Iowa Poll- Iowa State University/KCRG/Gazette poll- Cain 24.5%, Paul 20.4%, Gingrich 4.8%

I love waking up to news like this! Ron Paul, returning the power to the people! We all need to be preparing our local areas to be receptive to the coming great showing in Iowa and New Hampshire so as to take advantage of the news..
 
Remember the "Who is Ron Paul" and "Google Ron Paul" stuff? Doesn't that feel like a lifetime ago?

We've come unbelievably far, on the force of supporters alone. No media help. No establishment help. This is absolutely amazing. If we keep pushing, if we keep donating, if we keep phone banking, if we keep showing up at straw polls, if we keep spreading the message, this thing is ours. We're going to win Iowa and it's going to springboard us to more successes in the early states. All we have to do is to continue what we have been doing, and we got this!
 
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Remember the "Who is Ron Paul" and "Google Ron Paul" stuff? Doesn't that feel like a lifetime ago?

We've come unbelievably far, on the force of supporters alone. No media help. No establishment help. This is absolutely amazing. If we keep pushing, if we keep donating, if we keep phone banking, if we keep showing up at straw polls, if we keep spreading the message, this thing is ours. We're going to win Iowa and it's going to springboard us to more successes in the early states. All we have to do is to continue what we have been doing, and we got this!

I'm not religious but Amen brother.
 
The Intrade odds of winning the Iowa Caucus right now are:

Romney: 35.9%
Ron Paul: 26.1%
Gingrich: 21.4%
Cain: 11.5%
Bachmann: 6%
 
I was actually worried that when the next poll in Iowa came out would have us back around our usual 10-12% and people would feel discouraged but wow, quite the opposite. Gotta stop myself from getting too excited! We can win this thing!
 
I keep waking up to all this good news every day. This is amazing!

How far is this from the "electability sir do you have any days"
 
great to see that the first one wasn't a fluke! hopefully more states will start to fall into line with iowa and nh. we really need sc to come around as well as nevada. if we can be polling like this in all four of those we'll be in good shape going into january.
 
:)

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Thanks for posting this. Great news. My takeaway on it is this caveat:

The poll was compiled through phone interviews conducted between Nov. 1 and 13, and surveyed 979 registered Republicans and 277 registered independents. Of those polled, 377 (30.0 percent) stated that they definitely or probably would attend the Republican caucus on Tuesday, Jan. 3.

Other polls show results based on people likely to attend the caucus. This poll only shows 30% likely. We need to keep up the voter ID phoning so we know who our votes are to then be able to call them to get out and attend the caucus. If you have not thought about doing a bit of phoning please consider doing this. Get our people to the caucuses or it wont matter how high we poll going into it.

This can be done!!!
 
there are no ads for Ron playing right now. The multimillion dollar ad buy was for october, and is probably the reason we went from 12 to 19% during that span. We need to get more money to the campaign though if we want more ads.
 
I'm not saying they shouldn't get money.

This is not a surge. We don't get surges. Therefore, this is something else. A natural result. Surges are artificially created and a result of media positivity. We haven't gotten the media positivity. We're getting the results of our hard work. If we win Iowa, the media, naturally, will treat it like the hugest story ever, because we would have won without the hype. And at that time, we get huge huge wall to wall coverage for at least a week. That week of huge coverage will include New Hampshire. That huge coverage could bring us the win in New Hampshire.



or they talk about how Romney and Cain finished an impressive 2nd and 3rd and that it is now a two man race.
 
I was actually worried that when the next poll in Iowa came out would have us back around our usual 10-12% and people would feel discouraged but wow, quite the opposite. Gotta stop myself from getting too excited! We can win this thing!

when you can, you always want to look at the crosstabs, especially the age. and question the ppp results until they start looking normal again.
 
Can't be true, they just said he had a 20% ceiling.... ;)

I believe this simple diagram will help explain the phenomena you've been observing:

elevatoros.jpg
 
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