Iowa Poll- Iowa State University/KCRG/Gazette poll- Cain 24.5%, Paul 20.4%, Gingrich 4.8%

trey4sports said:
there are no ads for Ron playing right now. The multimillion dollar ad buy was for october, and is probably the reason we went from 12 to 19% during that span. We need to get more money to the campaign though if we want more ads.
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I haven't watched much TV lately, but the radio ad is great and running often.
 
Just noting, regarding hte ad buys, the October ad purchases were funded by Q3 money, it's why the spend was so high in Q3. Give as much as you can, I trust that a Ron Paul campaign is spending responsibly. :)
 
LibertyEsq said:
Where exactly are people getting the "there are no ads running now" from
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The article which stated that Rick Perry had a new ad buy also stated that Ron's ads are off the air now. Secondly, the campaign said several times that the plan was a media blitz in October (not November) because ad rates would be much cheaper, early on.
 
After seeing the last debate I thought there was no way this could happen. I'm in awe now and excited!! The media can't ignore this!
 
This confirms what I thought, that Paul does best with young men who are educated, not wealthy, and not especially religious. Now we just have to figure out how to get enough of all the other demographics.
 
New Iowa Poll, shit just got real!

http://caucuses.desmoinesregister.c...a-republicans-favor-herman-cain-and-ron-paul/

Cain- 24.5
Paul- 20.4
Romney- 16.3
Everyone else- single digits!

Newt at 4.8 is especially surprising. Great to see confirmation of four surge, and breaking 20% for the first time in any poll ever!!!!!

Other noteworthy items: over 1200 were polled, a pretty large sample size compared to all the Iowa polls on RCP. Also, only 30% of those polled said they definitely or probably would go to the caucus (gotta imagine a disproportionate amount of those fall into the 20% for paul!)
 
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Keeps getting better and better! More than likely Cains support is soft too, the desperate are holding onto him.
 
LibXist said:
Not that I'm complaining but how is Newt almost tied for first in one poll, but only 5% in another. Is this a serious poll?
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he has so much baggage and such a rotten record it is amazing he went up at all. But he pontificates so well when no one looks at his record....
 
anaconda said:
Herman Cain Art Project still on top.
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THAT does surprise me.

Nvm, it was done BETWEEN Nov 1 and 13, so the AVERAGE is what we are seeing for Cain. He didn't start to go down until after whosis's press conference, and the foreign policy debate and his Libya comment. I think people didn't know what to believe about the allegations but it made them examine him more carefully, overall. If so, we'd see that show up in a later poll.
 
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rodo1776 said:
Thanks for posting this. Great news. My takeaway on it is this caveat:

The poll was compiled through phone interviews conducted between Nov. 1 and 13, and surveyed 979 registered Republicans and 277 registered independents. Of those polled, 377 (30.0 percent) stated that they definitely or probably would attend the Republican caucus on Tuesday, Jan. 3.

Other polls show results based on people likely to attend the caucus. This poll only shows 30% likely. We need to keep up the voter ID phoning so we know who our votes are to then be able to call them to get out and attend the caucus. If you have not thought about doing a bit of phoning please consider doing this. Get our people to the caucuses or it wont matter how high we poll going into it.

This can be done!!!
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USUALLY when they say that, those are the only people they poll as their top line, This close to the primary they start to target likely caucus goers, typically.

It isn't clear if they did this time because they don't have their full crosstabs out, that I can find right now, anyhow.
 
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Karsten said:
They're not on the air now?
I thought Ron Paul was spending more on TV ads there than any candidate.
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He was until this week and has no ads up at all. I do note that our moneybomb was less than they asked for this month.

If ads aren't on the air how are we surging?
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Ads WERE on the air when the poll was taken. Now Perry and his pac have a huge half million dollar ad buy going.
 
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Then we need to put a ticker up, and have a spontaneous moneybomb for a week straight.

benStillerDoIt.jpg
 
MomsBasement said:
http://caucuses.desmoinesregister.c...a-republicans-favor-herman-cain-and-ron-paul/

Cain- 24.5
Paul- 20.4
Romney- 16.3
Everyone else- single digits!

Newt at 4.8 is especially surprising. Great to see confirmation of four surge, and breaking 20% for the first time in any poll ever!!!!!

Other noteworthy items: over 1200 were polled, a pretty large sample size compared to all the Iowa polls on RCP. Also, only 30% of those polled said they definitely or probably would go to the caucus (gotta imagine a disproportionate amount of those fall into the 20% for paul!)
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This was done for a 2 week time span, so expect Cain to be down, and Newt to be up. Newt only took off in the last week or so.
 
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