SC GOP Senate 2014 Primary Poll: Graham <50%, Bright 13%, Mace 10%, Cash 7%

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http://www.unitedliberty.org/articl...rt-from-south-carolina-republicans-is-eroding
http://landmarkcommunications.net/p...ws-decline-in-support-for-sen-lindsey-graham/


The poll, conducted by Landmark Communications and Rosetta Stone Communications, shows Graham at 42%, Lee Bright with 13%, Nancy Mace taking 10%, and Richard Cash at 7%. And though he fares better in head-to-head matchups against his primary challengers, Graham is still under 50%.
Click to expand...

Crosstabs here: http://landmarkcommunications.net/wp-content/uploads/2013/09/SC-FINAL-CROSSTABS.xls

[TABLE="width: 798"]
[TR]
[TD="colspan: 8"](2) If the Republican Primary Election for U.S. Senate were being held today and the candidates were Lee Bright, Lindsey Graham, the incumbent, Nancy Mace, and Richard Cash, for whom would you vote?[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: center"]Gender[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 3, align: center"]Age[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: center"]Total[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]Male[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]Female[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]18-35[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]36-64[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]Over 64[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD="align: center"]Base[/TD]
[TD="align: center"](500)[/TD]
[TD="align: center"](245)[/TD]
[TD="align: center"](255)[/TD]
[TD="align: center"](54)[/TD]
[TD="align: center"](249)[/TD]
[TD="align: center"](197)[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: center"]%[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]%[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]%[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]%[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]%[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Lee Bright[/TD]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12.6[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]18.0[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]7.5[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]24.5[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]14.8[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]6.6[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="colspan: 2"]Richard Cash[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]6.7[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]9.0[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]4.3[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]9.5[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]7.2[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]5.1[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="colspan: 2"]Lindsey Graham[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]42.4[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]37.5[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]47.0[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]24.5[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]39.6[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]51.1[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Nancy Mace[/TD]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: center"]10.0[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]15.1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]5.1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]7.5[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]10.0[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]10.7[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Undecided[/TD]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: center"]28.3[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]20.4[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]36.1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]34.0[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]28.4[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]26.5[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]


[TABLE="width: 798"]
[TR]
[TD="colspan: 7"](3) And if a Primary Runoff Election for US Senate were being held today and the candidates were Lindsey Graham the incumbent, and Nancy Mace, a challenger, for whom would you vote?[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: center"]Gender[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: center"]Age[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: center"]Total[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]Male[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]Female[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]18-35[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]36-64[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD="align: center"]Base[/TD]
[TD="align: center"](500)[/TD]
[TD="align: center"](245)[/TD]
[TD="align: center"](255)[/TD]
[TD="align: center"](54)[/TD]
[TD="align: center"](249)[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: center"]%[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]%[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]%[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]%[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="colspan: 2"]Lindsey Graham[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]48.2
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]42.8[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]53.4[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]40.7[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]44.8[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Nancy Mace[/TD]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: center"]23.2[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]32.7[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]14.1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]13.0[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]27.2[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Undecided[/TD]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: center"]28.6[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]24.5[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]32.5[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]46.3[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]28.0[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]


[TABLE="width: 798"]
[TR]
[TD="colspan: 8"](5) And if a Primary Runoff Election for US Senate were being held today and the candidates were Lindsey Graham, the incumbent, and Lee Bright, a challenger, for whom would you vote?
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: center"]Gender[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 3, align: center"]Age[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: center"]Total
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]Male[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]Female[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]18-35[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]36-64[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]Over 64[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD="align: center"]Base[/TD]
[TD="align: center"](500)
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"](245)[/TD]
[TD="align: center"](255)[/TD]
[TD="align: center"](54)[/TD]
[TD="align: center"](249)[/TD]
[TD="align: center"](197)[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: center"]%
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]%[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]%[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]%[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]%[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="colspan: 2"]Lindsey Graham[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]49.4
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]44.9[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]53.7[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]39.6[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]45.6[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]56.7[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Lee Bright[/TD]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: center"]23.7
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]38.8[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]9.0[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]34.0[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]26.8[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]17.4[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Undecided[/TD]
[TD="align: center"][/TD]
[TD="align: center"]26.9
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]16.3[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]37.3[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]26.4[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]27.6[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]25.9[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]
 
Last edited:
The good news is that Graham is under 50%. A runoff with Bright would be fantastic, as he can decimate liberal Lindsey's record. The primary is over nine months away and Graham is already in bad shape against unknown challengers.
 
