Democrats losing lead on Republicans in midterm election polls

[Swordsmyth]

Two new polls show Tennessee Congresswoman Marsha Blackburn cementing her lead in her race for the Senate seat against Democrat former governor Phil Bredesen.
A new NBC/Marist poll, conducted between October 23 and October 27, shows Blackburn garnering 51% of likely voters, compared with 46% for Bredesen. Another poll, from Vox Populi Polling, conducted between October 27 and October 29, shows Blackburn grabbing 53% of the vote to Bredesen’s 47%.
As The Tennessean points out, “Blackburn's lead coincides with soaring popularity for President Donald Trump, who now has support of 56 percent of likely voters in the NBC/Marist poll, compared with 39 percent who don't support his job performance. That's compared with 47 percent who approved of the president and 43 percent who disagreed with him two months ago.”

More at: https://www.dailywire.com/news/37794/new-polls-show-blackburns-lead-over-bredesen-looks-hank-berrien

 

[Swordsmyth]

[h=2]Nearly 6-in-9 likely voters in swing districts across the United States say federal officials must keep a migrant caravan of at least 10,000 Central Americans out of the country.[/h] In a new poll by NumbersUSA, about 65 percent of likely voters in swing districts this election cycle say the migrant caravan headed to the U.S. to overwhelm the country’s asylum and immigration system needs to be kept out of the country.
About 40 percent say “all of them” in the caravan should be stopped “from entering the country.” About 25 percent of likely swing district voters say the U.S. should “require them to remain in Mexico until their asylum hearing.”
Only 18 percent of likely swing district voters support the country’s current asylum process, which allows illegal border crossers and asylum-seekers to enter the U.S. while awaiting their hearings.
About 12 percent of likely swing district voters said the caravan should be allowed “to move freely around the country until their asylum hearing,” showing little support for the Democrats’ preferred goal of hemispheric open borders and mass immigration.

More at: https://www.breitbart.com/politics/...ters-keep-migrant-caravan-out-of-the-country/

 

[Swordsmyth]

[h=2]The majority of American women say Senate Democrats used sexual assault accusations against U.S. Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh for political gain, a new poll reveals.[/h] The latest Harvard/Harris Poll finds that the majority of American women and men say Democrats were not genuinely concerned with the accusations of sexual assault made by Christine Blasey Ford, but instead were using the allegations and the accuser to score political points.
When asked, “Do you think Democrats were genuinely concerned about Dr. Christine Ford and her allegations towards Judge Kavanaugh, or were they just using the allegation for political purposes in order to block Kavanaugh’s nomination?” about 55 percent of all U.S. voters say the Democrats were “just using the allegations” to stop Kavanaugh from getting on the Supreme Court.
About 55 percent of American women and 56 percent of men say the same, that Democrats were using the Kavanaugh allegations for political purposes. A minority of 45 percent of voters say the Democrats were “genuinely concerned” about Blasey Ford.
Despite the establishment media and Hollywood’s “Believe Women” campaign, the vast majority of American voters — including 84 percent of women and 85 percent of men — say when it comes to sexual harassment allegations, the standards of the legal due process should be applied. Only 15 percent of voters say the legal due process should be “relaxed.”

https://www.breitbart.com/politics/...exual-assault-accusations-for-political-gain/

 

[Swordsmyth]

[h=2]A new poll of 696 active Florida voters shows Republican Rick Scott leading Democrat Bill Nelson by five-points in Florida’s United States Senate race.[/h] According to the Vox Populi poll, 48 percent of those surveyed said they will vote for Scott, while 43 percent said they intend to vote for Nelson. Nine percent remain undecided in the poll. When factoring in undecided votes, Scott and Nelson are tied at 50 percent.
Governor Scott outperforms Senator Nelson with voters from his own party with 63 percent of Republicans supporting him compared to the 54 percent of Democrats who support Nelson.
“Governor Scott is well-positioned going into the final days of the campaign,” said Macy Cambio, Vox Populi Polling’s Managing Director. “With Governor Scott’s high support among decided Hispanic voters and room to grow with his Republican base, this campaign is right where Governor Scott would like it to be the weekend before Election Day.”

