually picking up more Obama voters (15%) than Conway is McCain voters (9%). That's the formula for a landslide.

Hope 'n' change!

 

[low preference guy]

The most amazing finding on this final poll is that Rand Paul is actually picking up more Obama voters (15%) than Conway is McCain voters (9%). That's the formula for a landslide Randslide.

Fixed for you PPP.

 

[low preference guy]

1 of every 3 Dems are voting for Rand. That has the sound of a... randslide.

Conway meanwhile is bleeding Democratic support. He's getting only 61% of the vote from his own party while a full 34% say they plan to vote for Paul.

 

[sailingaway]

Fixed for you PPP.

Let this be the death of that 'a generic GOP candidate would have done better' meme.

The enthusiasm KY is going to see Tuesday is because Rand is their candidate.

Although, as we predicted, they plan to blame it on 'bad candidate'.

 

[TheDriver]

YouTube - Epic Touchdown Celebrations

 

[sailingaway]

YouTube - Epic Touchdown Celebrations

Save it for Tuesday. It isn't over until it is over.

 

[LibertyBrews]

Randstomp

 

[Gage]

Tuesday will be one epic night.

 

[Inkblots]

If (when) we win really big, maybe we can take a page out of Allahpundit's playbook and break out the humpbot?

 

[Brett85]

Called it.

 

[RP Supporter]

Not that I'm complaining, but I'm a little surprised Paul's lead with Independents is not bigger. It's also nice to see it confirmed that Rand's winning 1 in 4 Blacks. That's a very interesting development.

 

[Matt Collins]

 

[sailingaway]

From the full results:

" “Very few people would have predicted this five months ago but Rand Paul ended up being a stronger general election candidate than Jack Conway,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “He was always favored in this race but he’ll win by a surprisingly large margin.”

Oh, yeah!

 

[rprprs]

GOTV!
The bigger the better.
Crush that man!