Rasmussen Poll: Paul Ahead of Huckabee, Tied with Christie and Kasich

[SilentBull]

Trump 17 (-9)
Bush 10 (0)
Rubio 10 (+5)
Walker 9 (-5)
Fiorina 9 (+8)
Carson 8 (+3)
Cruz 7 (0)
Paul 4 (+1)
Christie 4 (+2)
Kasich 4 (-1)
Huckabee 3 (-4)
Perry 1 (-1)
Santorum 2 (-1)
Jindal 1 (-1)
Graham 1 (0)


Looks like Paul went up one point in this poll, but so did Christie. It's a 3-way tie for 8th place. Trump is falling.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/pub...elections/election_2016/has_the_donald_peaked

 

[CPUd]

Close to what I expected, though I had figured Rand for 5 or 6 tied with Cruz.

 

[squirl22]

Fiorina up +8 all due to media attention; who watched that debate? Good to see Walker finally went down; cannot comprehend how he is as high as he is...he doesn't talk, no info, very boring. Well, Rand is up +1 which deflated all of the talk about how he lost the battle with Christie; sounds like it gave him an extra point. Best part is that Trump started going down...finally.

 

[SilentBull]

Trump, Walker and Huckabee the biggest losers according to this poll. I'm glad to see Paul ahead of Huckabee. Now he just needs to stay ahead of Christie and Kasich to make sure he makes it into the next debate.

 

[libertyplz]

Only one poll, but hope this is the beginning of the end for "Teflon Don". I'm surprised Huckabee went down so much. I thought he had an alright performance. Fiorina getting the bump due to the shameless MSM promotion. Only +1 for Rand, needs to do a little better than that. Don't need him to surge to the top, but just get out of the bottom there. Hopefully with him hitting up the media more now will increase those numbers to where everyone will be more comfortable, would feel much better if Rand was around 8%.

The national telephone survey of 651 Likely Republican Primary Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on August 9-10, 2015. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

 

[EBounding]

Fiorina is benefiting from the media pump.

 

[SilentBull]

PPP has Christie at 1% in both Iowa and Missouri. I hope the next national poll has Christie a little bit closer to that.

 

[Jeremy]

Rubio replacing Walker? Makes sense from their debate performances.

 

[kahless]

If it was not for that 4 year campaign commercial every week he had on FNC Huckabee would be at 0% due to his policies of catering to illegals like paid tuition.

 

[FSP-Rebel]

Everyone, watch again (in full [AU2}) and think about what Rand stands for.

 

[eleganz]

To all those freaking out over every single headline: This race is still extremely fluid.

 

[DevilsAdvocate]

Fiorina's numbers are a result of pumping. Rand needs to double his numbers at a minimum to stay competitive.

Now I suppose Trump is going to start bashing Rassmussen? After he pumped himself up so much with those phony post debate internet polls, he probably can't do it without looking like a hypocrite. It seems like he's finally reached an impasse. The air is coming out of the Trump bubble.

 

[eleganz]

Fiorina's numbers are a result of pumping. Rand needs to double his numbers at a minimum to stay competitive.

Now I suppose Trump is going to start bashing Rassmussen? After he pumped himself up so much with those phony post debate internet polls, he probably can't do it without looking like a hypocrite. It seems like he's finally reached an impasse. The air is coming out of the Trump bubble.

The good thing about most of Trumps supporters being low low information voters, when his numbers dip past a certain point, they won't even have the heart, knowledge, or experience to continue backing him, most will go back to their normal lives and forget about the race, then the real games begin.

You gotta love low information voters, they're extremely predictable.

 

[Jan2017]

Trump 17 (-9)
Bush 10 (0)
Rubio 10 (+5)
Walker 9 (-5)
Fiorina 9 (+8)
Carson 8 (+3)
Cruz 7 (0)
Paul 4 (+1)
Christie 4 (+2)
Kasich 4 (-1)
Huckabee 3 (-4)
Perry 1 (-1)
Santorum 2 (-1)
Jindal 1 (-1)
Graham 1 (0)


Looks like Paul went up one point in this poll, but so did Christie. It's a 3-way tie for 8th place. Trump is falling.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/pub...elections/election_2016/has_the_donald_peaked

The national telephone survey of 651 Likely Republican Primary Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on August 9-10, 2015.
The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

It is just too small of a sample - all of these polls are really.

 

[Jackie Moon]

To all those freaking out over every single headline: This race is still extremely fluid.

Yes. I would obviously want have Rand be higher, but look at how thin the numbers are spread. Everyone is within striking distance of eachother. There is a lot of time.

Fiorina's numbers are a result of pumping. Rand needs to double his numbers at a minimum to stay competitive.

Now I suppose Trump is going to start bashing Rassmussen? After he pumped himself up so much with those phony post debate internet polls, he probably can't do it without looking like a hypocrite. It seems like he's finally reached an impasse. The air is coming out of the Trump bubble.

The good thing about most of Trumps supporters being low low information voters, when his numbers dip past a certain point, they won't even have the heart, knowledge, or experience to continue backing him, most will go back to their normal lives and forget about the race, then the real games begin.

You gotta love low information voters, they're extremely predictable.

Yeah, it's interesting that this poll has his numbers going the other direction than that internet SurveyMonkey poll. I guess we'll have to wait and see what happens in the next few to know for sure.

I'm curious how he reacts when he first starts dropping. He seems to just be winging it on his own, so we'll see how well he handles it and who he goes after.

And I agree that once his numbers fall and he is knocked out of first place he will lose that "GOP primary leader" status that draws in a certain percentage of people. Will he be able to keep the casual, politically inexperienced supporters engaged all the way to the actual primaries? And will he be able to actually get them to show up to the caucus in Iowa?

 

[eleganz]

Don't forget, some Ron Paul supporters showed up in Minnesota to hear Ron Paul speak on the day of the caucus at an actual polling location and they left without voting.

There is the perfect example of your low information voters doing silly things. If you can't even get them to stay and vote when they came out to hear the candidate speak same day same venue, how will they even GOTV all of the low info mini Trumps who are busy on Facebook commenting on opposing candidates pages telling them they're fired?

Most of the Trump supporters will probably just be like, "he is Teflon Don, he'll win even if I don't vote", these people are that cocky.

 

[rich34]

Fiorina up +8 all due to media attention; who watched that debate? Good to see Walker finally went down; cannot comprehend how he is as high as he is...he doesn't talk, no info, very boring. Well, Rand is up +1 which deflated all of the talk about how he lost the battle with Christie; sounds like it gave him an extra point. Best part is that Trump started going down...finally.

Exactly, which just goes to show hell you give anybody the amount of media attention that Trump has received and anybody can win the presidency. That is until it's time to get real.. Fiorina moving up that many points is ridiculous.. Also there's no way I can believe that any of these candidates that are either tied with Rand or slightly ahead have even a fraction of the amount of hardcore support he does. Christie? Come on!! Hell, Fiorina? Make it double....

 

[Paul4Prez]

Christie no bump from the debate. Rand is down a little in most polls. Fiorina is the only real winner so far. Too bad she wants Apple and Google to do more to help the government spy on us.

 

[65fastback2+2]

It is just too small of a sample - all of these polls are really.

and its a landline poll...Paul's main demographic doesnt even know what those are lol. I dont know anyone under 40 with a landline.

 

[Brett85]

and its a landline poll...Paul's main demographic doesnt even know what those are lol. I dont know anyone under 40 with a landline.

It's not going to help us at all for people to remain in denial about the polls.