More at: https://www.breitbart.com/politics/...oints-in-contentious-florida-u-s-senate-race/

 

[Swordsmyth]

[h=2]Black voter approval of President Trump hit the year’s high at 40 percent this week, according to daily tracking by Rasmussen Reports.[/h] The high-water mark comes right after the “Blexit,” or “Black exit from the Democratic Party,” movement spearheaded by Turning Point’s Candace Owens was launched over the weekend, which drew thousands of young African Americans to Washington, DC.

Trump Approval Today Back at 50%
Black Voter Approval at Record High.https://t.co/mazBCW77nY pic.twitter.com/gQiNHhJmhX
— Rasmussen Reports (@Rasmussen_Poll) October 29, 2018
​

The numbers are based on a three-day rolling average of 1,500 likely voters surveyed nationally every night, according to Rasmussen’. About 12 to 13 percent of those are likely black voters.

“We never saw 40 percent before,” said Ted Carroll, of Rasmussen’s parent company Noson Lawen Partners.

The monthly average of black voter support is much lower — typically in the 20s range, but that too has been rising over time. During Trump’s first year in office, it averaged about 21 percent. So far, during his second year, it has ticked up to 24 percent.
The monthly average low was 18 percent in July 2017, and the monthly average high has been 27 percent in June and August 2018.
Carroll said Rasmussen does not speculate what is driving the higher black voter approval of Trump, but said if he had to guess, it would be the economy.

More at: https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2018/11/01/black-voter-approval-trump/

 

[Swordsmyth]

A majority of the country, including 51 percent of Hispanics, back President Trump’s move to send troops to the U.S.-Mexico border to block the swelling caravan of Latin American migrants from entering, according to a new survey.
Overall, 57 percent of likely voters agree with the Pentagon deployment, and the support is largest among the base of Republicans and older Americans that President Trump is rallying in his effort as he storms the nation to help the party retain control of the House and Senate elections in Tuesday’s congressional midterms.
The latest Zogby Analytics survey, provided to Secrets Friday morning, highlighted the Hispanic support, a pro-Trump trend that has appeared in several other surveys.

Said the analysis, “51 percent of Hispanic respondents agree with the deployment of troops to the border to halt the migrant caravan; slightly less than half (49 percent) disagree. Also, 30 percent of Hispanics strongly agree compared to 28 percent who strongly disagree.”
The national survey, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.3 percent, showed the typical partisan divide on the issue.

It also showed conflicting agreement with the policy among other demographics:

• Support for the military deployment to the border was pretty widespread demographically. Majorities of voters in the east, south, and central regions (56-62 percent agree/38-44 percent disagree) supported the deployment of troops.
• The only region where there was a majority who disagreed was in the West (51 percent disagree/49 percent agree).
• Majorities of likely voters in large cities (55 percent agreed/46 percent disagreed), small cities (67 percent disagree/34 percent agree), suburbs (56 percent disagree/44 percent agree), and rural communities (57 percent disagree/44 percent agree).
• Democrats were most likely to disagree (69 percent), but 31 percent of Democrats did agree with sending troops to the U.S. - Mexico border. Republicans overwhelmingly support (91 percent) sending the military to the border. Independents were also in support of sending the military (53 percent), while 47 percent disagreed.
• Men were much more supportive--43 percent strongly agreed, and 66 percent agreed overall (strongly and somewhat agree combined). Women were split 50/50 on the deployment of troops.
• Millennials age 18-29 were more likely to disagree with military deployment—57 percent disagree/43 percent agree. Older voters age 65+ were most likely to strongly agree (51 percent) and 69 percent agree overall, while 31 percent disagree.

https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/...o-stop-the-migrant-caravan-51-hispanics-agree

 

[Pauls' Revere]

I admittedly thought Trump didn't have a chance, because I heard the same "the polls are wrong!!!" stuff in 2007 and 2012. I have no idea what to think now.

