Bold Prediction: Sarah Palin Will Endorse Ron Paul on Sept 3rd

[parocks]

Paul/Palin would be a terrible ticket, in my opinion. I love Paul, but I will not vote for him if Palin becomes his running mate.

Wow.

What's your list of acceptable VPs, and your list of "would not vote for Ron Paul if he picked the wrong VP".

Let's listen to everything you say.

 

[Eric21ND]

I hope to god she doesn't endorse him, and if she does, I hope he refrains from commenting on it.

You have no clue how elections work Mr. Johnny come lately.

 

[Xenophage]

You have no clue how elections work Mr. Johnny come lately.

Wtf? Johnny Come Lately? I campaigned my ass off last go around. I was a delegate to the Alaskan state Republican convention for Ron Paul.

Sarah Palin is from my HOME TOWN OF WASILLA. I knew her when she was attending PTA meetings, before she got involved in local politics at all. My MOM gave her CHILDBIRTH LESSONS. I played with her kids when I was little. I have no clue? Fuck you.

Here's a clue: Sarah Palin loves taxes. She engaged in RETROACTIVE taxation against the evil oil companies in Alaska, essentially shutting down north slope exploration and development. Unheard of. She's partly responsible for Wasilla's first ever sales tax. She campaigned with previous mayor John Stein on that one. My dad had a public debate with her at the local bowling alley over it. She completely blocked the introduction of a natural gas pipeline that was in the works for years, over negotiations about how much the State should take off the top of whatever natural gas was produced, and whether or not the pipeline should run through the state entirely or partially through Canada, or who the contractors were going to be. She really likes to micromanage the free market!

Here's another clue: Sarah Palin was John McCain's running mate. How can you get behind her? She's FAKE. COMPLETELY FAKE.

Oh, but I guess I have no clue.

 

[Article V]

I hope to god she doesn't endorse him, and if she does, I hope he refrains from commenting on it.

You have no clue how elections work Mr. Johnny come lately.

Wtf? Johnny Come Lately? I campaigned my ass off last go around. I was a delegate to the Alaskan state Republican convention for Ron Paul.

Sarah Palin is from my HOME TOWN OF WASILLA. I knew her when she was attending PTA meetings, before she got involved in local politics at all. My MOM gave her CHILDBIRTH LESSONS. I played with her kids when I was little. I have no clue? Fuck you.

Here's a clue: Sarah Palin loves taxes. She engaged in RETROACTIVE taxation against the evil oil companies in Alaska, essentially shutting down north slope exploration and development. Unheard of. She's partly responsible for Wasilla's first ever sales tax. She campaigned with previous mayor John Stein on that one. My dad had a public debate with her at the local bowling alley over it. She completely blocked the introduction of a natural gas pipeline that was in the works for years, over negotiations about how much the State should take off the top of whatever natural gas was produced, and whether or not the pipeline should run through the state entirely or partially through Canada, or who the contractors were going to be. She really likes to micromanage the free market!

Here's another clue: Sarah Palin was John McCain's running mate. How can you get behind her? She's FAKE. COMPLETELY FAKE.

Oh, but I guess I have no clue.

The guy said you had no idea how elections work, he didn't say you didn't know anything about Sarah Palin or about how to vote in Alaska. Your knocking down a strawman proves nothing and leads me to believe Eric is right: you know nothing about elections. Sarah Palin's endorsement is valuable, whatever you may think of her.

 

[RonPaulFever]

 

[No Free Beer]

Everyone, chill out. Once again, I don't know who brought up the whole "VP" talk. I know I didn't. Anyway, everyone just chill out. Good lord.

 

[marc1888]

Palin is not going to endorse Ron Paul, unless he starts to pull away with the nomination. Thinking Palin is coming to our aid is akin to thinking Jon Stewart is on our side.--misguided thinking.

I think Jon Stewart is more on our side than Sarah Palin

 

[AgentOrange]

Nice thought, OP, but you are way off base. I agree with the others who say Ms. Palin is firmly an establishment candidate. The only reason she was picked as VP for McCain, was because the establishment had no doubts as to her loyalty. There is no reason to think things have changed. Sure, she will pretend to be a "mavarick", just as Governor Perry pretends to be a constitutionalist. It's all an act. Ms. Palin will never give any credence to a Dr. Paul presidency.

 

[Simon]

She cannot sit there and say she is against the status quo, then say she supports Rick Perry or Mitt Romney for President. That wouldn't make too much sense.

Sure she can. Don't forget, she ran with McCain and endorsed him later on. He's as status quo as you can get.

 

[Eric21ND]

Wtf? Johnny Come Lately? I campaigned my ass off last go around. I was a delegate to the Alaskan state Republican convention for Ron Paul.

Sarah Palin is from my HOME TOWN OF WASILLA. I knew her when she was attending PTA meetings, before she got involved in local politics at all. My MOM gave her CHILDBIRTH LESSONS. I played with her kids when I was little. I have no clue? Fuck you.

Here's a clue: Sarah Palin loves taxes. She engaged in RETROACTIVE taxation against the evil oil companies in Alaska, essentially shutting down north slope exploration and development. Unheard of. She's partly responsible for Wasilla's first ever sales tax. She campaigned with previous mayor John Stein on that one. My dad had a public debate with her at the local bowling alley over it. She completely blocked the introduction of a natural gas pipeline that was in the works for years, over negotiations about how much the State should take off the top of whatever natural gas was produced, and whether or not the pipeline should run through the state entirely or partially through Canada, or who the contractors were going to be. She really likes to micromanage the free market!

