NEW PPP RESULTS: Paul 55%, Conway 40%

[low preference guy]

Rand Paul now has about the same favorability among men and women

 

[anaconda]

Does anyone remember the poll from a couple of days ago that showed Rand up overall but losing the independent votes to Conway? I can't locate it. Sharp contrast to this PPP poll that shows Rand dominating with independents (which is what I would expect).

 

[Jeremy]

Does anyone remember the poll from a couple of days ago that showed Rand up overall but losing the independent votes to Conway? I can't locate it. Sharp contrast to this PPP poll that shows Rand dominating with independents (which is what I would expect).

Recent polls have showed him taking indies by a large margin.

 

[JohnEngland]

It's not over yet... Just saying...

But if Rand wins by 15 or so points, it'll probably be a bigger win than Coons over O'Donnell or Blumenthal over McMahon.

I'm still just wondering whether there'll be negative feedback from the "stomp" ads currently being shown in Kentucky. Surely they're going to affect some voters...

 

[LibertyBrews]

"34% of Democrats are planning to vote for Paul", my oh my Jack.

 

[thomas-in-ky]

Democrat ........................................................ 53%
Republican...................................................... 37%

Looks like the debate over party representation in the various polls is over with.

 

[ScotTX]

Rand will p/u at least 3% of the remaining undecideds, so it'll end up about 58-42 Paul. RANDSLIDE!

 

[Cardinal Red]

Just think of how big this wn could have been

If the media had actually seriously reported Jack Conway's obstruction of justice/drugs scandal with his brother. Oh well-- it will all come out after the election, most likely.

Jack Conway is the John Edwards of 2010.

 

[paulitics]

"Hit the road Jack, and don't cha come back no more, no more, no mo!" will be a nice end to things don't you guys think?

 

[low preference guy]

I'm still just wondering whether there'll be negative feedback from the "stomp" ads currently being shown in Kentucky. Surely they're going to affect some voters...

that is history already

 

[paulitics]

If the media had actually seriously reported Jack Conway's obstruction of justice/drugs scandal with his brother. Oh well-- it will all come out after the election, most likely.

Jack Conway is the John Edwards of 2010.

If they are smart, they would just throw Jack under the bus tomorrow. Then they can blame the Randslide on a scandal ridden candidate, instead of liberal policies that the people are saying hell no to.

 

[Matt Collins]

"Hit the road Jack, and don't cha come back no more, no more, no mo!" will be a nice end to things don't you guys think?

Just wait and see

 

[Matt Collins]

If the media had actually seriously reported Jack Conway's obstruction of justice/drugs scandal with his brother. Oh well-- it will all come out after the election, most likely

See this:
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1010/44446.html

 

[Brett85]

"Kentucky is obviously a conservative state. Conway's ability to win was always going to depend on getting a lot of folks who supported John McCain in 2008 to vote Democratic for the Senate this time around. The most amazing finding on this final poll is that Rand Paul is actually picking up more Obama voters (15%) than Conway is McCain voters (9%). That's the formula for a landslide."

And yet McCain won in Kentucky by 17 points, and they only have Rand winning by 15. That just shows that even this poll is underestimating Republican turnout. I think it's very likely that Rand will end up winning by 20+ points.

 

[Cardinal Red]

See this:
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1010/44446.html

Saw it and left a comment-- But it is too late to make a difference-- especially as our camp is (quite sensibly) not pushing it.

 

[2young2vote]

"34% of Democrats are planning to vote for Paul", my oh my Jack.

Yes, this is pretty bad for Conway. Is it because they are more blue-dog than pure progressive liberal?

 

[Brett85]

Yes, this is pretty bad for Conway. Is it because they are more blue-dog than pure progressive liberal?

Yeah. Kentucky and West Virginia have some of the most conservative Democrats in the country. I have no idea why you would want to be a Democrat if you're a conservative, but there's a lot of Democrats like that in Kentucky.

 

[low preference guy]

Yeah. Kentucky and West Virginia have some of the most conservative Democrats in the country. I have no idea why you would want to be a Democrat if you're a conservative, but there's a lot of Democrats like that in Kentucky.

Maybe because they haven't forgiven the Republican Party yet for having Abraham Lincoln?

 

[klamath]

This is making me a little optimistic. It is starting to look like the moveon stunt thing may have backfired on them as well.

 

[Brett85]

This is making me a little optimistic. It is starting to look like the moveon stunt thing may have backfired on them as well.

I think it backfired on them when Conway actually started blaming Rand for it. Conway has basically gone into a complete meltdown over the past few weeks. I'm not completely sure if that guy is completly stable or not.