"The benefits of increasing the minimum wage are mostly illusiory. Yes, a small group of people get a short term benefit."
How is it short term? Minimum wage goes up, stays up, and for everyone making minimum wage, they get a raise.
"About three percent of all workers get paid the federal minimum wage. Giving them a raise means that they can spend more money and create more jobs but we are not talking about much money so job gains are minimal."
Giving them a raise means they aren't starving. Yes, they're spending more money. That might or might not create jobs. I'd argue that it does, to some extent. But that's not why it's being done. It's to improve the lives of the people making minimum wage. That 3%. Arguing against the minimum wage keeping pace with inflation (social security does, Fed Gov workers get automatic raises) sounds like you want poor people to suffer. The point of the minimum wage is relieve that suffering, and you're arguing against that. And you're arguing against that in a country where government workers get automatic raises.
" About three percent of the workers in the US get the minimum wage. And prices get increased to pay for the higher wages the employers now have to pay which means in buying power, they gain less than the increase. "
Agreed.
"And those who didn't get the raise are paying more too so they have real income to spend. That offsets the gains from spending increases from the minimum wage earners."
Right.
"Over time, the gains in purchasing power by the minimum wage people also gets eaten up and you are back where you were."
Explain this. Not arguing against what you're saying here, but you haven't explained the mechanism that creates "back where you were"
in enough detail.
If 3% of the workers get a 25% raise, I don't see how prices go up 25%. If 100% of the workers got a 25% raise, then prices would rise 25%. But only 3% are getting the raise. 3% of 25% is a little more than 1%. Everybody making between 7.25 and 9 will also get a smaller raise. You might have access to those numbers, I don't. Let's stick with the numbers we have, recognizing that the real numbers are a little higher. If you're arguing that raising the minimum wage by itself will create enough inflation to destroy the gains from 7.25 to 9, you're wrong. Yes, there would be inflation, but more like 1 or 2%, and less like 25%. I can't really tell if that's the argument you were trying to make.
Yes, raising the minimum wage is inflationary. But you aren't "back where you were". The people making minimum wage are ahead
of where they were. Right now they're at 7.25 an hour. They'd be at 9. That's ahead.
"And this does not count the possiblity of employers using fewer minimum wage workers since each one now costs more. The people who lost those jobs along with the people paying higher prices subsidised the short term gains of the minimum workers."
Right, to some degree. It's a trade off that 3/4 of the voters understand and approve of. Everybody pays a tiny bit more so that good hard working Americans who are poor can get more. That's why your side of the argument has so few supporters.
Also consider this - yes, in a vacuum, one would assume that people would get fired if the minimum wage goes up. However, 3% of the population just got a 25% raise, and they're going to spend that money in the same type of places where they work. Places that pay their employees minimum wage. Truth be told, in the real world, all of these businesses have been dealing with minimum wages, and minimum wage hikes, forever. They know how to deal with them. Prices of food, grown presumably by farmers who don't get paid minimum wage, fluctuate. And supermarkets deal with that every day. Transportation costs fluctuate with the cost of gas. Prices are always changing. But if 3% of the population gets a raise, they're gonna spend it.
"In 2012, 1.6 million workers received the Federal minimum wage.
http://www.bls.gov/cps/minwage2012.htm Figuring many were part time (lets say an average of 32 hours a week and 50 weeks a year- 1600 hours), if we increased the minimum wage by one dollar an hour, that would add $1,600 a year to their income."
Sweet. But it might be more useful to go with 1.75 an hour, because that's what's going to happen. BTW, you said 3%. 1.6 million seems like around 1%.
"That means we would add $2.56 billion to the US economy assuming the money is not offset. $2.56 billion is a drop in the $14,000 billion economy."
Right. Now you're getting it. Why are you bitching so hard about giving the poorest hard working Americans a tiny raise, from poor to still poor, but just a tiny bit less poor?
"Compare that to the stimulus tried in the wake of the economic collapse. The original authorization for TARP was $700 billion (about half of that was actually used but would still be 140 times bigger). As an economic stimulus, raising the minimum wage really doesn't do anything."
Again, it does have some economic stimulus effects. But the economic stimulus effects aren't why it's being done. It isn't being done to help "the economy". It's being done to help those people. The lives of the minimum wage workers are being improved. This is a good thing. A small amount of money would make a significant difference to the lives of those people on minimum wage - or sub $9 an hour workers, more accurately. For minimum workers - $70 a week. Could be quite useful to them.
(yes, I have an Econ degree).[/QUOTE]