Latest Rasmussen polling: Trump up 10 in a three way race, up 12 in a five way

[Anti Federalist]

Election 2024: Trump Now +10 Over Biden



Trump earns 46 percent nationwide support, compared to just 36 percent for Biden and nine percent for Kennedy.

This is an increase of four points for Trump since April when he led Hunter’s Dad by six points, 44 to 38 percent.

Today’s internals are brutal for Biden.

Trump leads with Hispanics by eight points, 41 to 33 percent.

Trump leads with 18-39-year-olds by two points, 36 to 34 percent.

Trump earns 21 percent of the black vote, while Biden earns just 61 percent. That number should be closer to 90 percent.

Only 70 percent of Democrats support Biden. Trump earns 16 percent Democrat support.

Trump earns 80 percent Republican support. Biden sits at ten percent.

In a five-way match-up between Trump, Biden, the Green Party’s Jill Stein, Kennedy Jr., and former Harvard Professor Cornel West, The Donald’s lead jumps to 12 points over Slow Joe, 48 to 36 percent. Kennedy pulls eight percent support. Stein and West top out at a single point.

No Republican presidential candidate, including Trump, has polled this well since 2004.

 

[jmdrake]

Election 2024: Trump Now +10 Over Biden



Trump earns 46 percent nationwide support, compared to just 36 percent for Biden and nine percent for Kennedy.

This is an increase of four points for Trump since April when he led Hunter’s Dad by six points, 44 to 38 percent.

Today’s internals are brutal for Biden.

Trump leads with Hispanics by eight points, 41 to 33 percent.

Trump leads with 18-39-year-olds by two points, 36 to 34 percent.

Trump earns 21 percent of the black vote, while Biden earns just 61 percent. That number should be closer to 90 percent.

Only 70 percent of Democrats support Biden. Trump earns 16 percent Democrat support.

Trump earns 80 percent Republican support. Biden sits at ten percent.

In a five-way match-up between Trump, Biden, the Green Party’s Jill Stein, Kennedy Jr., and former Harvard Professor Cornel West, The Donald’s lead jumps to 12 points over Slow Joe, 48 to 36 percent. Kennedy pulls eight percent support. Stein and West top out at a single point.

No Republican presidential candidate, including Trump, has polled this well since 2004.

My personal observation is that as more blacks quietly support Trump, the blacks who hate Trump are becoming more vocal and angry. But I did get some people at church recently to be quiet and listen when I pointed out that Biden is straight up attacking the first amendment by trying to put that black socialist in prison for being against the Iraq war and for going to the ICC to say that America is committing genocide against black people. Of course it didn't hurt that I was up front teaching Bible study. I wasn't being political though. The SDA church literally teaches that the end will come when the United States quits being a constitutional republic. Check out this quote from over 100 years ago.

By the decree enforcing the institution of the papacy in violation of the law of God, our nation [the United States] will disconnect herself fully from righteousness. When Protestantism shall stretch her hand across the gulf to grasp the hand of the Roman power, when she shall reach over the abyss to clasp hands with spiritualism, when, under the influence of this threefold union, our country shall repudiate every principle of its Constitution as a Protestant and republican government, and shall make provision for the propagation of papal falsehoods and delusions, then we may know that the time has come for the marvelous working of Satan and that the end is near.1Testimonies for the Church 5:451.​

And...another quote:

In that grand old document which our forefathers set forth as their bill of rights—the Declaration of Independence—they declared: “We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal; that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable rights; that among these are life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness.” And the Constitution guarantees, in the most explicit terms, the inviolability of conscience: “No religious test shall ever be required as a qualification to any office of public trust under the United States.” “Congress shall make no law respecting an establishment of religion, or prohibiting the free exercise thereof.”

“The framers of the Constitution recognized the eternal principle that man’s relation with his God is above human legislation, and his rights of conscience inalienable. Reasoning was not necessary to establish this truth; we are conscious of it in our own bosoms. It is this consciousness which, in defiance of human laws, has sustained so many martyrs in tortures and flames. They felt that their duty to God was superior to human enactments, and that man could exercise no authority over their consciences. It is an inborn principle which nothing can eradicate.”—Congressional documents (U.S.A.), serial No. 200, document No. 271.​

 

[Anti Federalist]

Thanks for those quotes.

