What's RP's chances in NY?

[life_boy]

Prediction

I predict around 71,400 votes for Ron Paul in New York, which would be 3.3% of the vote of 2,150,000 voters.

The prediction is made from the number of Precinct Leaders registered in New York on February 30 multiplied by 100. We'll see how accurate an estimate it is this evening.

 

[kahless]

New York is americas socialist aquarium. Mostly democrats.

Were not all like that, particularly upstate where if you look at past elections the rest of the state is more Republican aside from the major cities like NYC and Buffalo. But I suppose that is all that counts is those NYC liberal socialist borough votes.

Seems us upstate folks have no voice. I wish some day NYC and upstate would split into two separate states. The two are like night and day in all aspects.

 

[AzNsOuLjAh27]

almost every young kid i know who's voting is voting for Ron Paul, for the exception of 1 person.

 

[Alex]

RP doesn't have a chance in New York. It's a primary, a large state, Winner take all. There were no TV ads here. About 10% of the Syracuse meetup group is really active and a ton of people still ask "Who's Ron Paul?"

 

[Luhiss]

New York is americas socialist aquarium. Mostly democrats.

That may be so, but there are plenty of liberal leaning people, myself included, who have changed their party affiliation just to pull the Ron Paul lever on Super Tuesday. This is why I never understand why people of one party bash people of the other. You can't get elected from within your own party alone. You have to win people over.

That reminds me. Having voted for Ron, I can now leave the republican party! Where's that form?

 

[RonPaulCatholic]

Just curious... How did you not hear of Ron Paul earlier? That baffles me.

Did not really do my homework until around the November 5th moneybomb.

By then... it was too late.

 

[AzNsOuLjAh27]

I know alot of people that didn't know ron paul till this day, so wut are you talking about?

 

[Soccrmastr]

I became aware of Paul after October 12th; the deadline to change your party affiliation to vote in the primary. So I'm kept from supporting him in terms of votes (not in terms of talking to others and making contributions!)

So while I think New Yorkers like Paul, they're probably either liberal and will vote Hillary/Obama or simply cannot vote for him according to the closed Republican primary.

So no, his chances are not very good here at all.

I am pretty sure the deadline in NY was a lot later.

 

[AzNsOuLjAh27]

Can we just wait to see? and stop making assumptions who tha fuck would have ever thought he would have done so well in Louisiana. We can't tell the future before it happens.

 

[abruzz0]

It sounds like the boroughs aren't thorough for Ron Paul

 

[RonPaulCatholic]

I am pretty sure the deadline in NY was a lot later.

There were two deadlines.

If you were a registered voter, who desired to change to a Republican in order to vote for Ron Paul the deadline was October 12.

If you were a first time register, your deadline would have been in early January.

I fell in the first category. I made calls and spoke to people about this...pretty sure I had it right.

 

[TheDHC]

on the way to my polling site
a ron paul sign, placed strategically next to the vote arrow

 

[AzNsOuLjAh27]

^ lol that's awsome

 

[crink]

my mom voted for Dr.Paul but I don't think he will do so well here.

Most of the people have become sheep after years of socialist rhetoric.

 

[life_boy]

I predict around 71,400 votes for Ron Paul in New York, which would be 3.3% of the vote of 2,150,000 voters.

The prediction is made from the number of Precinct Leaders registered in New York on February 30 multiplied by 100. We'll see how accurate an estimate it is this evening.

Unfortunately, even those numbers were too optimistic. We got a better percentage because there was lower turnout. I guess a better measurement would've been taking the precinct leaders and multiplying it by 50 instead of 100. I was hopeful that a precinct leader represented roughly 100 voters interested in Paul (or would reach close to that many through canvassing, phone calls, etc.).