r3volution 3.0
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CNN has Ada county at only 17% reporting. Where did you see that it was 100%?
March 8th Results: Idaho, Hawaii, Michigan, Mississippi
- Thread starter MarcusI
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CNN has Ada county at only 17% reporting. Where did you see that it was 100%?
A very good night for Trump. Despite being up in the polls in Michigan a lot of people were expecting him to only win Mississippi tonight. I don't think anyone expected him to win Idaho. Momentum is back in Trump's favor now. The next debate Thursday is their last chance to stop Trump.
SpiritOf1776_J4
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hold on, their busing in mormons!
this really happened sometimes in the elections Ron Paul ran. And not only mormons. it's a fav dirty trick for some.
ie http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2012/01/romneys-bused-in-mormon-cheer-section.html
MarcusI
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Regarding the "You-have-to-have-the-majority-of-8-state-delegations-to-get-nominated-Rule" (ofc, they can change it at the convention), Cruz is getting closer to it if Rubio gets no delegates in Idaho. He has Texas, Kansas, Maine so far (as majority, not only plurality).
r3volution 3.0
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Ah, I wasn't even aware of that.
I meant for the GOP primary; just checked, it was a whopping 31 points!
As you say though, not many polls.
SpiritOf1776_J4
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largest % of religious affiliation in state is mormon. probably had an affect - but it's just an anti-trump vote.
r3volution 3.0
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Any predictions for Hawaii?
I would assume either Rubio or Kasich, maybe Trump, definitely not Cruz.
I would assume either Rubio or Kasich, maybe Trump, definitely not Cruz.
RJ Liberty
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I didn't know that about the GOP caucus in KS. Good to know. Still, these results serve as a constant reminder to never trust MSM polls...
SpiritOf1776_J4
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boise kindof bothers me actually. trumps % actually went down and they redraw the map of a called in county.
invisible
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It will be interesting to see if that happens, as it would open up the possibility of a brokered convention.
J
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When they are in rural areas at least.
Idaho changed to a primary from caucus and moved it up two months from May to today . . . and I have seen 15% and 20% threshold listed,
so bubble boy is on the bubble for Idaho delegates.
Republican Primary
Cruz has won Idaho, according to A.P.
[TABLE="class: eln-table eln-results-table, width: 588"]
[TR]
[TH="class: eln-header eln-candidates"]CANDIDATES[/TH]
[TH="class: eln-header eln-votes, align: right"]VOTE[/TH]
[TH="class: eln-header eln-percent, align: right"]PCT.[/TH]
[TH="class: eln-header eln-percent-wrap"][/TH]
[TH="class: eln-header eln-delegates, align: center"]DELEGATES[/TH]
[/TR]
[TR="class: eln-row eln-cruz-61815 eln-ted-cruz eln-party-republican eln-has-image eln-winner"]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-name"] Ted Cruz[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-votes, align: right"]42,529[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent, align: right"]43.3%[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent-wrap"][/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-delegates, align: center"]—[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: eln-row eln-trump-8639 eln-donald-trump eln-party-republican eln-has-image"]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-name"] Donald J. Trump[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-votes, align: right"]27,147[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent, align: right"]27.6[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent-wrap"][/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-delegates, align: center"]—[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: eln-row eln-rubio-53044 eln-marco-rubio eln-party-republican eln-has-image"]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-name"] Marco Rubio[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-votes, align: right"]17,972[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent, align: right"]18.3[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent-wrap"][/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-delegates, align: center"]—[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: eln-row eln-kasich-36679 eln-john-kasich eln-party-republican eln-has-image"]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-name"] John Kasich[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-votes, align: right"]7,013[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent, align: right"]7.1[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent-wrap"][/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-delegates, align: center"]—[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: eln-row eln-other-999999 eln-other eln-party- eln-no-image"]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-name"]Other[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-votes, align: right"]3,526[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent, align: right"]3.6[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent-wrap"][/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-delegates, align: center"]—[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]
98,187 votes, 49% reporting (471 of 960 precincts)
Winner called by A.P.
r3volution 3.0
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CNN calls Idaho for Cruz, currently up 16%.
MarcusI
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Really hard to do any. Last time Romney won quite comfortably there, so I would guess Rubio will win.... really no one has a clue, I think.
MarcusI
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Its a 20% threshold. See:
http://frontloading.blogspot.de/2016/01/2016-republican-delegate-allocation_25.html
J
Jan2017
Guest
I had already seen that one . . . it says 20%
Another 8 delegates to still decide ?
[TABLE="class: eln-table eln-results-table, width: 588"]
[TR]
[TH="class: eln-header eln-candidates"]CANDIDATES[/TH]
[TH="class: eln-header eln-votes, align: right"]VOTE[/TH]
[TH="class: eln-header eln-percent, align: right"]PCT.[/TH]
[TH="class: eln-header eln-percent-wrap"][/TH]
[TH="class: eln-header eln-delegates, align: center"]DELEGATES[/TH]
[/TR]
[TR="class: eln-row eln-cruz-61815 eln-ted-cruz eln-party-republican eln-has-image eln-winner"]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-name"] Ted Cruz[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-votes, align: right"]49,022[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent, align: right"]43.3%[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent-wrap"][/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-delegates eln-has-delegates, align: center"]14[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: eln-row eln-trump-8639 eln-donald-trump eln-party-republican eln-has-image"]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-name"] Donald J. Trump[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-votes, align: right"]31,810[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent, align: right"]28.1[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent-wrap"][/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-delegates eln-has-delegates, align: center"]10[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: eln-row eln-rubio-53044 eln-marco-rubio eln-party-republican eln-has-image"]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-name"] Marco Rubio[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-votes, align: right"]20,131[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent, align: right"]17.8[/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-percent-wrap"][/TD]
[TD="class: eln-cell eln-delegates, align: center"]—[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]
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MarcusI
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Or here:
2016 Idaho GOP delegate allocation rules:
"In order for a candidate to qualify for an apportionment of delegates, a candidate must receive at least twenty percent (20%), before rounding, of the total vote cast for all candidates in the Republican presidential primary." (Section 3 b)
http://de.scribd.com/doc/296409914/2016-IDGOP-delegate-allocation-rules
(that means: even 19,999% isn't enough for Rubio)
2016 Idaho GOP delegate allocation rules:
"In order for a candidate to qualify for an apportionment of delegates, a candidate must receive at least twenty percent (20%), before rounding, of the total vote cast for all candidates in the Republican presidential primary." (Section 3 b)
http://de.scribd.com/doc/296409914/2016-IDGOP-delegate-allocation-rules
(that means: even 19,999% isn't enough for Rubio)
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..
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