WA RESULTS: 22.1% Reporting... Romney 35.6% Paul 24.6% Santorum 24.6%

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Updated, we are now up to 13.8% and have exactly as many votes as Santorum
 
fuck this shit ... Romney 36% and Paul 24% (tied w/ Santo)?!

Are you kidding me.
 
What?! Thousands of votes just came in but only 1.8% more precincts, and it looks like only a few hundred votes here and there in different counties????

And Paul and Santorum EXACTLY tied?

Sounds suspicious!
 
Spokane, King, Snohomish, and Pierce left.

In spokane I would guess: Paul, Santorum, Romney
In King I would guess: Romney, Paul, Santorum

dont know about snohomish and pierce
 
Here's an intriguing section of the google map of WA:
0percent.jpg
 
Without a doubt, I've lost pretty much all hope of Paul actually winning a state.

Delegates delegates delegates.


Delagates don't mean a damn thing without 5 wins, let alone none.

Unless you are hoping for a deal to get him selected as VP, but since so many people said they wouldn't vote for him as VP which is silly, delegates will again not matter.
 
I believe it. There were a lot of Romney supporters in my precinct. There were 16 Paul supporters identified in my precinct who volunteered to become delegates, but only 4 of those 16 showed up. Luckily a wild Paul supporter appeared and managed to get an alternate spot. We would have dominated the delgate slate if the Paul supporters who said they would volunteer had shown up, but when it came time to actually perform, it didn't happen.

We were lucky and came away with 3 alternates, but Romney and Santorum walked away with the main delegates (3 apiece).
 
How did the % move up to 16.5% but the counts did not move at all?

And now it moves to 22% but the numbers don't move..
 
Here's an intriguing section of the google map of WA:
View attachment 1320

Same thing with Cowlitz and Clark
21dly0k.jpg
 
It went from 13.8% to 22.1% reporting WITH NO CHANGE IN THE VOTES!

I'm done with this.
 
I don't really want to argue the validity of the polls ( I tend to think its somewhere in between as well as people not being able to read them properly), but I think that the campaign as well as the phone from home boosted our turnout.

Superbrochures = waste.
IDing supporters via phone and giving info of caucus location/time/etc... = efficient spending of money.


IT is not about the "truth" it is about what is happening. Ron Paul supporters are FAR more likely to take the few hours out of their SAturday morning to go caucus. So he will get a much higher percentage of people who SAY they would vote for him than the others.

For example...in a poll, 1000 may say they would vote for Romney, and 400 say they would vote for Paul. But it is VERY easy to say something over the phone, and much harder to drag yourself out of bed on a weekend and drive to your caucus place and hang out for awhile. Especially if your candidate is probably going to do well anyway. So for those 1000 people that said they would vote for Romney, maybe 40% will actually do it. But of the 400 people that said they would vote for Ron Paul, maybe 75% will actually do it. or 300 votes

So..rather than the 71%-29% split in the polls, it would be a 57%-43% race.

Common sense is not a conspiracy. And if you guys haven't realized by now that Ron Paul's supporters are far more likely to vote, then I don't know what you've been paying attention to the last 4 1/2 years.


It also is just plain common sense why he starts off higher than he ends up. Ron PAul does better in precincts with low turnouts. And the ones that have the fewest votes to count are going to be the ones most likely to report EARLY. This is also why with 12% of the precincts reporting, there is like 4-5% of the expected number of votes. The ones with higher turnouts haven't finished counting. And those are the ones that on average, Ron Paul will not do as well.
 
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