Any spark of intelligence is such a breath of fresh air in the stifling atmosphere that is reading Roy L.
You feel stifled by me because I won't let you get away with the bull$#!+ that has been your stock in trade your whole adult life.
Once upon a time, when in elementary and then middle school, I believed sprawl was bad because, of course, I'd been pumped full of the enviromentalist message.
Sprawl is bad because it wastes resources.
I lived on the edge of town and over the hill there was a farm. I used to think "boy, wouldn't it be nice if that farm could stay there forever and we wouldn't have to have sprawl in all its unaesthetic evil." I thought "couldn't the farm just refuse to sell? Even if the evil developer is offering him millions of dollars, he could just say no, right? That's his right. How come no farmer ever does that? You'd think that at least every once in a while, you'd have a hold-out who loved his farm so much, been in the family 100 years and all, that he would not sell no matter what".
So as a child, you were not thoughtful enough to ask yourself how it could somehow be more profitable for the developer to pay a premium for good farmland, and put roads, water lines, power lines, etc. on it, and then build houses on it, rather than to build the houses on vacant or underutilized lots in town that already had the roads, water, power, etc. in place.
And as an adult, you still aren't thoughtful enough.
Then grown-ups explained to me that no, that wouldn't work because of property taxes. Once the asssessor decides his land is worth millions because the evil subdivisions are springing up all around him, his taxes go up accordingly. The income produced by his farm is not going to be enough to pay hundreds of thousands of dollars in property tax every year, so he will have to sell.
Why is it more profitable to build 1000 houses on good farmland rather than 1000 apartments in a few towers in town?
Blank out. You just refuse to know the fact that LVT encourages the kind of compact, higher-density, in-fill development that eliminates the economic pressure to build on farmland.
The taxes, just as you say, Matt, will be a kick in the pants to comply, obey, submit,
I.e., to pay attention to what the market is telling him.
and go along with the will of the masses to put the land to its "highest use". The fact that the "highest use" to the individual was to keep growing the best beets in the state, just like his pappy and grandpappy and great-grandpappy before him, that's irrelevant. The will of the individual does not matter; the will of the mob is what counts. To let the individual reign supreme would be ever-so wasteful and inefficient.
Correct, because as a landowner he would also be reigning over other individuals, depriving them of their liberty to do better than he.
So the moral of the story is: the mob knows best. Collective intelligence is always much better than the intelligence of one single man. Right?
The market is
reliably more intelligent than one single man.
You see, I oppose any kind of land value tax, for the same exact reason you support it! Ever since receiving this no-farm-hold-outs explanation, I have been opposed to it. Pressuring the farmer to sell via taxes does not increase efficiency.
That depends on the tax. Pressuring him with the market signal of LVT DOES increase efficiency.
The farmer already has pressure to sell from all the offers he's getting from delelopers to buy it. That's enough pressure. In fact, it's exactly the right amount of pressure, the market amount, taking into consideration all the entreprenuers' forecasts and balancing them out.
No, it is not the right amount, nor the
free market amount, because it includes the welfare subsidy giveaway to the landowner. As long as his land is rising in value at a faster rate than the property tax rate, why would he sell? Why would he EVER sell?
You just want to give him a double-whammy by adding some ongoing theft to the equation.
It is the landowner who is committing the ongoing theft, sunshine, and don't you forget it.
That will mess things up. That will make it less efficient.
Garbage with no basis in fact.
North Dakota is having an oil boom right now. Everyone is moving in, rent is way up, property prices are way up, people are moving up mobile homes and doing construction like crazy. Towns are expanding. The market is responding to demand. Entreprenuers are looking at the situation and sizing it up, taking into consideration all the factors. They're thinking things like "OK, I predict this boom will go on for about 7 years, then it will bust and be done"; another guy might think 5 years; another guy might think 20. Also "I think that Dickinson will be the center of the action, that's where they'll find the most oil"; "I think Williston"; "I think Minot"; "I think 20,000 new people are going to come up"; "I think 100,000"; "I think 50,000". I know what they are thinking, because I'm one of these entreprenuers -- I just got back from North Dakota day before yesterday.
Oh. My. God.
So in fact, you are a professional landowning parasite; your whole life revolves around stealing publicly created land value and shoveling it into your own pockets. You are a professional rent seeker.
How utterly inevitable. At least that explains why everything you write on this subject is stupid, ignorant and dishonest. I was beginning to wonder how someone so obviously intelligent could keep spewing such nonsense. Now I know: you need somehow to prevent yourself from knowing that you are a professional practitioner and disciple of the greatest evil in the history of the world.
Good luck. I pity you. Being at the mercy of the truth can't be very comfortable.
Now no one really knows for sure what the future holds, but in the free market,
There is no such thing as a free market in rent seeking.
all the entreprenuers make their predictions and then put their money where their mind is. Those with the best minds get the most votes on what to do, because money follows competence in a free market.
Competence in rent seeking. Not production.
We end up with the most optimal solution fallible and non-omiscient humans can come up with.
Garbage. You end up with rampant inefficiency as speculators try to grab publicly created value for themselves. The point of rent seeking behavior is that it tends to expand to absorb all the rent.
The towns all expand by the optimal amount; just the right amount of ranches and wheat fields are swallowed up by man camps, trailer parks, and fast food; that's insofar as the optimal amount is knowable.
More stupid garbage with no basis in fact. You forgot the speculators holding land vacant in the towns, pushing development out into the farmland where it is inefficient and doesn't belong.
