Daily Kos, Sept 16th, Barr & Nader at 2%

[Bradley in DC]

Daily Kos Tracking Poll
September 16th, 2008
The Daily Kos tracking poll for president, as of September 16, shows Obama 48%, McCain 44%, Nader 2%, Barr 2%, other 1%, undecided 3%. The poll breaks down the vote by various categories, such as age, sex, region, and party. Barr’s strongest showing by age category is 30-44 (4%), whereas Nader’s strongest showing by age category is older voters.

http://www.dailykos.com/dailypoll/2008/09/16

Barr gets 4% of the 30-44 year old bracket--the highest crosstab of any minor party candidate.

Barr and Nader both get 3% from men, independents, "other [party]".

Nader gets 3% from voters 45+.

Barr gets 3% from Southerners and whites (nationally).

 

[Bruno]

Wow. They both sure dropped quite a bit since they entered the race.

 

[Bradley in DC]

Wow. They both sure dropped quite a bit since they entered the race.

Be careful with apples and oranges. One can't really compare one (Zogby) poll with another (Kos).

 

[tonesforjonesbones]

Well, a problem is believing or reading anything from the Daily Kooks. Are ya'll all liberals? Tones

 

[Kludge]

If only white males age 30-44 were the only group eligible to vote....

Where's the Stormfront donation page?

 

[Cap'n Jack]

Daily Kos Tracking Poll
September 16th, 2008
The Daily Kos tracking poll for president, as of September 16, shows Obama 48%, McCain 44%, Nader 2%, Barr 2%, other 1%, undecided 3%.

Intriguing. Real Clear Politics has the numbers reversed -- McCain ahead but within the margin of error; Barr & Nader at about 3% combined.

 

[Bradley in DC]

Intriguing. Real Clear Politics has the numbers reversed -- McCain ahead but within the margin of error; Barr & Nader at about 3% combined.

RCP and Pollster.com run running numbers amalgamating different polls.

 

[Cap'n Jack]

RCP and Pollster.com run running numbers amalgamating different polls.

Yeah, if you like the RCP Average feature. Personally, I like to look at the polling that goes into their average, for example, here's the data from today:



Several features make RCP a little more reliable than the DailyKos, in my opinion:

• Larger samples
• "Likely voters" vs "Registered voters" clearly indicated
• A variety of comparables
• Survey questions/responses available in downloadable format

In looking at the numbers, I find it intriguing that no other pollster was able to replicate Markos' data. That seems odd to me.

 

[Bradley in DC]

Yeah, if you like the RCP Average feature. Personally, I like to look at the polling that goes into their average, for example, here's the data from today:



Several features make RCP a little more reliable than the DailyKos, in my opinion:

• Larger samples
• "Likely voters" vs "Registered voters" clearly indicated
• A variety of comparables
• Survey questions/responses available in downloadable format

In looking at the numbers, I find it intriguing that no other pollster was able to replicate Markos' data. That seems odd to me.

Larger samples are better (with smaller margins of error), polls with likely voters are much more useful than registered voters, etc., clearly, yes, etc.

I'm also a big fan of polls that give some crosstabs!

 

[Flash]

Doesn't matter if Barr and Nader are at 2%, if they don't get into the debates it won't make any difference.

 

[Flash]

Double post.

 

[mitty]

nice. any moment now barr will be breaking into the mainstream with poll numbers like those.