Off-Year Congressional Redistricting

Merged & renamed (because your thread title was better).
This thread already mentions:
-- Texas: Add five GOP seats
-- New York: Add 2-3 Dem seats
-- California: Add 5 Dem seats

Then there's:
-- Ohio: Add 2-3 GOP seats
-- Florida: Add 1-3 GOP seats
-- Missouri: Add 1 GOP seat
-- North Carolina: Add 3 GOP seats (occurred in 2024)
-- Georgia: Add 1 GOP seat (litigation ongoing)
-- Louisiana: Add 1 Dem seat (court ordered racial redistricting)
 
Jasmine Crockett’s Seat ELIMINATED By Republicans in Texas Redistricting Fight
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MZNlH4Jij2g
{Nate The Lawyer | 15 August 2025}

Democrats Flee Texas as Governor Greg Abbott issues arrest warrants in a furious fight over mid-decade redistricting. In this video, Nate the Lawyer breaks down the history of gerrymandering, the shocking hypocrisy from both sides, and why Democrats may have been the biggest beneficiaries all along. From California’s 12 “flipped” seats to Texas’s bold power grab, Nate uses the Constitution, Supreme Court precedent, and raw data to expose what’s really going on — and it’s not what the headlines tell you. This is more than a map fight — it’s a battle for control of Congress itself. Get the facts, see the numbers, and decide for yourself: is Texas wrong, or is this just politics as usual?

 
Federal court blocks Texas from using new congressional gerrymander in 2026 midterms
Texas cannot use its new congressional map for the 2026 election and will instead need to stick with the lines passed in 2021, a three-judge panel ruled Tuesday.

The decision is a major blow for Republicans, in Texas and nationally, who pushed through this unusual mid-decade redistricting at the behest of President Donald Trump. They were hoping the new map would yield control of 30 of the state’s 38 congressional districts — up from the 25 they currently hold — and help protect the narrow GOP majority in the U.S. House.

“The public perception of this case is that it’s about politics,” U.S. Judge Jeffrey Brown, a Trump appointee, wrote in the ruling striking down the new lines. “To be sure, politics played a role in drawing the 2025 Map. But it was much more than just politics. Substantial evidence shows that Texas racially gerrymandered the 2025 Map.”

Brown ordered that the 2026 congressional election “shall proceed under the map that the Texas Legislature enacted in 2021.” The case will likely be appealed to the U.S. Supreme Court, but time is short: Candidates only have until Dec. 8 to file for the upcoming election.

...

It was not immediately clear if the state still has a legal path to restoring the new map in time for 2026. Unlike most federal lawsuits, which are heard by a single district judge and then appealed to a circuit court, voting rights lawsuits are initially heard by two district judges and one circuit judge, and their ruling can only be appealed directly to the U.S. Supreme Court.

Tuesday’s decision came from a three-judge panel made up of Brown; U.S. District Judge David Guaderrama, a Barack Obama appointee; and Judge Jerry Smith, who was appointed to the 5th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals by Ronald Reagan. The ruling comes 10 days into the monthlong period when candidates can sign up for the March primary.

In the meantime, the ruling has set off a cascade of political maneuvering among members of both parties who had been operating under the notion that the Republican map would stick. Democrats, rather than facing retirement or primaries against fellow incumbents, are now freed up to run in their current districts. The bevy of Republican candidates who had signed up to run in districts newly drawn to favor them will now have to hope for an intervention from the Supreme Court or face far less favorable election prospects.

Austin Democrats Greg Casar and Lloyd Doggett had engaged in a shadow primary over the summer over who would represent the remaining Austin Democratic seat, an amalgamation of their two current seats. Doggett ultimately announced he would retire if the maps were upheld, clearing the way for Casar.

But after the court’s ruling, Casar said in a statement that he would run in his old district, Texas’ 35th Congressional District, provided the decision stands, clearing the way for Doggett to remain in Congress in the 37th Congressional District.

“The Trump Abbott maps are clearly illegal, and I’m glad these judges have blocked them,” Casar said. “If this decision stands, I look forward to running for reelection in my current district.”
 

https://x.com/bhweingarten/status/1991256207500407126
& https://x.com/bhweingarten/status/1991256886713385346

So the judge who wrote for the majority of the three-person panel challenging Texas' redistricted map didn't give the dissenting judge time to review the opinion, nor did he take the time to review the dissent before issuing said opinion.

Judge Smith, dissenting, calls this "the most outrageous conduct by a judge that I have ever encountered in a case in which I have been involved" in his 37 years on the federal bench.

Wow, Judge Smith absolutely slams Judge Brown, who wrote the majority opinion.

"The main winners from Judge Brown’s opinion are George Soros and Gavin Newsom. The obvious losers are the People of Texas and the Rule of Law," Judge Smith writes.

"In 37 years as a federal judge, I’ve served on hundreds of three-judge panels. This is the most blatant exercise of judicial activism that I have ever witnessed," he adds.

 

Justice Alito restores GOP-backed Texas congressional map, for now
https://www.axios.com/local/san-ant...e-court-texas-congressional-map-redistricting
{Megan Stringer | 22 November 2025}

Supreme Court Justice Samuel A. Alito on Friday temporarily reinstated Texas' GOP-favored congressional map, meaning the state can use the new boundaries as the deadline to file to run for Congress nears.

Why it matters: Republicans' majority in the U.S. House could hinge on whether Texas keeps or loses the extra five GOP seats state lawmakers drew this year.
  • Plus, the state's midterm elections have been up in the air as candidates are filing to run in district lines that have not been settled. Candidates have until Dec. 8 to file to run for a seat in the U.S. House.
The latest: Alito halted the temporary injunction that a panel of three federal judges put into place on Tuesday.
  • Gov. Greg Abbott and state officials had appealed that order to the U.S. Supreme Court.
  • Alito gave plaintiffs until Monday to respond to his order. Alito's order isn't on the merits of the case, but rather on the injunction putting the map on hold.
What they're saying: "We look forward to continuing to press forward in our case on the merits," Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton said on X.

Catch up quick: Texas began this summer's unusual mid-decade redistricting effort after President Trump pressured the state to give the GOP more House seats to protect its majority. That kicked off redistricting efforts from both parties nationwide.
  • Several lawsuits challenged the new Texas map arguing that it was racially discriminatory.
  • The panel, led by a Trump-appointed judge, found that Texas Republicans drew the new map based on racial makeup, not politics alone — which state leaders deny.
  • Redistricting based on politics is legal, but racial gerrymandering is not.
What's next: The high court could decide on the legality of the new map soon, but a timeline is unclear. Primary election day in Texas is March 3.
 
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