I am not thrilled with the GOP, but I will admit that I do enjoy ticking off the Democrats.

Which is enough of a reason this time too. Simply, to watch the left lose their S***T, the entertainment factor alone is worth it.

 

[aGameOfThrones]

Which is enough of a reason this time too. Simply, to watch the left lose their S***T, the entertainment factor alone is worth it.

If the Left wins the house we have to RESIST!

 

[timosman]

If the Left wins the house we have to RESIST!

 

[Swordsmyth]

[h=2]A new poll released Friday shows incumbent Republican Rep. Dana Rohrabacher with a nine-point lead over Democrat challenger Harley Rouda with just days to go before the midterm elections on November 6.[/h] The poll, conducted by Thomas Partners Strategies, shows Rohrabacher with the support of 50.7% of likely voters in the 48th congressional district, compared to Rouda’s 41.6%. The margin of error is 4.7%.
Strategist John Thomas notes: “While California overall breaks in favor of Democrats and against Trump, CA-48 is proving to be the firewall holding back the blue wave.”
The poll is the first to show Rohrabacher with a statistically significant lead. A poll last month by Monmouth University Polling Institute last month showed Rohrabacher with a small lead, within the margin of error, and previous polls had shown the race as a dead heat.
Rohrabacher’s rise in the polls is remarkable, given that Rouda and his allies have outspent Rohrabacher many times over. Last month, former New York City mayor Michael Bloomberg dumped $4 million into the race against Rohrabacher, making the contest for the 48th district one of the most expensive in the country.

More at: https://www.breitbart.com/midterm-e...s-9-point-lead-in-ca-48-holds-back-blue-wave/

 

[Swordsmyth]

President Donald Trump’s approval rating stands at 51 percent in a daily tracking poll from Rasmussen with 47 percent disapproving of his performance.

#Trump’s daily job approval rating hits 51% just ahead of #midtermelections! #BreakingPoll https://t.co/mazBCWoIMy @POTUS @realDonaldTrump… pic.twitter.com/YQttRfb0e5
— Rasmussen Reports (@Rasmussen_Poll) November 2, 2018
​

The results show an upswing of support for Trump with the midterm elections less than a week away. The tracking poll shows Trump rising from 46-percent approval of his job performance on October 24 with a steady climb since.

More at: https://dailycaller.com/2018/11/02/poll-trump-51-midterms/

 

[dannno]

A new poll released Friday shows incumbent Republican Rep. Dana Rohrabacher with a nine-point lead over Democrat challenger Harley Rouda with just days to go before the midterm elections on November 6.

The poll, conducted by Thomas Partners Strategies, shows Rohrabacher with the support of 50.7% of likely voters in the 48th congressional district, compared to Rouda’s 41.6%. The margin of error is 4.7%.
Strategist John Thomas notes: “While California overall breaks in favor of Democrats and against Trump, CA-48 is proving to be the firewall holding back the blue wave.”
The poll is the first to show Rohrabacher with a statistically significant lead. A poll last month by Monmouth University Polling Institute last month showed Rohrabacher with a small lead, within the margin of error, and previous polls had shown the race as a dead heat.
Rohrabacher’s rise in the polls is remarkable, given that Rouda and his allies have outspent Rohrabacher many times over. Last month, former New York City mayor Michael Bloomberg dumped $4 million into the race against Rohrabacher, making the contest for the 48th district one of the most expensive in the country.