Here's another clue: Sarah Palin was John McCain's running mate. How can you get behind her? She's FAKE. COMPLETELY FAKE.

Oh, but I guess I have no clue.

The fact of the matter is her endorsement would help, probably immensely to garner the GOP nomination, that's just a fact. Doesn't mean we want her to be his VP so calm down.

 

[dusman]

Fangs::Teeth::Claws

Scary?

 

[rprprs]

I'l take all bets that think this is going to happen. I give it about 5% likeliness

Your 5% is about 5% too high.

 

[scrosnoe]

I've been saying this for freakin' months. I've written to Palin regularly about this. Here's the logic for Palin:

Endorse Ron Paul and watch his poll numbers jump due to the influx of an entirely new Republican base. Palin's power as kingmaker is proven, thus giving her more power, popularity, and money-making ability. It doesn't matter if Ron Paul wins or not, it only matters that he surges after the Palin endorsement. It doesn't matter if Ron Paul wins, it only matters that he's given new media attention due to the Palin nod. Palin gets something from a Ron Paul endorsement that she couldn't get with any other candidate.

If Palin endorsed Perry, the endorsement would mean nothing. It would be Palin jumping on an already winning horse. That reduces Palin's power, it does not expand it. If Palin endorsed Romney, she would again be endorsing a guy who everyone already thinks can win; how could Palin ever prove that her endorsement caused the change of tides in Romney's campaign? She couldn't. A Romney endorsement reduces Palin power, it does not expand it. Bachmann is a joke and a threat to the Palin brand. The sooner Bachmann is out, the better for Palin. For Palin to endorse Bachmann would be a permanent loss of power to Palin as Bachmann becomes the new Palin. A Bachmann endorsement reduces Palin power, it does not expand it. Only a Ron Paul endorsement (due to his low expectations, outsider status, lack of media attention, and small popularity with the Palin momma grizzlies) could prove Palin's power and thereby expand it. It does not matter if Ron Paul wins, it only matters for Palin that her endorsement is seen as invaluable, which is exactly what it would be for Ron Paul.

Look at the matching language of Palin and Paul. Palin says she's not part of the status quo; Ron Paul says all other candidates are the status quo. Palin says we don't need a fundamental transformation of America, we need a restoration of America; Ron Paul's campaign slogan is "Restore America Now". Again, the language of Palin and Paul matches. It's a natural endorsement. And it was likely planned long ago as long as Paul proved himself in Ames and with continued growth post-Ames (because there'd have been no point in Palin sticking her neck out if Ron Paul had no chance--that would reduced Palin's power, not expanded it; no, Ron Paul needs to have a chance, but be perceived as having no chance--that's when Palin endorses).

Palin will not be a VP pick, nor will she want to be. She doesn't want to risk ruining the king she's made. She's more than happy to take credit for everything and enjoy her own flourishing new popularity and power. If anything, she may wish to be Secretary of State (a la Hillary) so that she can become educated on foreign affairs (which is what the media really hit her with when she ran in '08). As a former governor and US secretary of state, no media will ever be able to question Palin again on her experience and knowledge. Again, her power is set as Secretary of State in a way no other office could provide her at this point in her career. I'm not saying she will be Secretary of State (she may very well only want outsider influence), I'm merely saying that it's the most likely position of government she would want.

EDIT: Is it just coincidence that Palin's Sept. 3 Iowa announcement is at a Tea Party event titled "Restoring America"? I think not. It's the perfect spot for a "Father of the Tea Party" "Restore America Now" Ron Paul endorsement. And it attacks Bachmann, the biggest threat to Palin power, on her home turf, proving once and for all who the queen bee of the Tea Party really is: Sarah Palin.

Listen to the radio spot for the event and tell me you don't feel it sets the stage for a Ron Paul endorsement: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/vi..._releases_ad_promoting_palin_iowa_speech.html

+rep for you and for the OP

excellent analysis, well said and FWIW I agree / hope

I twittered a trial balloon the other day and got no feedback though so think this kind of discussion is valuable.

thanks for the post

 

[sailingaway]

Did not apply when she endorsed Rand.

Yeah, it did. It was the one thing she asked him about on the phone before endorsing him. While we all know their feelings are similar, ron's views on that hive been spun so much, the perception seems to overcome reality

Also Palin's bus tour was called something about restoring America. Ron had his theme first but no one will remember that.

It is a nice dream and I'd welcome it but I can't see it happening, at least not this early

 

[evadmurd]

In an alternate universe, perhaps.

 

[reduen]

OP, $100.00 bill says that this will not happen. Care to take me up on this....?

 

[No Free Beer]

I still do not understand why people are acting like I am saying she wants VP? I never mentioned that. I said it was a business move for her. Read my original post and then the other hardcore analysis. That's what I am saying. Enough with this VP talk. Ron would NEVER pick her for VP.

 

[erowe1]

I don't think Palin has anything to gain by endorsing RP, unless he actually won, which I think she'd have to assume he won't.

The question is, might she think she stands to gain, even if she doesn't?

I can almost see her having a mindset that is so spiteful against the Republican establishment that she would just do whatever seems like the best way to poke them in the eye. But the problem with that is that she'd only do that after realizing that her own relevance had been extinguished, which she clearly doesn't believe.

 

[AdamT]

Isn't Palin being managed by Rove and other notorious neocons? No way in hell 9/3 will be a RP endorsement. Likely her presidential run announcement.

 

[erowe1]

Isn't Palin being managed by Rove and other notorious neocons?

I don't think she is any more. That's part of what makes her a loose canon.