'Best Pollster in Politics' releases final Iowa poll tonight at 5:30.

[laissez faire]

538's recent feature on the Des Moines Register's Ann Selzer.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/selzer/

The paper's announcement of the final poll results to come later today.
http://www.desmoinesregister.com/st...l-before-caucuses-released-saturday/79411100/

Rand was at 5% in their poll of 2 weeks ago. The last 5 polls he has been under 5%
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...iowa_republican_presidential_caucus-3194.html

Let's see what DM says tonight.

 

[RDM]

Will probably show a 2% bump, but their MOE will cover their ass in case of Iowa surprise.

 

[Dianne]

Hopefully he got a bounce off of the debate.

 

[kbs021]

If we do get a bump, be prepared to share the word very hard.

 

[mit26chell]

Rubio will have surged to 25%, Rand back down to 2. LOL. We all know it's a joke anyway

 

[clint4liberty]

If the phone from home program works then the polls are dead wrong. We can only fund gotv efforts all on fronts to motivate people likely or wanting to caucus for Rand Paul. I do not care about polls only encouraging voters to join us as the only real option for President.

 

[eleganz]

Rubio will have surged to 25%, Rand back down to 2. LOL. We all know it's a joke anyway

Rubio surge is one of the best scenarios for Rand.

 

[Sentinelrv]

Didn't the DMR endorse Rubio?

 

[CPUd]

Is she the one who was only polling 5% of Ron 2012 voters?

 

[ds21089]

Rubio surge is one of the best scenarios for Rand.

Not if it pushes him to 4th (which I doubt will happen unless the voting is rigged).

 

[rich34]

Any numbers released yet?

 

[01000110]

Any numbers released yet?

5:30 CT maybe?

 

[CPUd]

It is projecting based on a 284K turnout...I think that is for both parties.

14% are registered Republicans.

 

[rich34]

5:30 CT maybe?

My bad, I'd say you're right.

 

[Patrick Henry]

It is projecting 284K turnout...

Yikes

 

[CPUd]

The 284K active voters is the same model they used for the last DMR poll. The sample is only 14% registered GOP

 

[CPUd]

Full results will be posted 5:45PM, assuming Central time, because Iowa.

 

[unknown]

I'm refreshing the page every minute...

 

[nikcers]

They are still taking bids, and then they have to count all their money

 

[JRS]

I'm refreshing the page every minute...

lol same