POST the LATEST RESULTS in this THREAD - [CURRENT: Paul 53%, Conway 47%] 41% reported

Much happier

To see Rand ahead through 3300 votes in Fayette County, which Obama carried. If Rand can hold his own in Fayette and not get slaughtered in Jefferson, he will win.
 
Nate Silver:

As I warned you, it's going to be some time before we get any sort of meaningful results from Indiana and Kentucky. The biggest potential surprise so far is in Indiana's 2nd district, where Jackie Walorski, the Republican, has a 1,500-vote lead so far on Joe Donnelly, but only 3 percent of precincts have reported. If Mr. Donnelly lost, especially by a significant margin, that would be a bad sign for the Democrats.
 
Alright playa I am heading over. Check me on twitter for pics and inside the ball room stuff. Tweet me with suggestions.
 
Alright playa I am heading over. Check me on twitter for pics and inside the ball room stuff. Tweet me with suggestions.

The Pauls. People we'd know. The screen as results come in.

........... are you sure you want suggestions?
 
Paul 20,475 56%
Conway 16,175 44%

Actually it's narrowed to 55 to 45, 21,500 to 17. 400 for Conway. Conway ahead in Fayette, Paul ahead in Jefferson.
 
To see Rand ahead through 3300 votes in Fayette County, which Obama carried. If Rand can hold his own in Fayette and not get slaughtered in Jefferson, he will win.

Conway needed 60% in each if he wanted to get as close as Mongiardo did in '04 against Bunning. And Mongiardo had some presence outside of the cities. I doubt Conway had any.

And that was in a "normal" year. If Rand gets the tea party/2010 boost this could turn into a real massacre.
 
Feeling good. Mongiardo led Bunning for much of the night in 2004 before Bunning won. After the first hour in 2008, Lunsford was leading McConnell.

Kentucky votes skews democratic in the beginning and still Paul has not been behind. If history is any guide, it's going to get worse for Conway.
 
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