SteveMartin
Member
- Joined
- Nov 23, 2007
- Messages
- 2,184
NO we don't because he is being asked to run as an INDEPENDENT! (I know what the poll says, and that should be changed.)
We have NO shot of doing anything but participating in some quixotic notion of "rescuing the war party" by staying with the neocons and playing with their toys.
Ballot access already acheived. Do you read, or just whine?
Look, I don't mind people making valid points and having their objections, but to spout the same nonsense more than once in inexcusable.
Paul starts at 11% as an independent candidate:
http://rasmussenreports.com/public_...rg_ron_paul_run_third_party_campaigns_in_2008
Its only one poll but its certainly more reliable than your own personal estimates.
That poll was taken in January, before either Obama or McCain looked like they would win. In the Hillary versus McCain poll, he did worse.
Given that Ron Paul has consistently finished at around 5% in the GOP primaries, including states with open primaries, its highly unlikely that he would vault to 11% in a general election.
Even if you really believe he'd get ballot access in 48+ states (HIGHLY UNLIKELY) and "start at 11%" today (which is not realistic), he'd still be nothing but a spoiler.
Look, I realize some of you are going to close your eyes, ball your fists, stomp your feet and REFUSE TO BELIEVE Ron Paul won't be President. I know I'm raining on your parade.
But it ain't gonna happen, folks. I know it, and Ron for damned sure knows it...and he's not going to embarass himself on a Quixotic quest just because some of you don't want to see reality.
I'd love to see Ron Paul as President, I may still "write him in" just as a protest act, but he's not going to win in '08.
That poll was taken in January, before either Obama or McCain looked like they would win. In the Hillary versus McCain poll, he did worse.
Given that Ron Paul has consistently finished at around 5% in the GOP primaries, including states with open primaries, its highly unlikely that he would vault to 11% in a general election.
Even if you really believe he'd get ballot access in 48+ states (HIGHLY UNLIKELY) and "start at 11%" today (which is not realistic), he'd still be nothing but a spoiler.
Look, I realize some of you are going to close your eyes, ball your fists, stomp your feet and REFUSE TO BELIEVE Ron Paul won't be President. I know I'm raining on your parade.
But it ain't gonna happen, folks. I know it, and Ron for damned sure knows it...and he's not going to embarass himself on a Quixotic quest just because some of you don't want to see reality.
I'd love to see Ron Paul as President, I may still "write him in" just as a protest act, but he's not going to win in '08.
There will be some VERY BIG money players coming in if he goes Independent. Count on it.
WE can buy our own exposure with a new campaign staff that knows how....
Just smart: GOP would never nominate him, parties are a curse anyway, and it COULD succeed.
I suppose Bob Barr is not a good source for information on the LP's ballot status, nor is the incoming national chairman of the Constitution Party...both of whom I've been talking to on a regular basis.
L4321 knows better than those guys.