Our best shot left is Maine...I don't remember if we have any recent polls there but looks like worst we should get is 2nd. (others closer to the end of list of states might include montana, south dakota, etc but by then it could all be over)
They can't. But you assume Paul will have over half the delegates. He won't. Not by a long shot. If he has less than half, he's not the nominee in a brokered convention. End of story.
If we don't experience serious voter apathy again. In Nevada it was ridiculous. It makes me so upset that people can't even bother to turn out for something as important as voting for someone like Ron Paul.
This is correct... sort of... the RNC can penalize any state by reducing the amount of delegates by 50 percent if delegates do not vote proportionally on the first ballot at the national convention. Hmmm...
I am not assuming. I said if we do our diligent work. Popular vote doesn't matter in terms of getting elected. It matters in momentum and perception (caveat: if you are Ron Paul since the only media you get from the whores is antagonistic and filled with lies and manipulation, or outright ignoring). That means we could lose every single state in terms of popular vote and still win the nomination. No one right now knows the delegate count. We have to play quiet and blend in.
This is the first election with proportioned delegates so we automatically get a slice of the pie. It's getting the rest of it that is the challenge. You seem to be assuming he won't have half the delegates. Don't be surprised to see something like this:
First ballot:
825 Romney
500 Gingrich or Santorum
500 Paul
461 Gingrich / Santorum
Second Ballot:
1150 Paul
1000 Romney
36 Gingrich / Santorum
That is if we do our work and blend in as your average joes to party insiders (while knowing who is our own and who isn't). Tricky to do, but possible.
Don't know what you guys are waiting on. Ron can't get second, and is already mathematically eliminated in doing so. He is down by 832 votes from what i am seeing, with Clark showing less than 300 votes unaccounted for. So yea, um....there you go.
Wait less than 300 votes? I think your mistaking precincts for votes? I'm seeing nearly 300 precincts left. Though I agree it's pretty hopeless at this point...being a diehard I just can't help it.
I am not assuming. I said if we do our diligent work. Popular vote doesn't matter in terms of getting elected. It matters in momentum and perception (caveat: if you are Ron Paul since the only media you get from the whores is antagonistic and filled with lies and manipulation, or outright ignoring). That means we could lose every single state in terms of popular vote and still win the nomination. No one right now knows the delegate count. We have to play quiet and blend in.
This is the first election with proportioned delegates so we automatically get a slice of the pie. It's getting the rest of it that is the challenge. You seem to be assuming he won't have half the delegates. Don't be surprised to see something like this:
First ballot:
825 Romney
500 Gingrich or Santorum
500 Paul
461 Gingrich / Santorum
Second Ballot:
1150 Paul
1000 Romney
36 Gingrich / Santorum
That is if we do our work and blend in as your average joes to party insiders (while knowing who is our own and who isn't). Tricky to do, but possible.
Not with that attitude he won't.I don't even care anymore. If people don't show up to caucus, Ron Paul can't and won't win. Lesson learned.
I don't even care anymore. If people don't show up to caucus, Ron Paul can't and won't win. Lesson learned.
Its becoming more and more obvious we're third.