So the question is, Would more Ron Paul voters write him in or vote for him third party?
I don't like the "warned" at the end after saying it's not a threat.
"You have been notified."
"You have been informed."
"Now you know." - I like this best.
"Now we're clear."
I don't think we should be making this argument, even though people really do seem to like it. We've got our campaign staff talking about how important it is to beat Obama, and Ron Paul supporters saying "we don't care about beating Obama". We have people suggesting we run commercials talking about his electability, and then suggesting that electability isn't at all important to them personally.
If Ron Paul supporters say no one but Paul, what's to stop hawks from saying something else? Pure authentic neocons would likely support Obama over Paul. What would Bill Kristol say about that matchup? We gain independents and 18-29 males from Obama. But we do lose some Republicans.
I hate to be raining on everyone's parade, bit I think we are overestimating the current strength of the NOBP movement. The Republican establishment fears Ron running third party and drawing independents away from the Republican nominee (i.e. an Obama victory), but they do not fear RP supporters "taking their toys and going home". I imagine that this number is relatively small percentage of the electorate and I don't think they feel hostage to it. This is substantiated by how relatively well Romney polls head-to-head vs. Obama.
Our efforts should still be to build support for Ron by focusing on the "truth" of his message and what HE plans to do... not what we plan to do.
Ron polls around 18% as third party, drawing a huge number of independents from Romney. No way he would get 18% as a write-in.
I don't like the "warned" at the end after saying it's not a threat.
"You have been notified."
"You have been informed."
"Now you know." - I like this best.
"Now we're clear."
No it doesn't change the narative. Polls showing RP doing well against Obama can change that. The meme NOBP will not change the narative and make RP win as long as Romney is consistently doing better against Obama than RP.It changes the narrative from 'Romney is the only one who can beat Obama' to 'Ron Paul is the only one who can beat Obama'. Just as the media instills doubt and fear in the populace every day, and undermines and diminishes Ron Paul every day ('unelectable', etc) this meme says: you asked for it. you got it. you pushed us away.
I don't care if it hurts their feelings. If Ron Paul is not the nominee, the media will be sure to put the blame squarely on us no matter what, calling Ron Paul a spoiler. We might as well own it and use it our way, now, when it can still wake people up.
While I disagree with your first half, this is still a good thing then assuming the second half, is it not?
I hope that you are wrong, but I suspect that you are not. It is for that reason that I would be delighted with an independent/3rd-party run by Ron Paul (though I doubt it will happen).
I agree - but I think "No One But Paul!" is as much a forceful declaration of resolve against compromise & a defiant prophylaxis against co-option as it is a "plan" for what we are going to do.
For me personally, actually voting for NO ONE but Ron Paul is an important manifestation & expression of that resolve & defiance.
It does indeed change the narrative. Mitt Romney can not win without Ron Paul's supporters, yet Ron Paul can beat Obama because many Democrats and Independents want jobs and an end to the wars. That's what Ron Paul offers. When the soldiers come home then they will be spending their money here at home. The economic boom would be virtually immediate and sustaining. Peace and Prosperity.No it doesn't change the narative. Polls showing RP doing well against Obama can change that. The meme NOBP will not change the narative and make RP win as long as Romney is consistently doing better against Obama than RP.
It tells them the party is split but any politcal operative can tell you that without hearing NOBP every little while. It is no secret just by the fact that as soon as the other candidates figured RP wasn't a real threat they started making nice to him. The only thing they could do is make RP VP which they will never do.
Unfortunately NO polls show this. RP loses more Republicans than he gains in indy and dems or he would not be second to Romney in head to head polling against Obama.It does indeed change the narrative. Mitt Romney can not win without Ron Paul's supporters, yet Ron Paul can beat Obama because many Democrats and Independents want jobs and an end to the wars. That's what Ron Paul offers. When the soldiers come home then they will be spending their money here at home. The economic boom would be virtually immediate and sustaining. Peace and Prosperity.
The No One But Paul theme is honest. It is less of a warning to the Republican establishment yet more informational to the rank and file Republicans as it is just telling them the truth. If Republicans want to win, then they need to nominate Dr. Ron Paul. That is their only choice.
The media is still lying. The truth is that the Federal Reserve System is a criminal organization. There is no reason to keep it. By November 2012, a majority of people will get it.Unfortunately NO polls show this. RP loses more Republicans than he gains in indy and dems or he would not be second to Romney in head to head polling against Obama.
This is only true if Ron does not run third party.Mitt Romney can not win without Ron Paul's supporters, yet Ron Paul can beat Obama because many Democrats and Independents want jobs and an end to the wars.
Well if you want to go down that route it is a usless discussion because if we want to chalenge every number out there then it is pointless. You have absolute nothing to prove to me that RP can even began to chalenge Obama except what you personally feel.The media is still lying. The truth is that the Federal Reserve System is a criminal organization. There is no reason to keep it. By November 2012, a majority of people will get it.
This. (And I don't understand the logic of votiing "against" any of the establishment candidates, anyway - Republican or Democrat, they're all so interchangeable.)As for me, I'm not casting my vote to hurt anybody. I'm not trying to make a statement, or tell the establishment off. I am a Constitutionalist. I can only vote for candidates who uphold and defend the Constitution. In 2012, that is only Ron Paul. My vote is not vindictive, it is principled. Obey the Constitution or you don't get my vote, full stop. I am not voting for the man, but the idea. Given the garbage being nominated today at the behest of the war-profiteer-owned mainstream media, this is effectively the same as "no one but Paul" but I assure you if the GOP nominated a strict Constitutionalist other than Paul, that candidate would get my vote in November. The problem, of course, is that our system has become so corrupted with lobbyists and special interests that there may only be three to five members of the entire Congress (House and Senate combined) who we can trust to uphold and defend the Constitution, and nearly all of them carry the same special-interest fabricated stigma as Ron Paul.
The same voters who complain about the special interests during non-election years, will happily line up to the trough and re-elect the very special interest champions they ordinarily claim to despise. This is why America is in the process of collapse, and the only solution is for the voters to read the Constitution and vote according to it. Abolish the special interests through Constitutional compliance. It can be done, and it must be done. Indeed, it is the only way to save America.
Well if you want to go down that route it is a usless discussion because if we want to chalenge every number out there then it is pointless. You have absolute nothing to prove to me that RP can even began to chalenge Obama except what you personally feel.