New York Primary April 19th

[SpiritOf1776_J4]

 

[MarcusI]

Hmm maybe the win isnt as huuuge as I thought, but numbers would have to go the way they do now all night long in order to achieve that.

54% in

Trump 60.5%
Kasich 24.8%
Cruz 14.7%

Very disappointing result for Cruz btw.

 

[euphemia]

My husband came home to say there were precincts that seemed to have *purged* their rolls of properly registered, active voters. Seems like it happened in largely minority precincts. I haven't seen or read a report, but I would guess it would be something that major media would bury.

http://nypost.com/2016/04/19/brooklyn-voters-fume-after-being-shut-out-of-polling-stations/

http://thinkprogress.org/politics/2016/04/19/3770674/new-york-primary-voting-problems/

 

[CPUd]

Not sure how up to date this is, but here are the CDs:

 

[CPUd]

Kasich may get some delegates out of CDs 20,21,23,24.

NYC no idea as of yet. Those are going to be harder, because multiple CDs in a county.

 

[MarcusI]

62% in:

Trump 59.7%
Kasich 25.3%
Cruz 15.0%

But even with 57%, Trump has a good shot to win all delegates except some 5-10.

 

[CPUd]

Here's a really cool interactive map of race by CD, based on 2012 data:

http://www.urbanresearchmaps.org/nycongress2012/map.html

 

[younglibertarian]

Personally I find Bernie vs Hillary a tad more interesting. Race is pretty close.

 

[MarcusI]

 

[MarcusI]

There are only 4-5 Cds on the edgs, so I guess Kasich wont go home with more than 7-8 delegates, rest is Trump

 

[FindLiberty]

WINNING is most exciting when you are kinda' happy about the results,
but the general election is still several months away and Clinton had
scary-high vote totals tonight... (so far)

It looks like there's YUUUGE entertainment potential, now through November.

I just hope lady Liberty does not end up getting slapped around and
thrown under the bus for the next four years.

 

[spudea]

RCP has results by congressional district http://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/live_results/2016_primary/president/ny_gop.html

Trump below 50% in only 4 districts

 

[spudea]

There are only 4-5 Cds on the edgs, so I guess Kasich wont go home with more than 7-8 delegates, rest is Trump

second place only gets 1 delegate, so only 4 for Kasich

 

[CPUd]

Cruz won't even get 1 delegate out of NY. The CDs where he is 2nd all have Trump 60+. Cruz was already campaigning in PA earlier today.

 

[MarcusI]

CD 12 (435 of 511 precincts reporting)

Trump 44.83%
Kasich 43.49%

http://nyenr.elections.state.ny.us/home.aspx

But even if Kasich wins that one, its for statisticians in the end... no game changer.

 

[SpiritOf1776_J4]

And the New York Post prints the triumphant victory poster

 

[MarcusI]

second place only gets 1 delegate, so only 4 for Kasich

What I meant: Kasich had 2 delegates in that list - and you add 4-5 more districts to it then you end up with 6-7 delegates + he maybe wins one so that would be 8. I doubt that this will happen though.

 

[CPUd]

CDs 20-25 I think Kasich will get something from 5 of those 6. He should get 1 from CD23 (Albany), I don't think he gets any from CD22.

 

[CPUd]

CD25 must have been redrawn since the image in post 24.

 

[MarcusI]

My list for Kasich now:

CD 10 = 1
CD 12 = 1-2
CD 13 = 0-1
CD 16 = 0-1
CD 20 = 1
CD 21 = 0-1
CD 23 = 0-1
CD 24 = 1

Sum: 4-9 delegates, but 8 or 9 is very unlikely.