BLITZER'S BLOG: What to expect at a contested convention

[69360]

those are just estimates.

They are probably the best neutral estimates around, but they are not taking into account actual boots on the ground.

The link was to the dates when the conventions take place.

I know the delegate totals msm report are estimates and not favorable to Ron.

 

[69360]

Can the 5 state rule include support from stealth delegates??

Sure, a plurality of delegates is a plurality of delegates. That they are unbound and not tied to the popular vote doesn't matter.

You have to understand all this contested convention talk is just wild speculation though.

 

[Endthefednow]

I just don`t get it. Will Ron Paul be able to be at the Tampa RNC event or not? without winning any state beauty contests?

 

[69360]

I just don`t get it. Will Ron Paul be able to be at the Tampa RNC event or not? without winning any state beauty contests?

Yes as a sitting member of congress he is entitled to a pass no matter what happens in the election.

 

[Endthefednow]

Ok, thanks 69360

 

[opinionatedfool]

In response to the OP.

Just when I think the stupidity of the MSM won't surprise me again, they surprise me again. I feel bad for all the sheeple who treat what they hear on the news as the gospel truth.

 

[Number19]

Does that only apply to the first ballot? If not...then why do we keep hearing about Jeb Bush and Palin stepping and getting the nomination?

Here's what I found : "...It's possible that even if Gingrich or Paul's delegates can't vote for their candidate on the first ballot, they could do so on subsequent ballots if Gingrich and/or Paul garners the support of a plurality of delegates from at least five states during the fight on the convention floor. Under Republican National Committee rules, Gingrich or Paul would need to be formally nominated after the first ballot for this to happen, and demonstrate their support in five states when this happens...".

One other thing which hasn't been mentioned is that R.P.'s delegates can abstain from voting on the first ballot.

 

[69360]

Here's what I found : "...It's possible that even if Gingrich or Paul's delegates can't vote for their candidate on the first ballot, they could do so on subsequent ballots if Gingrich and/or Paul garners the support of a plurality of delegates from at least five states during the fight on the convention floor. Under Republican National Committee rules, Gingrich or Paul would need to be formally nominated after the first ballot for this to happen, and demonstrate their support in five states when this happens...".

One other thing which hasn't been mentioned is that R.P.'s delegates can abstain from voting on the first ballot.

Problem is if they abstain, they will be removed from the floor and their alternates will be brought in to vote.

 

[JJ2]

Sure, a plurality of delegates is a plurality of delegates. That they are unbound and not tied to the popular vote doesn't matter.

You have to understand all this contested convention talk is just wild speculation though.

No, by "stealth delegates" I meant those that are bound to another candidate.

 

[69360]

No, by "stealth delegates" I meant those that are bound to another candidate.

Most likely if they don't vote for their bound candidate they are going to be removed from the convention and their alternate will vote for them.

 

[J_White]

The MSM wants to spin everything they can !

 

[floridasun1983]

The establishment is trying to seal the deal for Romney now, they want no part of an open convention because they are very afraid they will lose control of it. Now they've trotted Jeb out to endorse Romney, and got all the establishment types saying all the predictable babble about "its time to unite around a candidate" and so on and so forth. Will be interesting to see if Santorum and/or Gingrich bow out, I think their buddies in the inner circles will really be pressuring them to bow out.

 

[IDefendThePlatform]

So is there a prevote poll that determines who holds pluralities of delegates in all the states? What is the pre convention nominatin process to create this first ballot?

Gingrich might actually get shut out. We need to make sure we are recruiting his (and all) delegates hard during June and July. Maybe personal phone calls from Ron Paul himself would help persuade delegates. If they go to Romney that could put him over the top on the first ballot.

 

[anaconda]

But the article refers to the beauty contest results as evidence of "plurality." This is not accurate. Ron Paul has said that he believes they have secured not only "pluralities," but majorities of delegates in multiple states already. And there are many more to go.