Now what if you added a hefty land tax to the picture. As I said, property values have skyrocketed into the stratosphere. I don't know what your proposed mil rate is, but if it's high, much higher than the land value component of current-day property taxes, it is going to drastically affect the choices of the land-stewards.
You misspelled, "greedy, idle parasites."
And that's you're whole point, isn't it -- that choices will drastically change with an LVT and that will be a good thing. So let's examine what will happen with an LVT. All of a sudden a ranch that was paying $10,000 a year gets a bill for $100,000. Due January 1st. They've got to sell! Everybody's got to sell.
Nonsense. The first to sell are those who weren't using the land anyway. LVT encourages the most productive use, so the land boom never gets off the ground: builders are fully occupied building on vacant and under-used land in town, and no one is fool enough to offer much above recent market rates for farmland that will not be needed. The bubble values you are talking about happen NOW, under the CURRENT system, not under LVT. Everywhere LVT has been tried, the result is the same: compact, efficient development; no land price bubble; no stampede to sell.
The old little diner in town has to sell, because their prime location means they owe a million in taxes.
Now you are just being silly. A million in taxes is a million in land rent. That implies the diner's site would be worth about $20M in the absence of LVT. REALLY?? With thousands of empty acres all around it?
Give your head a shake.
All local establishments that are not wildly profitable enough to still have a positive profit margin in light of ten times higher property value and thus 10X the LVT, all of them will have to sell.
Stupid nonsense refuted above. Many will simply take advantage of the opportunity to expand their businesses. Remember: LVT is limited to what someone is willing and able to pay for the site. The locals are generally going to have a better idea of how to take full advantage of local conditions.
You'll get a lot of new fast food and man camps. You got that anyway above, without the LVT, but now you'll get a lot more.
With LVT, you'll get the right amount.
All the businesses that were built around the way the local economy used to be, that don't exactly cater to roustabout workers, they will all be annihilated. Sewing shop, tack and saddle store -- ha! -- make way for another McDonalds and another bar.
Possibly, if that is what the market wants.
So you see, LVT doesn't encourage efficiency exactly, it encourages uniformity.
Silliness.
It makes the land market too "efficient". With just the single whammy of possible windfall profits by selling, everything balances out as perfectly as possible.
Garbage with no basis in fact.
The sewing shop might decide to just keep piddling along, while the tack store does decide to convert into a drive-through liquor. You would say "That sewing shop's inefficient!" And short term, you might be right. They could make ten times more money and thus benefit the community ten times more by converting into the town's twelfth fast food place. We've got a Hardees, but all the workers are wishing there was a Carl's Jr. Something like that.
So? I told you that you hated and feared real freedom.
Eventually, however, the oil boom ends. The mobile homes are hauled back out to Wyoming or wherever the boom is now. And then the town is left with a whole bunch of empty trailer parks, vacant strip malls, and acres of empty houses selling for pennies on the dollar. It's a skeleton. Now that's going to happen anyway in the non-LVT scenario. I personally may help it to happen. But it will happen in a much bigger way with a hefty LVT.
We've seen it happen lots of times without LVT. Where has it ever happened WITH LVT? Remember, LVT also recovers the value of depletable natural resources like oil, gold, copper, etc., so the mad scramble to grab the resource never happens, and the ghost town never happens. There is just a measured, gradual, efficient and
rational exploration, identification and extraction of the resource as it becomes economic to extract it.
Without the LVT, the opinions of the oil-boom-profit entreprenuers has a counter-balance.
But WITH LVT, their opinions are not animated entirely by a feeding frenzy of rent seeking.
Their opinions carry the weight of the single whammy of their money, but there's another whammy on the other side of the teeter-totter: the opinions of the locals who already own the land. The LVT plunks a second whammy on the one side of the teeter-totter and now there is no balance.
Wrong. LVT removes the parasites' feeding frenzy, replacing it with a requirement to contribute something to production if you want to make money.
The locals on the other side are slingshotted off the teeter-totter and hurtle across the park. When the boom ends, all the old local businesses are long gone, they're all destroyed. Now what? The correction to a non-boom optimality will be a lot slower in coming than without the LVT.
Wrong AGAIN. LVT means the correction is smaller, and happens faster.
Wouldn't it have been better to have a little bit more inefficiency for five or ten years in exchange for a lot more efficiency afterwards? Well, who's to say?
Not the parasite who wants something for nothing, anyway.
But who is in a better position to say than those with a financial stake in it: all the private landowners, or the central planners and land assessors of the government?
The market.
I say let all the landowners decide, don't let the socialist land assessment board skew the outcome.
And I say you are a name-calling apologist for feudalism.
We entreprenuers, speculators, whatever you want to call us,
"Parasites."
we have enough power without an LVT -- just the right amount of power.
No, you have too much power. That's why you always f*ck things up, like the rent-seeking Wall Street parasites who screwed over the entire world in their frantic greed to stuff trillions into their own pockets.
Put in a big LVT and now we can get a lot more land for a lot lower bids,
But have to pay a lot more tax...
because you're pushing the existing stewards
"Parasites."
out by charging them taxes they can't afford.
You can't afford them either, because you are not productive.
They can't afford it because they're not as "efficient" in their land utilization by your definition. We are.
No, you're not. You'd go broke without your welfare subsidy giveaways.
We will come in and fill every field and cranny with housing.
Nope. You won't, because you can't make any money by building housing. You only make money by pocketing welfare subsidies.
Then when comes the bust you will have a whole lot more skeleton and a whole lot less life left than would otherwise be the case.
Wrong. That has never happened anywhere LVT has been tried.