TX-Early voting results: 44% of all registered voters have voted - 53% GOP - 38% Dem

[Anti Federalist]

Texas Early Ballot Returns Show Recent Polls Are Wrong As GOP Dominates 53% to 37%

Youth Vote as a Percentage Collapses

https://www.toptradeguru.com/news/e...s-early-ballot-returns-shows-polls-are-wrong/

By Evan Post date Oct 24

With 6,209,849 ballots cast, the GOP dominates the early vote. 53% GOP to 37% DEM. About 44% of all registered voters have voted.

Source: NBCNews.

Youth Vote as a Percentage Collapses

Particularly worrisome for Democrats trying to turn the state blue was the absence of youth voters as a percentage. Because voting is up 194% from this time in 2016, raw numbers show the youth vote up. However, as a percentage of full demographic, they makeup only 11%. In 2016 they were 19% of the electorate. Young people are not showing up.

Polls Appear To Be Wrong

Republicans are expected to have a swell of voters cast ballots as we approach November 3rd, 2020. This is because some Republicans are wary of casting mail-in ballots.

This week three polls were released that show Biden and Trump even. The early vote data does not support this claim because it’s expected the share of GOP voters will only increase from now to election day.

Morning Consult – Biden vs. Trump Texas Tie
Quinnipiac – Biden vs. Trump Texas Tie
Data For Progress – Biden +1 Registered Voters in Texas

 

[oyarde]

Ya , the polls are not real . They represent what the dems wish for in some places

 

[PRB]

Biden is winning, even if he doesn't win Texas.

 

[Swordsmyth]

Biden is winning, even if he doesn't win Texas.

Dream on.

 

[PRB]

Dream on.

Denial won't get you anywhere Ron Paul lost, Trump barely won, and nobody who didn't vote for him is voting for him now.

This means
-he's losing some of his own votes from 2016
-new voters won't be voting for him
-nobody is flipping to his favor

 

[Swordsmyth]

Denial won't get you anywhere Ron Paul lost, Trump barely won, and nobody who didn't vote for him is voting for him now.

This means
-he's losing some of his own votes from 2016
-new voters won't be voting for him
-nobody is flipping to his favor

I told you to dream on and you complied.

 

[Anti Globalist]

Pretty sure theres more Democrats taking part in early voting than Republicans.

 

[parocks]

Denial won't get you anywhere Ron Paul lost, Trump barely won, and nobody who didn't vote for him is voting for him now.

This means
-he's losing some of his own votes from 2016
-new voters won't be voting for him
-nobody is flipping to his favor

There are people on this very board who are saying they didn't vote for Trump in 2016 and will be in 2020.

 

[Michael Landon]

There are people on this very board who are saying they didn't vote for Trump in 2016 and will be in 2020.

I keep running into people that are saying the same thing. "I didn't vote for Trump last time, but I'm voting for him this time."

- ML

 

[Dr.3D]

Seeing all the crap the democrats pulled on Trump for the past four years, it's a wonder anybody would vote against him.

 

[enhanced_deficit]

TX media polls have been almost tied, would be surprising if Trump did not win it. TX is also home of controversial CUFI with many evanagelicals, embassy move will further boost Trump there.

FL will lbe key in deciding who will win White House, influential CUFItes there tend to be on the liberal/non-Christian/non-denomnational-Christian side relatively, like a mix of NYC & TX.

Yesterday

[TABLE="class: polls-table"]
[TR="class: visible-row"]
[TD="class: type hide-mobile first, colspan: 2"]President: general election[/TD]
[TD="class: race hide-mobile"]Texas[/TD]
[TD="class: new"][/TD]
[TD="class: dates hide-mobile"]Sep 26-Oct 23, 2020[/TD]
[TD="class: pollster"] D-SurveyMonkey[/TD]
[TD="class: sample hide-mobile"]14,436[/TD]
[TD="class: sample-type hide-mobile"]LV[/TD]
[TD="class: answer first hide-mobile"]Biden[/TD]
[TD="class: value hide-mobile"]47%[/TD]
[TD="class: value hide-mobile"]51%[/TD]
[TD="class: answer hide-mobile"]Trump[/TD]
[TD="class: leader hide-mobile"]Trump[/TD]
[TD="class: net hide-mobile rep"]+4[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: visible-row"]
[TD="class: type hide-mobile last, colspan: 2"]President: general election[/TD]
[TD="class: race hide-mobile"]Texas[/TD]
[TD="class: new"][/TD]
[TD="class: dates hide-mobile"]Sep 26-Oct 23, 2020[/TD]
[TD="class: pollster"] D-SurveyMonkey[/TD]
[TD="class: sample hide-mobile"]14,436[/TD]
[TD="class: sample-type hide-mobile"]RV[/TD]
[TD="class: answer first hide-mobile"]Biden[/TD]
[TD="class: value hide-mobile"]49%[/TD]
[TD="class: value hide-mobile"]48%[/TD]
[TD="class: answer hide-mobile"]Trump[/TD]
[TD="class: leader hide-mobile"]Biden[/TD]
[TD="class: net hide-mobile dem"]+1[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

