Iowa PPP Poll 12/18: Paul 23%, Romney 20%, Gingrich 14%

[parocks]

Compared to last week's poll, this poll had:

3% more Democrats and Independents
4% more Men
4% more 18 to 45

good research

 

[PaulConventionWV]

The poll says 56% of respondents watched the debate and we still went up!

That's because we did awesome in the debate and Ron was dropping truth bombs all over the place.

 

[seapilot]

No. They have 10% each. they are already too close when you count second choice votes.

Not only that but their has been rumor that they might get together on the same ticket. It would be a hail Mary pass, but on caucus night if they combine together they could get easily over 20 % might take some of Newts and Perry soft supporters too.

 

[anaconda]

Paul up by 3 in poll. Margin of error = 4. This is a statistical tie.

 

[BucksforPaul]

Lol

 

[PaulConventionWV]

I just realized that Santorum's rise from 2% is very good for us. Now the rabid warmongers have a place to go. Everyone knows that Santorum voters would never vote for Ron Paul, so it's good that they're going toward someone who doesn't have any chance of winning. Heck, Santorum's probably going to stay in it for the long haul, too.

The reason we are winning right now is that there are enough establishment options so that it dilutes the establishment vote all that much more because Santorum has gained much of it and equalized the leading establishment candidates, and now Ron Paul stands out. It's freakin' genius how we're actually pulling this off.

 

[South Park Fan]

Paul up by 3 in poll. Margin of error = 4. This is a statistical tie.

True, but at least now were on the right side of the statistical tie.

 

[Epic]

Paul up by 3 in poll. Margin of error = 4. This is a statistical tie.

No, it just means there a greater than 5 percent chance that Romney is actually ahead. But not a 50% chance.

The point is, the margin of error is totally arbitrary. They use a 95% confidence interval, but they could have just as easily picked a 99% interval or a 90% one.

 

[BucksforPaul]

I changed my mind, this is much better and please don't accuse me of flip the mitt flopping.

 

[anaconda]

There's a lot of folks drooling for that 3rd place spot right now.

 

[South Park Fan]

Some food for thought: PPP had crosstabs which included those that watched the debate: Romney (+9), Gingrich (+8), and Bachmann (+3) improved among those who watched; Paul (-11), Santorum (-7), and Perry (-1) lost support among debate viewers.

 

[crh88]

Can't stop the Revolution!

 

[Barrex]

Well the word is out...What you didnt heard?...Well, everybodys talking about the
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZThquH5t0ow

Now he must keep momentum...

 

[Kuthreck]

God Does Exist...

 

[pauliticalfan]

Check it out guys. I believe it's the first time RCP has shown Paul leading a poll.

 

[Todd38]

I need to go to sleep for work but we need to spread this link all over the place... send it to every media outlet, journalist, facebook, twitter...

E-Mail the scummy biased Fox News anchors and laugh.

 

[Karsten]

Check it out guys. I believe it's the first time RCP has shown Paul leading a poll.

Seeing Paul a close 2nd on RCP is almost as nice as the PPP poll itself!

 

[eaglesfan48]

So awesome...

The phone from home program is really working!

 

[Karsten]

^^^^ You know what's fascinating in the RCP Iowa graph?? Bachmann seems to get a steep negative bump in August right after her Straw Poll win, while Paul got a positive bump.

 

[Freeberty]

If our strength is mainly among young people, we need to encourage them to influence their parents/grandparents while they are home for the holidays.