Insider Advantage Iowa Poll:

Could be youth enthusiasm more likely to be hit by nasty slurs, they don't have experience with people being called nasty just for political advantage -- yet. We have to get the RevPac video aired.

Would be nice if they had big donors to cover that. I don't see the point of two organizations going after donations from the same group of people.
 
Could be youth enthusiasm more likely to be hit by nasty slurs, they don't have experience with people being called nasty just for political advantage -- yet. We have to get the RevPac video aired.

Yeah, I'm sure Ron lost all of the youth vote in one day. PPP had him at 37% a day earlier.
 
Guys, the only poll that really matters is next Tuesday.

The rest of these polls are merely setting the expectations. If the expectations on Paul are lower, that will only help us in the end.

BUT>>>

We need to make sure we turn out our supporters. We need to make sure the independents come out. Phone calls and donations! Do these things!!
 
This is "among registered voters" only. Doesn't that mean they're excluding Democrats and Independents who are planning on voting? Isn't this the same intentional mistake made by CNN yesterday or am I missing something?
 
This is "among registered voters" only. Doesn't that mean they're excluding Democrats and Independents who are planning on voting? Isn't this the same intentional mistake made by CNN yesterday or am I missing something?
Good Point.
 
Ron's in 5th place with Republicans at 10.9% and first at 32% with Independants. There's the reason right there.
 
You gotta think that most pollsters are going to be "adjusting" the polls a little to make for a more exciting headline, what better then a 3-way tie with numbers that don't really make sense.
 
Insider advantage wall of secrecy.

RCP should not be using or including this company.
 
No way Ron is running that low with Republicans. Not when the other polls have him at 20+ with Republicans.

IA has been extremely weird.
 
Order of answer choices

The huge change in youth support for Bachmann makes these results very untrustworthy. I have done survey research for years, and I can tell you that sometimes people just choose the first option presented to get the survey over with quickly. In this poll, Bachmann was listed as the first choice this time around. They don't tell you who was the first choice last time the poll was conducted (could it have been Paul?)
 
Insider advantage wall of secrecy.

RCP should not be using or including this company.

this, you can't find anything out and UNTIL the last time, they were Ron's worst poll. Well, we have to work like we are 10 points behind in any event.
 
Apparently Intrade doesn't take this poll seriously. Ron is still at about 57% chance of winning Iowa.
 
Good.. let them not build too high expectations on Ron, this will divert attention to Romney/Newt... Then they will be blown out of the water come Tuesday...
 
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