No matter what. Even if it says we're polling 10 points ahead, we must always act like we are polling 10 points below.
Let's say this poll is accurate - donate, phone bank, phone bank, phone bank!
When Ron Paul has great poll #s Drudge only puts it as a small headline. Then, when Gingrich has good #s Drudge puts it up as a headline.![]()
This smells of like when the Rating agencies were giving subprime mortgages bundled into investment packages a AAA Rating.
The 105 polls released in Senate and gubernatorial races by Rasmussen Reports and its subsidiary, Pulse Opinion Research, missed the final margin between the candidates by 5.8 points, a considerably higher figure than that achieved by most other pollsters. Some 13 of its polls missed by 10 or more points, including one in the Hawaii Senate race that missed the final margin between the candidates by 40 points, the largest error ever recorded in a general election in FiveThirtyEight’s database, which includes all polls conducted since 1998.
Neither will posting the only bad poll on Ron in the headline. It is already posted. And I've just been told Rasmussen under polled Ron by 150% in Iowa last time around so I'm not exactly thinking they are more credible than the Des Moines Register Poll which has Ron tied for first and the new one that came out today which was similar.
Neither will posting the only bad poll on Ron in the headline. It is already posted. And I've just been told Rasmussen under polled Ron by 150% in Iowa last time around so I'm not exactly thinking they are more credible than the Des Moines Register Poll which has Ron tied for first and the new one that came out today which was similar.