More at: https://www.breitbart.com/midterm-e...s-9-point-lead-in-ca-48-holds-back-blue-wave/

Free money over at PredictIt right now (currently 52 cents/share):

https://www.predictit.org/markets/d...se-of-Reps-race-in-California's-48th-district

 

[Swordsmyth]

Earlier this week, President Donald Trump drew inflammatory headlines from the mainstream media over his declaration to end birthright citizenship — the idea that any child born on American soil is automatically a United States citizen, even if the mother is an illegal immigrant – possibly by bypassing Congress and signing an executive order.
"It was always told to me that you needed a constitutional amendment," Trump told Axios. "Guess what? You don't."
"You can definitely do it with an act of Congress. But now they’re saying I can do it just with an executive order," he continued. "We’re the only country in the world where a person comes in and has a baby, and the baby is essentially a citizen of the United States ... with all of those benefits. It's ridiculous. It's ridiculous. And it has to end."

While it's clear the media are no fans of ending birthright citizenship, as screeching headlines from leftist journalists suddenly taken with the Constitution suggest, how do the American people feel about it?
While recently polling on the issue is sparse, C-SPAN's Washington Journal, which is not exactly a right-wing outlet, put out a Twitter poll on Wednesday.
"Should U.S. End Birthright Citizenship?" asked the straightforward poll. Over 9,000 Twitter users responded.
The final results showed resounding agreement with the president that birthright citizenship should end. A total of 6,683 participants, or 72%, answered "yes"; and 2,6000 participants, or 28%, responded "no."

Should U.S. End Birthright Citizenship?

Join the conversation here: https://t.co/HzIWSFUJbr
— Washington Journal (@cspanwj) October 31, 2018​

The Twitter poll is seemingly the most recently polling regarding the issue.


More at: https://www.dailywire.com/news/3788...ns-feel-about-birthright-amanda-prestigiacomo

 

[devil21]

I read elsewhere that Fox News would NOT be doing any exit polling for this election. I don't know if other media outlets are following suit. That's strange.

 

[dannno]

I read elsewhere that Fox News would NOT be doing any exit polling for this election. I don't know if other media outlets are following suit. That's strange.

[h=1]Fox News Voter Analysis launching to give new insights into midterm results on Election Day[/h]
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fo...insights-into-midterm-results-on-election-day

 

[devil21]

[h=1]Fox News Voter Analysis launching to give new insights into midterm results on Election Day[/h]
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fo...insights-into-midterm-results-on-election-day

relevant info

The new system follows a decision by Fox News after the 2016 elections to move beyond exit polls, which have been conducted by a consortium of national news organizations since the 1960s. While exit polls historically have provided useful information, it has become clear in recent elections that voting patterns in the United States are changing in ways that make traditional exit polling problematic for news coverage.

That's odd. I'm sure it's on the up and up though....

 

[Chester Copperpot]

Free money over at PredictIt right now (currently 52 cents/share):

https://www.predictit.org/markets/d...se-of-Reps-race-in-California's-48th-district

how does that work?>

 

[devil21]

how does that work?>

Buy "shares" of your bet on any particular issue/election and if you're right, the share pays $1. Buy a share of "yes" for .52 and if you're right, it'll pay $1. If wrong, you lose the .52. You can sell the share beforehand to lock in a profit if, say, the price of the share rises to .72, thus clearing a .20 profit on the share. It's kinda like options trading but for prediction markets unrelated to stocks. It's based in New Zealand, iirc, so player beware. They also claim to openly share tax info with taxing agencies.

 

[enhanced_deficit]

There are polls suggesting that both D's and R's are energized ahead of polling coming week.

But polls have been wrong before.

Is there potential cause for concern for MAGA candidates if part of 'Alt-Right'/Far Right stayed home on polling day.. or that poses negligibe risk to MAGA revolution that took America by storm in 2016?

Has so called 'alt-Right' turned anti-MAGA and could stay home during midterm elections?

 

[Swordsmyth]

There are polls suggesting that both D's and R's are energized ahead of polling coming week.

But polls have been wrong before.

Is there potential cause for concern for MAGA candidates if part of 'Alt-Right'/Far Right stayed home on polling day.. or that poses negligibe risk to MAGA revolution that took America by storm in 2016?

Has so called 'alt-Right' turned anti-MAGA and could stay home during midterm elections?

If all 100 of them stay home I don't think it will flip any seats.