Paul at 7% NATIONWIDE!

[Naraku]

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/pub...ial_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

Longshot? I think not!

 

[voytechs]

Excellent!

 

[JosephTheLibertarian]

down 1 point?

 

[mbauer]

No. He has only reached 8% in certain states, never nationwide.

 

[AlexMerced]

yeah, this is huge thathe went up a point since we've been at 5-6% for like three weeks

I wouldn't be surprised if we stat seeing him hit 9-10% in the state polls now, I'd love a 10% day, that's pretty much the threshold for serious media attention

 

[Bowie]

Awesome. Things are moving upwards slowly but surely!

Only question is will we get to 10% before or after Iowa/NH, in any "official" poll? What do we all think?

 

[Naraku]

10% will probably be reached in New Hampshire and Nevada soon. Then South Carolina and Iowa will follow. When that happens expect the media to take Paul seriously as a candidate and give him much more exposure.

 

[gagnonstudio]

Awesome. Things are moving upwards slowly but surely!

Only question is will we get to 10% before or after Iowa/NH, in any "official" poll? What do we all think?

Nationally I don't know if we'll reach 10% by then, but in NH I think we will for sure. I think we'll be at 11-12% in some polls for NH, but that's just my guess.

I would guess 8 - 10 % in IA by Jan 3rd.

 

[theswedishchef]

He is up 1 point =) from yesterday

he is up 2 points from 1 week ago
he has been sitting pretty at 5% sometimes flipping to 6% for a day for at least 3 weeks now, so this is definatly progress.

THIS IS GREAT.

 

[Johnnybags]

Plus the margin of error for sure while the others

are likely minus it. We got the big Mo on our side.

 

[DRV45N05]

This means that, most likely, he's had very good days two of the last three days, which means one of the days is holding it down. If it was three days ago, and he has another good day today, then that means he will climb higher tomorrow.

This is good news. He and Huckabee are the only ones gaining.

 

[Luther]

Do not put your hope in these polls. They are controlled, non-random statistical samples, not representative of the population that will vote in the primaries. The only polls that matters are the votes in the Iowa caucus and New Hampshire primary. These are the same polls that show Giuliani, with his nonexistent popular support, leading, and Huckabee, with his anemic fundraising, surging. Given Ron Paul's extraordinary success thus far in the campaign, (straw polls, online polls, internet presence, fundraising, grassroots volunteers, event attendance, etc.), the pollsters believe that they can no longer maintain credibility by showing Ron Paul at 2%. So they modify their sample to obtain a result which they think is more believable. These polls are unlikely to ever show Ron Paul in or near the lead, unless he wins in Iowa and New Hampshire, which is a very real possibility (if the votes are accurately counted).

 

[theswedishchef]

History of this poll

This is the poll that i follow and have been following actually, this since it is the
only one I have heard of here in Sweden prior to digging on my ownon the internet.

here is some history of this poll, that currently shows 7% for RP Nationwide

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/pub..._tracking_polling_history_july_september_2007
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/pub.../weekly_presidential_tracking_polling_history
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/pub...1/daily_presidential_tracking_polling_history

I have contacted rasmussen and asked them to add Ron Paul to these reports since
it is becoming more and more apparant that he belongs in the. I hope some more
people will mail them about this error on their part.

Romney has been polled on as low as 9% and McCain on as low as 8% so soon they dont have anything to blame it on either.
This especially since even Foxnews poll source RCP has added him
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...s/republican_presidential_nomination-192.html

 

[Ozwest]

This is good.

 

[theswedishchef]

The significance of these polls!

Do not put your hope in these polls. They are controlled, non-random statistical samples, not representative of the population that will vote in the primaries. The only polls that matters are the votes in the Iowa caucus and New Hampshire primary. These are the same polls that show Giuliani, with his nonexistent popular support, leading, and Huckabee, with his anemic fundraising, surging. Given Ron Paul's extraordinary success thus far in the campaign, (straw polls, online polls, internet presence, fundraising, grassroots volunteers, event attendance, etc.), the pollsters believe that they can no longer maintain credibility by showing Ron Paul at 2%. So they modify their sample to obtain a result which they think is more believable. These polls are unlikely to ever show Ron Paul in or near the lead, unless he wins in Iowa and New Hampshire, which is a very real possibility (if the votes are accurately counted).

Nevertheless it adds steam to the campaign and these polls are also the most
frequently quoted in MSM. It is on the grounds of these polls that CNN,Fox, MSNBC
and so on call Ron Poll a "fringe Candidate", "long Shoot" and so on.


When these polls start showing 7%, 8% 10% they can't possibly keep saying that
and keep their.....*coughs* credibillity. That is why these are perhaps not AS
important but still REALLY important.

That is what I think anyways.

 

[Bigboyen]

Great news! Not only does he get 7%, he also is just 13% behind the front runner. Just a week it was over 20%. I know many here don't like polls, and we probably will get some extra votes from "unlikely" voters. But we still need to move up in these polls to have a real shot at it.

Next is 10% in NH, hopefully already this week. We should be at 15% NH before New Year to have a good chance of winning the state. Iowa is a bit trickier, but if we see 8-10% before the election we have a great chance taking the important third place.

 

[Todd]

that's better....how does a moron like Huckabee get more than a a 500% boost in the polls in less than a month?
His message is nothing different from the mainstream

 

[AtomiC]

When the big money bomb hits on the 16th, you will see his numbers go through the roof.

 

[bretwalda]

Why do folk even care about this? - these polls are not 'scientific'. If sampling off of 1K peeps is supposed to be some sort of barometer I think its foolish to even give them notice - they say nothing...Huckabee is 'winning' now because engineering him to be the winner would be an easy win for Obama or Clinton. The media strategy has backed off of their second and third choices a little by propping up Mitt and Rudy as the 'top tier'. Why not go for gold and have have hillary sweep over Huck? I think this is the strategy behind the forces that have ALOT riding on these elections.

Drive around, look at signs, look at the internet, look at the bumper stickers, look at the money and where its coming from - these are true barometers - don't give credence to this BS system of polling . It doesn't even have the smallest resemblance to reality.

And were not even talking about what is actually asked in these polls

 

[Todd]

I agree....I somtimes get all discouraged at stupid polling data.

I saw a Ron Paul sign back in September in Bum F' Egypt Virginia. Down near the Tennessee, West Virginia area. It was very uplifiting.