MichaelDavis said:
The good news is that Graham is under 50%. A runoff with Bright would be fantastic, as he can decimate liberal Lindsey's record. The primary is over nine months away and Graham is already in bad shape against unknown challengers.
Click to expand...

I would say that this glass is not half full.
 
MichaelDavis said:
The good news is that Graham is under 50%. A runoff with Bright would be fantastic, as he can decimate liberal Lindsey's record. The primary is over nine months away and Graham is already in bad shape against unknown challengers.
Click to expand...

28.3% are undecided. With a quarter of the undecided vote, Graham breaks the 50% threshold.

There's lots of work to do, but lots of time to do it. Primary date is June 10th, 2014.

Donated $25 to Nancy Mace.
 
Barrex said:
Little of topic but is this sentence grammatically correct? People who speak English and are making mistakes are killing my learning curve :)
Click to expand...

He missed a comma, but you started a sentence with an adjective. lol
 
Last edited:
goRPaul said:
28.3% are undecided. With a quarter of the undecided vote, Graham breaks the 50% threshold.

There's lots of work to do, but lots of time to do it. Primary date is June 10th, 2014.

Donated $25 to Nancy Mace.
Click to expand...

Utah 2010 Republican Senate Convention

2009 Polling: Tim Bridgewater 4.00% -- Mike Lee 3.00% -- (I) Robert Bennett 31.00%
2010 Result: Tim Bridgewater 39.00% -- Mike Lee 29.00% -- (I) Robert Bennett 19.00%

http://www.ourcampaigns.com/RaceDetail.html?RaceID=408900

Texas 2012 Republican Senate Primary

2011 Polling: Ted Cruz 1.00% -- David Dewhurst 27.00%
2012 Result: Ted Cruz 57.00% -- David Dewhurst 43.00%

http://www.texaslyceum.org/media/st...rnals/2011/2011_Texas_Lyceum_Poll_Results.pdf

It's your money, but if I were you, I would donate to anti-Graham groups instead of individual candidates. There is a good chance Mace will not even make it to the runoff.
 
Graham at less than 50% is the goal. Name recognition of the challengers can only increase. Looking good.
 
Barrex said:
Little of topic but is this sentence grammatically correct? People who speak English and are making mistakes are killing my learning curve :)
Click to expand...

Mostly correct, add a comma to make it exactly correct. It can also be adjusted to better match "formal" English which you would probably have an easier time with:

Elderly voters are destroying this country, good grief.
Click to expand...

On that note, yours can be cleaned up some also:

Little of topic but is this sentence grammatically correct? People who speak English and are making mistakes are killing my learning curve

This is a little off topic, but is this sentence grammatically correct? People who speak English while and are making mistakes are killing my learning curve.

This is a little off topic, but is this sentence grammatically correct? People who speak English while making mistakes are killing my learning curve.
Click to expand...
 
Scary to see such a wide margin but I'm glad he is under 50 for the first poll.
 
mosquitobite said:
That's the correct version Barrex.

And he's correct. It's the older voters, who are full of cold war fear, that will destroy this nation.
Click to expand...

I found it very interesting that Mace performs best with older voters, while Bright performs best with younger voters. Are we missing something? How do we know Mace is a liberty candidate? Bright has a pro-freedom voting record. Mace does not.
 
I wonder how these numbers will change when/if national conservatives really get involved in this race.
 
MichaelDavis said:
I found it very interesting that Mace performs best with older voters, while Bright performs best with younger voters. Are we missing something? How do we know Mace is a liberty candidate? Bright has a pro-freedom voting record. Mace does not.
Click to expand...
A voting record definitely helps but we can't preclude non-politicians from being considered liberty candidates. If she stays swinging from the Paul and Cruz tree like she has been, it's all to the good. In every instance, I'd take an anti-establishment candidate that may or may not be a Paul devotee over an insider. In this case, I think a woman of her caliber and background is a better rival for taking on Flimsey.
 
FSP-Rebel said:
A voting record definitely helps but we can't preclude non-politicians from being considered liberty candidates. If she stays swinging from the Paul and Cruz tree like she has been, it's all to the good. In every instance, I'd take an anti-establishment candidate that may or may not be a Paul devotee over an insider. In this case, I think a woman of her caliber and background is a better rival for taking on Flimsey.
Click to expand...


I will cordially disagree.

I understand she is to be proud of being the first female graduate of the Citadel, but to me, it makes me weary that she may be too easily swayed by the military industrial complex.

My money has and is going to Bright. I'd rather take the liberty we know over the wild card.
 
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