GraspingForPeace
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Ehhh... not according to recent polls.
What states can Paul win, realistically?
- Thread starter realtonygoodwin
- Start date
Ehhh... not according to recent polls.
eleganz
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Nevada we got 13% last go around, let's double and a half the support since we've been averaging AT LEAST double the support since Iowa.
That puts us at around 26-32%
Mitt Romney took 51%
GET TO WORK.
I don't understand many of these delusions. In 08 with only 4 people left we came in last place with 4% in California...how is it one of those states we are supposed to win? Also somebody said we can win Texas...has anyone seen the polls? We are in last place in the low double digits if I remember correctly. North Dakota, Maine and some western states look like real possibilities but the heavily populated states seem pretty much impossible barring a miracle.
libertarian4321
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That was when Perry was in the race.
Romney is about as cancer down here. Gingrich comes off as an arrogant know-it-all which also won't play well here.
I could see Ron winning Texas.
SurfsUp
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ahhh Too many negative nancys on this forum. I often wonder why they are really here. hmm
Ron WON the L..A. STRAW POLL! THIS IS NOT 2008! We are doubling and even trippling our numbers now!
If people are going to say we are polling shitty then post your evidence of legit polls because as we all know, most polls are bullshit or not polling new pubs and or independents, young people, etc etc.
Texas is Rons state. i think he will win itl. Everyone I know in California wants Ron to win. Other than one mexican friend of mine.
That's a shitload of delegates.
Ron WON the L..A. STRAW POLL! THIS IS NOT 2008! We are doubling and even trippling our numbers now!
If people are going to say we are polling shitty then post your evidence of legit polls because as we all know, most polls are bullshit or not polling new pubs and or independents, young people, etc etc.
Texas is Rons state. i think he will win itl. Everyone I know in California wants Ron to win. Other than one mexican friend of mine.
That's a shitload of delegates.
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eleganz
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I'm one of those that don't think straw polls are relative to winning actual elections. Yes it is true we won the CA GOP straw poll but it is also true that those people only showed up to see Ron. Those same people that came for the straw poll aren't active when they SHOULD be active but we, in CA are working to change that. We are working for victory.
And we need as much help as possible, this is a huge state with a lot of voters so the reward is sweet. We need proper momentum and a lot of dedication. Do I think it is possible? YES. Is it difficult? EXTREMELY.
newRonPaulfan
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Ron has no chance at winning any state.
He has my permission at least to go back to Texas and retire ,he's fought the good fight for liberty ,but apparently Americans don't want their liberty, they want government to spend their money, send their citizens off to war, and take their rights away, and then they just bitch out about it. Well, one day they will no longer be allowed to bitch and moan about how the government sucks, they'll just be arrested indefinitely like in China.
He has my permission at least to go back to Texas and retire ,he's fought the good fight for liberty ,but apparently Americans don't want their liberty, they want government to spend their money, send their citizens off to war, and take their rights away, and then they just bitch out about it. Well, one day they will no longer be allowed to bitch and moan about how the government sucks, they'll just be arrested indefinitely like in China.
goldpants
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Chin up buckaroo, this process feels a whole lot better than 2008. Our opponents are seriously flawed, not sure anyone but Mitt can hang in there for the long haul. Let's see how the caucuses play out before we give up. Newt's win tonight was much better than one for Mitt.
It sucks but you can't ever stop fighting. If Ron would have quit trying in 1988, how many people would be staying at home or voting for Bush 3.0 in the upcoming election, knowing nothing of the liberty message? We dominate the youth now anyways, it's only a matter of time before those youth move up into the age blocks that actually vote. Over time we will see more and more congressmen like Rand Amash and Massie elected and move the national narrative toward a more libertarian flavor. Whether we can get Dr.Paul into the white house remains to be seen, but a liberty victory is definitely inevitable regardless of this elections outcome as long as people keep trying to grow the movement.
Paul will invest in caucuses in Nevada on Feb. 4; in Maine from Feb. 4 to 11; and in Colorado and Minnesota on Feb. 7.
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0112/71771.html
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0112/71771.html
In the head to head poll with Romney, Romney got 75% of the vote or so. We need to stop being delusional and focus on the states we can win to try to generate momentum and delegates.
fatjohn
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Hopefully he wins at least half of those.
Slobodan
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Just got back to Florida a few days ago and drove to the farmers market to get food on the way saw 30 Romney signs and only 1 Dr. Paul also last night watched 40 minutes TV saw 3 Romney ads. It's not looking good here for the primary Jan 31st.
The good news is I got my voter registration card and it says Republican and the date is December so I think I'm all set (I never voted in my life this is the first time). I have a pretty good email list in Tampa bay will tell people I'm voting for Dr. Paul and why hopefully that gets a few more votes but I think it's not looking good here, that will not stop me from voting for the right person, it's Dr. Paul or no voting, I never did the "lesser evil" thing in my life and will not start now (my boss tried to make me vote for a former communist in Slovenia saying it was a lesser evil and I had a hard time wiggling out of that one)! So I'm super proud this is my first vote will make a youtube video why I'm doing it and hopefully a few more people after Florida who see the video will ignore the media and vote for Dr. Paul and why it's important in the long run (this cause will go on, don't give up hope).
The good news is I got my voter registration card and it says Republican and the date is December so I think I'm all set (I never voted in my life this is the first time). I have a pretty good email list in Tampa bay will tell people I'm voting for Dr. Paul and why hopefully that gets a few more votes but I think it's not looking good here, that will not stop me from voting for the right person, it's Dr. Paul or no voting, I never did the "lesser evil" thing in my life and will not start now (my boss tried to make me vote for a former communist in Slovenia saying it was a lesser evil and I had a hard time wiggling out of that one)! So I'm super proud this is my first vote will make a youtube video why I'm doing it and hopefully a few more people after Florida who see the video will ignore the media and vote for Dr. Paul and why it's important in the long run (this cause will go on, don't give up hope).
Anti Federalist
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Honest question.
The answer is: there is no polling data showing RP in the lead in any state, AFAIK.
There's more going on here than just a primary race however.
If that's your only metric for support, a primary win, then I suggest you bail out now.
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