I predict Trump will be out before Iowa

[EBounding]

I thought he would be in single digits by the end of October. I didn't expect that people were so bent on building a wall that nothing else matters.

 

[Bruehound]

Given the choice between quitting before Iowa and staying in only to lose the nomination, Trump will choose quitting.

But as was said above, I don't see him endorsing Rand over the rest of the Republican field.

Although I haven't taken the time to find out it doesn't seem like Trump has any kind of serious political organization behind his campaign. Who and where are the well known successful consultants and operatives? People like Ed Rollins for example. I know he had Roger Stone for a brief period but I just don;t think he has any kind of infrastructure to deal with important functions like ballot access and experienced organizers in all 50 states. Does anyone know more on this topic?

 

[Foreigner]

If his poll numbers fall it would not surprise me to see him drop out but he would more than likely endorse Cruz than Rand.

He will not endorse anybody before the primaries are over. He will just claim that he was the "last chance to save America" and the "only one who could win the general election"... Like he did the last time. (Even though he wasn't even running then)

 

[CPUd]

Although I haven't taken the time to find out it doesn't seem like Trump has any kind of serious political organization behind his campaign. Who and where are the well known successful consultants and operatives? People like Ed Rollins for example. I know he had Roger Stone for a brief period but I just don;t think he has any kind of infrastructure to deal with important functions like ballot access and experienced organizers in all 50 states. Does anyone know more on this topic?

The only thing he really has that remotely looks like a presidential campaign is in NH. He is not set up to run in 50 states, though most campaigns aren't.

 

[DevilsAdvocate]

Trump has spent the entire Republican primary viciously savaging Rand as hard as he possibly can. Ever since Trump entered the race, Rand's numbers have cratered. Why do you think he's going to endorse Rand?

The only person he's really spoken positively of is Ben Carson, who is likely going to be his running mate.

 

[erowe1]

Trump has spent the entire Republican primary viciously savaging Rand as hard as he possibly can. Ever since Trump entered the race, Rand's numbers have cratered. Why do you think he's going to endorse Rand?

The only person he's really spoken positively of is Ben Carson, who is likely going to be his running mate.

Trump won't have a running mate.

 

[fr33]

I don't know what thread it was in but I already predicted he'll be irrelevant in the polls before Iowa but his name will still be on the ballot. Doubt he endorses Rand though.

 

[69360]

Trump will drop out after IA, not before. The media will unload a bimbo explosion and/or business dealings scandal on Trump in the weeks before IA so boobus can be told Jeb is surging and Jeb will win IA.

 

[Spikender]

the people who have sex with their cousins will not let trump slide off anytime soon.

What is he polling in West Virginia?

 

[CPUd]

Trump will drop out after IA, not before. The media will unload a bimbo explosion and/or business dealings scandal on Trump in the weeks before IA so boobus can be told Jeb is surging and Jeb will win IA.

There is literally 0% chance this will happen.

 

[fr33]

There is literally 0% chance this will happen.

What part of his post do you disagree with? I think they (the media) will build up Jeb as the "electable" candidate and destroy Trump.

 

[CPUd]

The Jeb campaign will make their move in about 5-6 weeks, that includes a media push that could be characterized as extremely aggressive, but it's not going to position him to win Iowa. Iowa will go to Ted Cruz, Rand or maybe Carson. Bush is going for NH and SC. Trump is in the process of destroying his campaign right now. The media won't take him down, they already tried and failed miserably.

 

[fr33]

The media won't take him down, they already tried and failed miserably.

I don't agree with this. I think they can and will. They are just waiting for the right time.

 

[Jlasoon]

Some of you are completely delusional. Those Trump numbers out of NV (38%) and SC (36%) are insane. Look at the internals people! that's what wins elections. Also, new poll just out of NJ has him at 32% beating Christie by 27%. When you're polling in the 60% range on who is best to handle the economy, you win. It's as simple as that. Carson ain't that close people. The more accurate pollsters of the last cycle (YouGov, Reuters, PPP) all have Trump at or near 30% nationally.

