In case you were wondering what the odds are that Ken Buck, Joe Miller, and Sharon Angle would all lose I will give you a rough estimate based on intrade the day before the election. I am not including Odonnell or Rand Paul since their races were not competititve.
ALl 3 had roughly a .70% chance of winning, give or take a few points. The odds that all three would lose is only about 2.7%
So, it seems like the high profile liberty candidates had a really bad night based on the odds, and the polling data the day before the election. There was a 93.3%chance that Rand would have had at least one ally out of the bunch.
I'm assuming that Joe Miller and Ken Buck lose by the way. I don't see how either can win based on the numbers.
Needless to say, I'm disapointed because these were the races that matter most, since they were not RINO republicans but constitutional conservatives.
So what happened?
ALl 3 had roughly a .70% chance of winning, give or take a few points. The odds that all three would lose is only about 2.7%
So, it seems like the high profile liberty candidates had a really bad night based on the odds, and the polling data the day before the election. There was a 93.3%chance that Rand would have had at least one ally out of the bunch.
I'm assuming that Joe Miller and Ken Buck lose by the way. I don't see how either can win based on the numbers.
Needless to say, I'm disapointed because these were the races that matter most, since they were not RINO republicans but constitutional conservatives.
So what happened?