Warning Fools! Silver Will Fall by 66%

Without announcing anything M2 has risen 7% since the fed stopped QE2 only 6 months ago.
Thanks for the info- I honestly haven't checked it in a while. Looks like over the past year (November 2010 to November 2011) it has gone up 9.8% (seasonally adjusted M2).
http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h6/current/
Over that same time period (I looked at end of November for both years on this chart from the St Louis Fed http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/data/BASE.txt ) the base is up by 29%.

The Fed does not have to change its policy for the money supply to change. They are still for example keeping their target interest rates at very low levels.
 
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MF Global may have initiated a fundamental change to the futures market. We may yet see that fabled disconnect between the paper and physical market in 2012.
 
So where do you see it going from here. Further down to 17? When? And what after that? If i may ask.

You know, I kijnda want it to go to $18 by late Janaury like the chart I posted a week or so ago suggests since I sold most of my holdings at $44/oz.

I would love to stock up any where below %20/oz.

I may buy shares of SIL and by puts on SLV to hedge my bets
 
Will it happen in February 2012?

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Everything is down a lot today - this is more market phenomenon than silver itself.

Keep on dropping. :)
 
Everything is down a lot today - this is more market phenomenon than silver itself.

Keep on dropping. :)

Year end tax sales. This is the week people (traders/investors in taxable accounts) finalize their gains/losses.
 
"Dollar cost averaging" is a good way to invest in just about anything you want- you buy a certain dollar amount at regular intervals. If the price is higher, you buy less of the investment, if the price is lower, you get more of it.
 
There are all kinds of ignorant statements like this floating around. Fact 1 - USD Unfunded liability > $100 Trillion with current debt >16 Trillion and the US cannot EVER make those payments and the bill is coming due. Based on Fact 1 is this guy right about silver and gold being in a bubble? Perhaps a short time but Never for long. But that is not all. What has happened to the physical inventory of silver? Does this ignorant guy who wrote this about the silver bubble even know? If so please tell us where the inventory of silver is because you imply that it is in a bubble so the inventory must be large just like the number of available houses right, wrong. Above ground silver is more rare now than Gold. And what about the new uses of silver because every single cell phone, every TV, every solar device, and other electronics and medical devices are consuming more inventory. The inventory is being depleted not growing so is this a bubble? But that is not all, what about the new breakthrough in battery technology using silver dust combined with silicon that will revolutionize electric cars and a host of other battery operated stuff that will require more silver. What is this going to do with the inventory level. And what about the Euro is it is good shape? So Silver as a monetary metal like gold is a bubble if one believes the fiat monies are going to get stronger. With the Euro bankrupt and the US dollar heading for certain default what do you think on this smart man who calls others "fools". And the other side of the silver buble is the inventory and the industrial use of the metal. Is it decreasing? Is the mining capacity producing enormous amounts more of it? The answer is no. In fact one can look at the inventory level and the demand for industrial silver and see it is under priced and being controlled. So where is this ignorant guy coming from? Is it true ignorance or simply influenced by the forces that want to keep silver down? I hope ignorance because that can be quickly corrected with some study and understanding but the other would simply be mere evil. Please let us know which as we want to know. If I am wrong and ignorant please deal with the specific points I have made and inform me. I do not want to remain ignorant if I am. However, in 2008 after studying the mining cost of silver, the inventory levels, the increased industrial demand of it, the low ration of 70:1 to Gold which physically be 15:1 based on natural mining of the metals from the earth, I realized I should buy silver at $12 an ounce. A Raymond James rep in Peru Indiana told no matter what I did I should NEVER buy silver because he said I would be a fool. Now this guy is saying the same. So who do you all believe?
 
Silver hits 6-month Low

$26.49

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(Kitco News) - Comex February gold futures prices Thursday morning are seeing strong follow-through selling pressure from steep losses suffered Wednesday. February gold overnight hit a fresh six-month low of $1,523.90 an ounce. Fresh, serious near-term technical damage has been inflicted in gold this week. Heavy long-liquidation pressures have surfaced as the year winds down. Don’t remind gold traders this week was supposed to be a quieter, holiday trading week. February gold last traded down $34.30 at $1,529.80 an ounce. Spot gold was last quoted down $27.80 an ounce at $1,529.00. March Comex silver last traded down $0.854 at $28.38 an ounce.



http://www.kitco.com/reports/KitcoNews20111229JW_am.html
 
Hope everyone listened to my warnings couple months back where i noted there is bearish move in Silver and it could go as low as $20 /oz.
 
Hope everyone listened to my warnings couple months back where i noted there is bearish move in Silver and it could go as low as $20 /oz.

$20 was my worst case scenario too. Will we see the worst case though? Sentiment is pretty negative all around, which usually means buy to contrarians.

Relative (to other fiat currencies) US dollar strength is all that worries me for the metal price in US dollars. That usually levels out at some point. Are we there yet? Or does the dollar have a significant rise left vs the Euro?
 
I hope it does go down to $20 (and gold to $1450 or whatever) so I have time to make more FRNs and buy more for less.

The dollar is temporarily perceived to be strong, the economy is temporarily perceived to be growing...

Deflation before inflation...
 
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