Will turnout in Washington State be as low as last time?

[Krtek]

Seems to be crazy low turnout for a state with a population of 6 million. Was it some kind of anomaly in 2008 or do you think turnout will be this low again? McCain won with only 3228 votes.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Washington_Republican_caucuses_and_primary,_2008

If Ron doubled his vote total like he did in almost every state he would really have a great chance to win. It leaves me a little bewildered given the latest PPP washington poll: http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/02/santorum-leads-in-washington.html

Santorum 38, romney 27, and Paul 15%. What are your opinions? I do expect Santorum to fall down a bit after that last debate performance.

 

[ichirix]

There won't be a primary this year so I'd assume that the turnout would be slightly higher for the caucus.

 

[digitaldean]

Do people think he has a good chance in winning the state? And can only Republicans vote or all registered voters?

 

[Krtek]

I believe it is open to anyone, but they have to register by March second, the day before the caucus. Someone correct me if I am wrong.

 

[Keith and stuff]

There is no Democratic Primary or Caucus this year. There is no Republican Primary this year. There are 4 candidates this year, instead of only 3 last time. All 4 candidates are campaigning in WA. So turnout should be a lot higher unless voters really dislike all 4 choices.

The Republican Caucus is open to all registered voters and you can register the day before the Caucus.

 

[Krtek]

I wonder if they could register at the caucus locations last time, if so that new requirement would lower the turnout because some that are not registered and do not know might show up.

 

[FriedChicken]

Turn out is going to be a lot higher me thinks. Lets do all we can to win this.

 

[RPit]

In WA there is no such thing as a 'registered' Republican or Democrat. We don't register people by party. So we're all unaffiliated essentially, so its a 'open' caucus.

We have a real shot at winning this State. And I mean a REAL shot perhaps as good as Iowa, Maine or even better. If the turnout is low we will PWN them.

Don't pay attention to the polls, they can't get this state's caucus correctly. If anything that poll would reflect what might happen in a primary (last time we got 8% in primary so we doubled ), this year there is only a caucus. We got 21% last time in the WA Caucus. We hope to get upwards of 35-45% this year. Really depends on the turnout and if our people show up. We hope they do, we have a real good organization and GOTV effort going on..

All effort needs to be put in to winning WA IMHO.

 

[tsai3904]

There is no Democratic Primary or Caucus this year.

The Democratic caucus is on April 15.

http://www.wa-democrats.org/caucuses

 

[RPit]

Ya but the Democratic caucus this year is pretty pointless. And most of the democrats here I think would vote for Ron Paul in the Republican caucuses, but the question is will they come out and caucus. If they do, we definitely will PWN all of them.

 

[HenryKnoxFineBooks]

2008 results, four candidates still running

McCain, John Sidney, III 3,468 25.74%
Huckabee, Michael Dale "Mike" 3,226 23.94%
Paul, Ronald Ernest "Ron" 2,799 20.77%
Romney, Mitt 2,253 16.72%

We can win this

 

[Keith and stuff]

The Democratic caucus is on April 15.
http://www.wa-democrats.org/caucuses

Thank you for correcting me. +Rep

 

[Keith and stuff]

2008 results, four candidates still running

McCain, John Sidney, III 3,468 25.74%
Huckabee, Michael Dale "Mike" 3,226 23.94%
Paul, Ronald Ernest "Ron" 2,799 20.77%
Romney, Mitt 2,253 16.72%

We can win this

Romney wasn't running. He already dropped out of the race. It was just 3 candidates in 2008.

 

[HenryKnoxFineBooks]

Yes, you are right. Romney dropped out on Feb 7th, and the caucuses were on the 9th, which explains the high amounts of votes for Romney.


Did you know that the Washington delegation to the national convention had 4 votes for Paul?

 

[MrGoose]

I live in the Wenatchee area and I ONLY see Ron Paul signs.

Also, turnout will be higher because by this time last year the race was already divided so most who would usually vote went to vote in the Dems caucus.