Rand, I like you quite a bit, but its time to call it quits. It's over for the campaign. Trump essentially twisted you into a pretzel. That first debate "you're having a tough time tonight" & the second debate "I never attacked Rand on his looks, but believe me there's plenty of subject matter there" annihilated your campaign. And if that wasn't enough Trump forces you to agree and defend him on national TV in front of 24 million people on issues such as vaccination, the Iraq war, and birthright citizenship.

Just Wow!

 

[acptulsa]

Some of you are completely delusional.

Look in the mirror when you say that. Trump can't win a head-to-head matchup with anyone. He polls well with a certain demographic, but though they love answering polls they hate to go to the trouble to actually vote. And outside of that demographic, people refuse to have anything to do with the orange-haired clown.

That is not a recipe for success.

Rand, I like you quite a bit, but its time to call it quits. It's over for the campaign.

And what objection do you have to allowing at least some of the American people--just one state, say Iowa?--to have their say in the matter? They just aren't all buying the media bull hook like and sinker the way you are.

This isn't a horse race. This isn't about which oat burner gets to wear a wreath of flowers for a few minutes and get its picture taken. This is for leadership of the free world. You may not think there's any room for principle in this thing, and Fox would like everyone to agree with that. But we disagree. Furthermore, Iowans have to look each other in the eye and say their primary votes out loud, so they stand a good chance of disagreeing too. It doesn't matter how stupid you are, it just isn't easy to look your neighbor in the eye and say you think the nation should be run by Bozo.

 

[Jlasoon]

The Jeb campaign will make their move in about 5-6 weeks, that includes a media push that could be characterized as extremely aggressive, but it's not going to position him to win Iowa. Iowa will go to Ted Cruz, Rand or maybe Carson. Bush is going for NH and SC. Trump is in the process of destroying his campaign right now. The media won't take him down, they already tried and failed miserably.

Some of us have a little inside baseball info on what's going on in Iowa. And this might piss off a few people on this website, but here goes. Trump's ground game is second to none in Iowa. Some little birdies are even saying it's the biggest and most formidable right now. Trump pamphlets about to go out to every house in the state in coming weeks, ad buys coming at the end of the month (MLB World Series, NFL) Trump events planned for 33 counties in next 2 months, and if that wasn't enough this little birdie also told me that trump hired his first full-time Iowa staffers in February, not serious right? There's more (internal polling), but I'll leave it at that for now.

There's a reason the establishment is going absolutely 'bonkers'. They know what's coming!

 

[acptulsa]

Don't believe everything little birdbrains tell you...

 

[Jlasoon]

Look in the mirror when you say that. Trump can't win a head-to-head matchup with anyone. He polls well with a certain demographic, but though they love answering polls they hate to go to the trouble to actually vote. And outside of that demographic, people refuse to have anything to do with the orange-haired clown.

Trump ain't going head-to-head with anyone in Iowa, expect a minimum of 5-7 candidates to choose from. On top of that there'a few rumors circling around in Iowa about what Carson may do in January to throw it to Trump. That's all I'm going to say about that. But isn't it interesting how Carson just signed a pledge with Trump concerning the CNBC debate format. And on top of that, Carson just left the campaign trail for 2 weeks to promote his new book.

 

[erowe1]

Trump ain't going head-to-head with anyone in Iowa, expect a minimum of 5-7 candidates to choose from. On top of that there'a few rumors circling around in Iowa about what Carson may do in January to throw it to Trump. That's all I'm going to say about that. But isn't it interesting how Carson just signed a pledge with Trump concerning the CNBC debate format. And on top of that, Carson just left the campaign trail for 2 weeks to promote his new book.

Why would Carson want to help Trump?

And what could he possibly do that would help him? If Carson dropped out, it would hurt Trump a lot more than it would help him, because it would consolidate the anti-Trump support among fewer candidates.

 

[acptulsa]

Republicans just might decide they want to win the general election this time. They just might, even if Fox is trying to convince them otherwise. And nobody--nobody--polls worse against the Democrats than the very clown you came to shill for. Nobody.