 

[Anti-Neocon]

I would put close to zero stock in what Rasmussen Reports says. It was always R biased but really went off the deep end recently. Bad polls like this are one of the reasons that some people are convinced that Trump actually won in 2020.

 

[Anti Federalist]

 

[TheTexan]

These numbers look good for Trump but these are probably the 10pm on voting day numbers.

Need another poll taken at 3am to get the real numbers

 

[Anti Federalist]

I would put close to zero stock in what Rasmussen Reports says. It was always R biased but really went off the deep end recently. Bad polls like this are one of the reasons that some people are convinced that Trump actually won in 2020.

I go by Real Clear Politics polling averages.

In 2020 they had Biden polling at 50.6% right up to election day. Biden won at 51.3

.7 percent. Pretty accurate.

Trump was polling at 43.2 He ended up with 46.8

3.6 is a little more substantial but not outside the MOE.

Point is, the polling was pretty close, and whatever shenanigans went on, they only needed to be localized and small to swing the whole show.

 

[Anti Federalist]

This Rassmussen poll ended yesterday.

This Morning Consult poll that ended on 28 April has Biden and Trump tied.

Tracking the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election
Biden and Trump are tied

RCP Polling Average has Trump up by 1.5

 

[oyarde]

Trump by 1.5 doesnt mean muc rite now . I will say I dont believe kennedy can pull wat is being displayed so not even sure if tat may be good or bad

 

[Snowball]

Biden is not going to be the Democratic candidate.

 

[oyarde]

Biden is not going to be the Democratic candidate.

need to switc out pretty soon i guess for any advantage

 

[Snowball]

need to switc out pretty soon i guess for any advantage

nah, no hurry. lots of elections have winners without chosen nominees until the convention.

Biden is stretching it out to maintain credibility on the world stage. He can't announce it now, and lose all authority.
Plus, then Michelle/Hillary/Gavin would have to start talking about all the tough questions. They don't want that.
They want to stay behind the curtain until the show starts.

 

[Anti Globalist]

Imagine looking at our Marxist globalist regime that is allowing migrants to come into a country and thinking they'll willingly give up power.

 

[69360]

Trump hasn't been convicted yet. Once he is a felon all polling shows his support dropping.

 

[Anti Federalist]

Trump hasn't been convicted yet. Once he is a felon all polling shows his support dropping.

A conviction in that NYC kangaroo court is a sure thing.

So we will see.

 

[dannno]

Bad polls like this are one of the reasons that some people are convinced that Trump actually won in 2020.

I think you mean good polls like this are one of the reasons that some people are convinced that Trump actually won in 2020. Among literally hundreds of other reasons.

 

[Anti-Neocon]

I think you mean good polls like this are one of the reasons that some people are convinced that Trump actually won in 2020. Among literally hundreds of other reasons.

Just consider for a moment how untenable the idea is that the pollsters except some MAGA trash like Rasmussen were faking poll numbers. To what end, to kill their own credibility? Or they somehow got a secret memo that they were to fabricate numbers which would provide cover for Democrats stealing the election?

Trump even did better, on average, than what the poll numbers showed. And the timing of the votes was already predicted ahead of time by everyone who studied elections who had brains.

I made about $5000 betting on the election based on the available info, which made it IMO, pretty clear that Biden should have been expected to win.

Conspiracy theories come in many different flavors. Many are dumb and disproven yet keep getting echoed. Others actually shed light on the true conspiracies that are happening. By just saying everything on your mind that you want to be true, you're poisoning the well of conspiracy theories. Cause there is a hell of a lot of conspiracy happening, and with this Trump won and QAnon level crap, we're getting the real stuff flooded over by the extremely brain-dead stuff.

 

[dannno]

Just consider for a moment how untenable the idea is that the pollsters except some MAGA trash like Rasmussen were faking poll numbers. To what end, to kill their own credibility? Or they somehow got a secret memo that they were to fabricate numbers which would provide cover for Democrats stealing the election?

I dunno, ask them, but that's precisely what happened in 2016, except they failed to steal it because they were already convinced they were going to win and were unaware of the wave of new voters for Trump. There's always a risk to cheating, why do so needlessly?

 

[acptulsa]

Cause there is a hell of a lot of conspiracy happening, and with this Trump won and QAnon level crap, we're getting the real stuff flooded over by the extremely brain-dead stuff.

Sounds like missiles with holographic wings to me.

Cointel can always count on dannno.