I just dont see it happening, American public is just too clueless. But I do see him coming close and causing a lot of discussion. It's going to be interesting.
American public is clueless, but also desperate. all that is needed for a a Paul presidency is 25% of the IA caucus vote, which is about 5% of IA Republicans, which is 2% of Iowa voters; if Ron wins IA, he wins NH and then SC. If Romney wins IA he wins it all. if Newt wins IA the convention will be deadlocked.