Oct. 22, 2020

[TABLE="class: polls-table"]
[TR="class: visible-row"]
[TD="class: type hide-mobile first last, colspan: 2"]President: general election[/TD]
[TD="class: race hide-mobile"]Texas[/TD]
[TD="class: new"][/TD]
[TD="class: dates hide-mobile"]Oct 11-20, 2020[/TD]
[TD="class: pollster"]B/C Morning Consult[/TD]
[TD="class: sample hide-mobile"]3,347[/TD]
[TD="class: sample-type hide-mobile"]LV[/TD]
[TD="class: answer first hide-mobile"]Biden[/TD]
[TD="class: value hide-mobile"]48%[/TD]
[TD="class: value hide-mobile"]47%[/TD]
[TD="class: answer hide-mobile"]Trump[/TD]
[TD="class: leader hide-mobile"]Biden[/TD]
[TD="class: net hide-mobile dem"]+1[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: visible-row"]
[TD="class: type hide-mobile single first last"]U.S. Senate[/TD]
[TD="class: new"][/TD]
[TD="class: race hide-mobile"] Texas[/TD]
[TD="class: new hide-mobile"][/TD]
[TD="class: dates hide-mobile"]Oct 11-20, 2020[/TD]
[TD="class: pollster"]B/C Morning Consult[/TD]
[TD="class: sample hide-mobile"]3,347[/TD]
[TD="class: sample-type hide-mobile"]LV[/TD]
[TD="class: answer first hide-mobile"]Hegar[/TD]
[TD="class: value hide-mobile"]41%[/TD]
[TD="class: value hide-mobile"]46%[/TD]
[TD="class: answer hide-mobile"]Cornyn[/TD]
[TD="class: leader hide-mobile"]Cornyn[/TD]
[TD="class: net hide-mobile rep"]+5[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

 

[Anti Federalist]

TX media polls have been almost tied, would be surprising if Trump did not win it. TX is also home of controversial CUFI with many evanagelicals, embassy move will further boost Trump there.

RCP shows the last two TX polls as one tied, one for Biden by 1.7 points.

Early voting data shows Trump with a 15 point lead in Texas.

Either the early voting data is skewed wrong somehow, or the biggest "Fuck You" ever, aimed at the punditocracy, talking heads, Marxist media organs and pollsters, is shaping up.

Or it could be that the polling firms are as corrupt as the Marxist media organs are and have, universally, been reporting fake numbers on purpose.

 

[ResponsibleIdiot]

Maybe this is a sign. I was listening Dave Rubin's podcast and the Dilbert guy was on. He said he did a poll where he asked if people actively lied about who they were voting for this election cycle and hundreds answered yes.

I wouldn't be surprised if Trump supporters fukked with the pollsters. This could have a very funny, and thereby, very violent end.

 

[olehounddog]

Denial won't get you anywhere Ron Paul lost, Trump barely won, and nobody who didn't vote for him is voting for him now.

This means
-he's losing some of his own votes from 2016
-new voters won't be voting for him
-nobody is flipping to his favor

10 people in my family have voted Trump. None of us voted since the last time Ron ran for POTUS.
We have not answered any polls.

 

[Anti Federalist]

Meanwhile in Florida, early IN PERSON voting is showing:

2020 IPEV D-R ratio:34.76% D - 46.26% R, Gap: -11.50%
12.96% Advantage Trump

When the map says "Advantage Biden" or "Advantage Trump," it is comparing to 2016 early votes. Biden is EXPECTED to lead by a ridiculous advantage because of COVID-19 pushing Democrats into VBM

But the polls say:

RCP Average this morning has Biden winning at 1.5 percent.

 

[Anti Federalist]

10 people in my family have voted Trump. None of us voted since the last time Ron ran for POTUS.
We have not answered any polls.

Pretty much the same here...I wrote in Ron in 2016...this year, well...me, Mrs AF, all five of my kids and stepkids, mom, dad, brother, three SIL, MIL, ex-Mrs.AF and pretty much everybody I work with have all said at some point they are voting Trump.

 

[ResponsibleIdiot]

Pretty much the same here...I wrote in Ron in 2016...this year, well...me, Mrs AF, all five of my kids and stepkids, mom, dad, brother, three SIL, MIL, ex-Mrs.AF and pretty much everybody I work with have all said at some point they are voting Trump.

I guess blowback applies to riots, wokeness, and media censorship. Who knew?

 

[Anti Federalist]

I guess blowback applies to riots, wokeness, and media censorship. Who knew?

I'd like to think so, but who knows for sure?

What a cluster-fuck this is.

 

[Anti Federalist]

 

[oyarde]

Politico put out a poll today saying biden has slight edge in texas while exit polling shows trump leading by 15 . That tells you how good these polls are.