Iowa Caucuses Return Watching - OFFICIAL THREAD!!! (1/3/12)

A win in Iowa would be super awesome, but not required for the ultimate goal. Be disappointed, then get back to work tomorrow!
 
Good news from nate Silver:


@fivethirtyeight
Nate Silver
Turnout At or Behind at 2008 Pace nyti.ms/xzheaf
 
All those counties on the Missouri border should be Paul territory. Most haven't reported yet and those that have, haven't reported a high percentage of their vote. Also no votes from Jefferson County or Story County. I've heard that Polk County should be Romney territory, but Paul is leading there at the moment.

I also see where 58% of voters are male. That should help RP, and it seems to me to be quite a bit higher than most polls were assuming. It doesn't look too bad to me. We've still got a good chance to win this thing. Keep in mind that a lot of college kids may caucus in their home counties because school is not in session.

I totally agree. The demographics - ind, dem, youth, tea party, males, 2nd in evangelicals, etc - all favor us but the votes coming in aren't showing it...
 
All I've got to say is this... America does not deserve Ron Paul, this is the one chance we had to do something great, and Iowans fuck it up again... or at least they have so far.
 
there is hope. this could seesaw past midnight.
CSpan has one of its cameras on Dr. Ron Paul's HQ.
the media guy is about to go into how young people are.
there could be quite a victory party in a few hours.
there is still this chance to win this one merrily.
 
We need first in this.....we already have 2 locked up in NH, but if we don't win this were screwed

Nothing is locked up, my friend. Just a few short days ago you would have been shoo'd out of here if you said Frothy was gonna get any votes. These are powerful forces we are up against.
 
The only county that didn't go to Huck/Mitt in 08, (Ron won) Jefferson, is still unreported too guys. Still a long way to go.
 
Santorum winning would be better than Romney winning. If Mitt is in 1st place, the media spin will be that he's "locking up the nomination".
 
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