Obama already has the electoral college wrapped up, and unlike the 2 elections, he will win a southern state...Virginia, and he will get VERY close in Miss and GA, but he wont win either.
He wins default in the Northeast, DC, MD, DE, NJ, NY, PA, CT, MASS, RI, NH. And with it 110 electors.
In the Ohio valley to the Upper midwest, he wins by default MI, ILL, IA, MINN, WISC, and with those 5 he gets 65 electors
Default states in the rocky mountains and South.. none
Out west, he gets in default CA, OR, WA, and HI and with those 4 he gets 77 electors... so at this point he will have 252 electors, and remember these are the states he will win practically by default... the ONLY state listed above that would have been questionable would be IOWA, but the democratic machine has done its job at securing huge swaths of new registered voters and rallying them to huge turnouts. Also, in Iowa, Ohio, Missouri, and Pennsylvania, where rural white voters would typically vote for the Republicans, the vote goes to Obama all because up there the economy is the worst of anywhere else in the US, thus why Michigan of all the 50 states is a lock for Obama.
The borderline states that will go to Obama but by a safe or razor margin are ME, VT, VA, OH, MO, CO, and NV, and with those 7 states comes 65 more electors. taking the total to 317 electoral votes.
Surprise states for Obama may include NM, GA, MISS, and WV. thus propelling him to 348 on the electoral map.
In any event, you will see 10 to 12 percent of Hillary voters will NOT vote for a black man for president (over half wont vote in the general election) and other half goes to mccain) but Obama will pull in 99% black vote (thus why MISS and GA can even come into play), he will get a 70/30 majority of hispanic votes, he will get majority of women votes and he will get the majority of the independent votes.
In any event, Obama wins because he will have what McCain doesnt.. energy, drive, and best of all.. $$$$$
As for me, I wont be happy when Obama becomes president, but he wins with Mark Warner as his VP, and makes Virgina the kingmaker state. But I can tolerate and LIVE with Obama as president over McCain who I think truly is mentally unstable, because if he became president (and he wont!) I will feel 100 times worse than I did in 2004.
He wins default in the Northeast, DC, MD, DE, NJ, NY, PA, CT, MASS, RI, NH. And with it 110 electors.
In the Ohio valley to the Upper midwest, he wins by default MI, ILL, IA, MINN, WISC, and with those 5 he gets 65 electors
Default states in the rocky mountains and South.. none
Out west, he gets in default CA, OR, WA, and HI and with those 4 he gets 77 electors... so at this point he will have 252 electors, and remember these are the states he will win practically by default... the ONLY state listed above that would have been questionable would be IOWA, but the democratic machine has done its job at securing huge swaths of new registered voters and rallying them to huge turnouts. Also, in Iowa, Ohio, Missouri, and Pennsylvania, where rural white voters would typically vote for the Republicans, the vote goes to Obama all because up there the economy is the worst of anywhere else in the US, thus why Michigan of all the 50 states is a lock for Obama.
The borderline states that will go to Obama but by a safe or razor margin are ME, VT, VA, OH, MO, CO, and NV, and with those 7 states comes 65 more electors. taking the total to 317 electoral votes.
Surprise states for Obama may include NM, GA, MISS, and WV. thus propelling him to 348 on the electoral map.
In any event, you will see 10 to 12 percent of Hillary voters will NOT vote for a black man for president (over half wont vote in the general election) and other half goes to mccain) but Obama will pull in 99% black vote (thus why MISS and GA can even come into play), he will get a 70/30 majority of hispanic votes, he will get majority of women votes and he will get the majority of the independent votes.
In any event, Obama wins because he will have what McCain doesnt.. energy, drive, and best of all.. $$$$$
As for me, I wont be happy when Obama becomes president, but he wins with Mark Warner as his VP, and makes Virgina the kingmaker state. But I can tolerate and LIVE with Obama as president over McCain who I think truly is mentally unstable, because if he became president (and he wont!) I will feel 100 times worse than I did in 2004.
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